Conway7305 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 This is encouraging though for EPS RIC can you post the individual members 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 EPS 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Also 12z AIFS (New euro AI) spits out this beauty 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Bullseye over a week out? Yeah, that checks out. Next will be Andrew Frieden and other TV mets calling attention to the middle of next week for a chance of significant snow. Then the NOVA/DC crew whines as they are getting fringed and then the models trend north, then the models take away the storm, then the storm reappears but only for Central VA to get scraps and mixing issues while the storm inevitable trends north and the NOVA/DC crew jackpots. Sorry, I am jaded. Give me one more SECS and I am good for the season. Remind me next year though, the key is for me not to get firewood. I have gotten all the years I have been in this house like clockwork and then based on recent seasons, said, nah, I am good this year and we have some excellent cold and at least some wintry precip that hung around. I have been having to buy the bag wood bundles, which I loathe doing, to use in my kindling cracker. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 2 hours ago, JB Fins said: Bullseye over a week out? Yeah, that checks out. Next will be Andrew Frieden and other TV mets calling attention to the middle of next week for a chance of significant snow. Then the NOVA/DC crew whines as they are getting fringed and then the models trend north, then the models take away the storm, then the storm reappears but only for Central VA to get scraps and mixing issues while the storm inevitable trends north and the NOVA/DC crew jackpots. Sorry, I am jaded. Give me one more SECS and I am good for the season. Remind me next year though, the key is for me not to get firewood. I have gotten all the years I have been in this house like clockwork and then based on recent seasons, said, nah, I am good this year and we have some excellent cold and at least some wintry precip that hung around. I have been having to buy the bag wood bundles, which I loathe doing, to use in my kindling cracker. Pretty much 100% aligns with how I feel. We see this every time. Models show a beauty over CENTRAL VA, to nothing, back to being a monster and 2-3 days before it all shifts North and we get scrappy mixed weather time and time again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 The only time I can remember a bull’s-eye from a week out was 2016. Both the major models had the storm.. it fluctuated some but not much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Here are the EPS ensembles members from 12z not bad at all. I know it’s a week out but looks nice. FWIW Will probably be different next run, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Overnight's EPS and GEFS are solid for next week. Some misses but more good ones than misses! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 12z GFS is a thing of beauty- 48 hrs straight of snow starting midday 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 that is one massive snowstorm next week for us per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I know this will change… Lol but I have to post it. What a beauty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Things finally getting into range where we can all start to pay attention again. Going to be an interesting two week period starting Sunday. Would love to see a lot more suppression to lock in that cold air. Looks like the 48 hour storm is dependent upon cold air arrival to catch the precip and a secondary wave. That doesn't usually work out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 DAMN!! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Thank you guys for posting...it sounded like a funeral in the main thread since they weren't in the jack zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 25 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Thank you guys for posting...it sounded like a funeral in the main thread since they weren't in the jack zone. Blah, we pointed out yall were getting the goods 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Blah, we pointed out yall were getting the goods Ah, I missed it, must have jumped ship early. Now go take some Advil for that hangover. All the best tracker, you are the best in that thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 4 Author Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: DAMN!! Here is the GEFS mean through that period. I am in Chicago and been busy so haven't been able to follow as closely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Here is the GEFS mean through that period. I am in Chicago and been busy so haven't been able to follow as closely. P25 and I'll die happy. Wont be able to leave my house for a week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 4 Author Share Posted February 4 Dr. No!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 30 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Ah, I missed it, must have jumped ship early. Now go take some Advil for that hangover. All the best tracker, you are the best in that thread. Heh, I did fuck the pbp up tho. I can admit when I tank. But yeah, I'll be more attentive to give yall shout outs, especially when it's good down there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 All good as you are not a regional snob like others and I depend on you guys for the knowledge. I just need Bob Chill to weigh in, then I know a threat is real. Then, if we get Midlo to post, I will go oil my shovel. Thanks for all that you do to keep this board going. Of course, rooting for everybody to score a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Euro a big hit, but alot of us are on the wrong side of the line for some of it. The big ones always are... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 11 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Euro a big hit, but alot of us are on the wrong side of the line for some of it. The big ones always are... hopefully the ensemble members will be better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted February 4 Author Share Posted February 4 19 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Euro a big hit, but alot of us are on the wrong side of the line for some of it. The big ones always are... 7 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: hopefully the ensemble members will be better EPS snowfall mean is still pretty high through that same period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Just now, AlexD1990 said: 30/50 with more than 2-3" for MBY. WOW! I'll take 43 with a side of 28 please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Some nice hits on 12z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: Some nice hits on 12z EPS Bringin the hits! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I really don't want to be a debbie-downer but I just have that gut feeling that this will all trend north. 18z GFS is a beauty for Central VA though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 11 minutes ago, JFLETCHER said: I really don't want to be a debbie-downer but I just have that gut feeling that this will all trend north. 18z GFS is a beauty for Central VA though. It tended slightly north but still a hit. Lots of runs to go. Storm is next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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