wasnow215 Posted Sunday at 11:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 11:50 PM 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: Although it was an impactful event for us, it was very disappointing that the huge totals didnt verify. RIC was 20°F during the height of the event. Meanwhile, PHF, just 60 miles SE, was close to 60°F. No wonder we mixed with such a gradient. Sleet even made it as far north as DCA and cut into their totals; although they still do exceptionally well, I think, something around 16". It ended as sleet for us even as far north as New Jersey because the storm was so strong it was pulling warm air in from the Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 12:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:55 PM 0z EPS snowfall mean for next week, not bad 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:37 PM It seems like everything is just cutting just a little bit too far north and west of us for anything significant next week. I'm sure there's plenty of time to change but we rarely see it change to colder right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM 1 hour ago, wasnow215 said: It seems like everything is just cutting just a little bit too far north and west of us for anything significant next week. I'm sure there's plenty of time to change but we rarely see it change to colder right? If NAO is more negative that will help suppress things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 07:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:41 PM 44 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: If NAO is more negative that will help suppress things Do you have any ideas how you think it'll play outwith the NAO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 08:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:35 PM 54 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Do you have any ideas how you think it'll play outwith the NAO? Not quite sure but here is the index forecast. Want the index to go negative. Looking like it will be closer to neutral slightly positive based off todays data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 08:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:38 PM This is encouraging though for EPS RIC can you post the individual members 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 08:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:40 PM EPS 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 08:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:55 PM Also 12z AIFS (New euro AI) spits out this beauty 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted yesterday at 09:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:18 PM Bullseye over a week out? Yeah, that checks out. Next will be Andrew Frieden and other TV mets calling attention to the middle of next week for a chance of significant snow. Then the NOVA/DC crew whines as they are getting fringed and then the models trend north, then the models take away the storm, then the storm reappears but only for Central VA to get scraps and mixing issues while the storm inevitable trends north and the NOVA/DC crew jackpots. Sorry, I am jaded. Give me one more SECS and I am good for the season. Remind me next year though, the key is for me not to get firewood. I have gotten all the years I have been in this house like clockwork and then based on recent seasons, said, nah, I am good this year and we have some excellent cold and at least some wintry precip that hung around. I have been having to buy the bag wood bundles, which I loathe doing, to use in my kindling cracker. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 2 hours ago, JB Fins said: Bullseye over a week out? Yeah, that checks out. Next will be Andrew Frieden and other TV mets calling attention to the middle of next week for a chance of significant snow. Then the NOVA/DC crew whines as they are getting fringed and then the models trend north, then the models take away the storm, then the storm reappears but only for Central VA to get scraps and mixing issues while the storm inevitable trends north and the NOVA/DC crew jackpots. Sorry, I am jaded. Give me one more SECS and I am good for the season. Remind me next year though, the key is for me not to get firewood. I have gotten all the years I have been in this house like clockwork and then based on recent seasons, said, nah, I am good this year and we have some excellent cold and at least some wintry precip that hung around. I have been having to buy the bag wood bundles, which I loathe doing, to use in my kindling cracker. Pretty much 100% aligns with how I feel. We see this every time. Models show a beauty over CENTRAL VA, to nothing, back to being a monster and 2-3 days before it all shifts North and we get scrappy mixed weather time and time again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago The only time I can remember a bull’s-eye from a week out was 2016. Both the major models had the storm.. it fluctuated some but not much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago Here are the EPS ensembles members from 12z not bad at all. I know it’s a week out but looks nice. FWIW Will probably be different next run, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Overnight's EPS and GEFS are solid for next week. Some misses but more good ones than misses! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 12z GFS is a thing of beauty- 48 hrs straight of snow starting midday 10th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago that is one massive snowstorm next week for us per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I know this will change… Lol but I have to post it. What a beauty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Things finally getting into range where we can all start to pay attention again. Going to be an interesting two week period starting Sunday. Would love to see a lot more suppression to lock in that cold air. Looks like the 48 hour storm is dependent upon cold air arrival to catch the precip and a secondary wave. That doesn't usually work out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago DAMN!! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Thank you guys for posting...it sounded like a funeral in the main thread since they weren't in the jack zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 25 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Thank you guys for posting...it sounded like a funeral in the main thread since they weren't in the jack zone. Blah, we pointed out yall were getting the goods 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 20 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Blah, we pointed out yall were getting the goods Ah, I missed it, must have jumped ship early. Now go take some Advil for that hangover. All the best tracker, you are the best in that thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, Conway7305 said: DAMN!! Here is the GEFS mean through that period. I am in Chicago and been busy so haven't been able to follow as closely. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Here is the GEFS mean through that period. I am in Chicago and been busy so haven't been able to follow as closely. P25 and I'll die happy. Wont be able to leave my house for a week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Dr. No!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 30 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Ah, I missed it, must have jumped ship early. Now go take some Advil for that hangover. All the best tracker, you are the best in that thread. Heh, I did fuck the pbp up tho. I can admit when I tank. But yeah, I'll be more attentive to give yall shout outs, especially when it's good down there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago All good as you are not a regional snob like others and I depend on you guys for the knowledge. I just need Bob Chill to weigh in, then I know a threat is real. Then, if we get Midlo to post, I will go oil my shovel. Thanks for all that you do to keep this board going. Of course, rooting for everybody to score a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro a big hit, but alot of us are on the wrong side of the line for some of it. The big ones always are... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said: Euro a big hit, but alot of us are on the wrong side of the line for some of it. The big ones always are... hopefully the ensemble members will be better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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