wasnow215 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Don't forget ice -also the euro model is the least frozen and snowy. But when it did snow a few weeks ago it had the most snow and people said they had too much but this time Euro is king again? Just funny the mindset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 0z GFS is SOUTH for next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 6 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: 0z GFS is SOUTH for next week! How far? 20 more miles please https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020700&fh=126 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 3 minutes ago, ldub23 said: How far? Trying to post pic but too large-way south! Like south of RVA jackpots south! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 https://weather.us/model-charts/standard/2025020700/virginia/snow-depth-in/20250212-0900z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I’ve been driving on the road for four hours and just checked the runs. 0z GFS is nice!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: I’ve been driving on the road for four hours and just checked the runs. 0z GFS is nice!!! Also I read in the other thread about how more info was just ingested into the GFS for this run. MAYBE this is a start of a trend??? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: I know it's one run but goodness-actually some wiggle room north for some down here. But I'll sign the dotted line right now for this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: I know it's one run but goodness-actually some wiggle room north for some down here. But I'll sign the dotted line right now for this! Agreed, Interesting to see the ensembles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just now, Conway7305 said: Agreed, Interesting to see the ensembles One thing is for sure as a LONG time Eagles fan tracking serves as a good distraction haha. Need kickoff just to get here already! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 0z ICON was decent as well. Storm following a similar path, not as robust. 4-5” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: One thing is for sure as a LONG time Eagles fan tracking serves as a good distraction haha. Need kickoff just to get here already! Commanders fan here. You guys played well and deserved the win. Way too many fumbles for us. I will be routing for the Eagles Sunday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: Commanders fan here. You guys played well and deserved the win. Way too many fumbles for us. I will be routing for the Eagles Sunday! I was terrified of Daniels heading in! He's already great and heading towards superstar! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Gfs ensembles excellent! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 0z ICON, for some reason it cut off S Va but it’s nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 GEFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Euro N again identicall to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 So 6z GFS throws RIC a HECS and Euro is far N. Which model will cave. I hate to be a downer but typically the GFS adjusts to the euro. I pray it’s the other way around this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 47 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: So 6z GFS throws RIC a HECS and Euro is far N. Which model will cave. I hate to be a downer but typically the GFS adjusts to the euro. I pray it’s the other way around this time. How is this possible lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: So 6z GFS throws RIC a HECS and Euro is far N. Which model will cave. I hate to be a downer but typically the GFS adjusts to the euro. I pray it’s the other way around this time. They've sort of been meeting in the 65/35 euro leans range this winter so I think 3 to 5 inches of snow as possible with sleet after 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 18 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: How is this possible lol I will say that GFS last night had more information put into it they were talking about that on the other thread. Dropsonde? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Not buying the GFS. It will cave to the Euro soon enough. Probably the 12z or 18z if I had to guess. I get we hope for snow but we also have to be realistic. I’d say a front end snow start following by heavy cold rain is the likely scenario. Likely no accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Yep, we have lived this since the days on Eastern. Shoot, started there on early 2000's and it was the same then, EURO>GFS>NAM>UKMET>CMC YOU ALWAYS WANT THE EURO IN YOUR CORNER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Yep it's all rain outside of some mix for northern areas of AKQ Tuesday then over to rain for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 GFS starting to cave to the Euro. we are basically on the mix line for a bit but still decent hit. We don’t need this to trend anymore N. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: GFS starting to cave to the Euro, ugh I'm not sure. I don't think so. Looks a little flatter implying snow to mix then back to snow for Richmond and North. I think we all buy this solution. Not much change from the past two or three runs except for the northern Edge keeps getting squeezed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 41 minutes ago, RVAman said: Not buying the GFS. It will cave to the Euro soon enough. Probably the 12z or 18z if I had to guess. I get we hope for snow but we also have to be realistic. I’d say a front end snow start following by heavy cold rain is the likely scenario. Likely no accumulation. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 This is how you know you could be "debbing" About three or four weeks ago...."the euro is way to amped there's no way we're gonna get that much snow-GFS makes way more sense" Today-...."No way that GFS can be right it's gonna end up going towards the euro!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 6 minutes ago, Stormpc said: I'm not sure. I don't think so. Looks a little flatter implying snow to mix then back to snow for Richmond and North. I think we all buy this solution. Not much change from the past two or three runs except for the northern Edge keeps getting squeezed Yes for sure -and lots of time to see how that HP actually plays out and how suppressed we end up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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