Stormpc Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, RVAman said: NAM is going to be a warmer. A bit warmer I’m afraid. A lot further south. At least the 12k. Not as warm as I was afraid. Not a bad run for Richmond lots of sleet Edit: Looks fishy. Back to the consecutive double impulse hit from a day or so ago but still looks way too far south for frozen. Doesn't look right to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The HRRR has been more dependable in my opinion. I’ll be leaning on that for this go around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 NBC12 lowered to 3-5. Looks like it’s a battle between my .5-2 inches to your 3-5 inch’s @wasnow215 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 They are being conservative. Understandably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 GFS holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: GFS holds Need the NAM to get on board. Likely too late. GFS / HRRR vs Euro/NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, RVAman said: Need the NAM to get on board. Likely too late. GFS / HRRR vs Euro/NAM The HRRR is better the the NAM at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Never seen the GFS so rock solid with a storm. That death band looks like a lot fun. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 24 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: According to the GFS I’ll get between 7-8”. That model is on crack for this storm for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 16 minutes ago, RVAman said: According to the GFS I’ll get between 7-8”. That model is on crack for this storm for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Final calls everybody. Let’s hear em. Richmond Metro. I’m going with 1-2 inches of wet sloppy snow with a quick turnover to sleet/freezing rain by noon to all rain by 2-3 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 AKQ is calling for 4-6” for my area in Henrico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 13 minutes ago, RVAman said: Final calls everybody. Let’s hear em. Richmond Metro. KRIC: 2.3" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 KRIC 1.7 Ashland 5 Ruther Glen 7 Fredericksburg 8.5 Woodbridge 7.5 DCA 5.1 BWI 3.8 Norfolk 0 Newport News .5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 GRAF model https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1889088318907805707?t=fHfVuSIJemjg5ptqxA-eUg&s=19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: GRAF model https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1889088318907805707?t=fHfVuSIJemjg5ptqxA-eUg&s=19 This actually looks really good for Richmond. Has it snowing heavy until around 5 pm or so. Those 6” areas can definitely be achieved if accurate. If this model verified I’d be sitting at 6-8” here about 3 miles east of Shortpump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, RVAman said: This actually looks really good for Richmond. Has it snowing heavy until around 5 pm or so. Those 6” areas can definitely be achieved if accurate. If this model verified I’d be sitting at 6-8” here about 3 miles east of Shortpump. same, I’m basically in Short Pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Got to see how that first finger of precipitation develops. Very possible it sets up just north of Richmond. I don't like the looks of that Graf at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 Just now, Stormpc said: Got to see how that first finger of precipitation develops. Very possible it sets up just north of Richmond. I don't like the looks of that Graf at all. Agreed. Very worried about mixing. Your 1.7" at RIC may be more realistic. Obviously north and west will get colder but that may not translate as much at 850mb unless you're north of I-295 toward Ashland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwxfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: GFS holds Euro does too, big time at 18z. I see 10 inches for short pump on pivotal. No way we get 10 in short pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, winterwxfan said: Euro does too, big time at 18z. I see 10 inches for short pump on pivotal. No way we get 10 in short pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwxfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Apologies, was GFS, sorry! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The GRAF isn’t great for anyone south of the river but it bodes well for short pump, tuckahoe areas. Obviously RIC is east so I do expect the airports total to be lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3-5"-northern areas including ashland, short pump etc. can see up to 5 inches Richmond proper just to the south sees three Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Bother GFS and Euro really honking today on Feb 20th period. Miller A 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 27 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 3-5"-northern areas including ashland, short pump etc. can see up to 5 inches Richmond proper just to the south sees three I disagree here. I think Ashland will see a good amount of 7-9 inch measurements. Short Pump to about 64/Glenside will see likely 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, RVAman said: I disagree here. I think Ashland will see a good amount of 7-9 inch measurements. Short Pump to about 64/Glenside will see likely 5. Look at you getting all aggressive lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9 minutes ago, RVAman said: I disagree here. I think Ashland will see a good amount of 7-9 inch measurements. Short Pump to about 64/Glenside will see likely 5. I'm talking about snow depth by the way. What can be measured with a ruler-not precipitation that falls as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now