mikeeng92 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Thursday night/ Friday still has a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 2 hours ago, RVAman said: It’s not going to snow here at all today lol. I don’t even expect to see a single flake per the HRRR and NAM. What a bummer of the last 24 hours. Oh well. This hobby is frustrating! It's much warmer all over, including to the north of us. Not sure those high end snowfall totals will verify around DCA (still 38°F), could be on the low end the way things are going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 53 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: Thursday night/ Friday still has a chance. Seems worth monitoring. Euro and GFS have had it, although last couple runs of the Euro essentially took it away, keeping it well offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Cold air chasing precip almost NEVER works out. Short range models were wayy to warm. That said, there's no way you can stick a fork in the midweek event at this time when these models can't even get it right 6 to 12 hours in advance. Fun times, win or lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 Might be time to take a break. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 12 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Might be time to take a break. Time to wait till next Dec in NN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Yeah that looks bleak. Almost dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: It's much warmer all over, including to the north of us. Not sure those high end snowfall totals will verify around DCA (still 38°F), could be on the low end the way things are going. What a disaster. The cold air chasing precipitation never works around here. Outside of the Miller B to weeks ago, this great pattern has been garbage. Can't find a Miller A that can deliver ever around here. Back to drought watch it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 18 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Might be time to take a break. Yeah,I’m right with you. Pattern Change after next week and MJO going into warm phases, AO and NAO both positive . EPO not ideal. Not to be a downer but my guess is we don’t see any real threats until later this winter or towards March once everything reshuffles again. Maybe it reshuffles sooner. I actually thought we would score something this week with the cold push:/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Euro ensembles are slightly better but that's grasping. Looks like anywhete not within 30 miles of the Atlantic north of the Albemarle is a big nothing. Still Bears watching for the immediate Virginia Beach down to the Outer Banks but they'd be fortunate to even get that inch. Might be a Nags Head chase for three or four inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 Tim Pandajis at 13NewsNow posted the GRAF snowfall for Hampton Roads which is still robust so the light isn't completely extinguishedhttps://www.instagram.com/p/DFAv3GaM9yZ/?igsh=MTQ4dXZnYnltYWl6YQ== Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 8 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Tim Pandajis at 13NewsNow posted the GRAF snowfall for Hampton Roads which is still robust so the light isn't completely extinguishedhttps://www.instagram.com/p/DFAv3GaM9yZ/?igsh=MTQ4dXZnYnltYWl6YQ== They are in a tough spot our local Mets in Hampton roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 That midweek threat is null. Including the HR area. RIC said it best. It’s time to take a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 May have convinced my wife to move to Yonkers NY next year. I may be in luck for snow for the next decade (alternative being Tampa FL) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 19 Share Posted January 19 11 minutes ago, RVAman said: May have convinced my wife to move to Yonkers NY next year. I may be in luck for snow for the next decade (alternative being Tampa FL) Tampa was fun for a year.. moved back to Richmond, we are currently looking at Huntsville for our next move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 2 hours ago, RVAman said: May have convinced my wife to move to Yonkers NY next year. I may be in luck for snow for the next decade (alternative being Tampa FL) 2 hours ago, Hyphnx said: Tampa was fun for a year.. moved back to Richmond, we are currently looking at Huntsville for our next move. This is also my last winter here, I'll be out by the the beginning of April. Had hoped to go out with a winter bang, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19 Author Share Posted January 19 3 hours ago, EverythingisEverything said: They are in a tough spot our local Mets in Hampton roads. 3 hours ago, chris624wx said: Tim Pandajis at 13NewsNow posted the GRAF snowfall for Hampton Roads which is still robust so the light isn't completely extinguishedhttps://www.instagram.com/p/DFAv3GaM9yZ/?igsh=MTQ4dXZnYnltYWl6YQ== Tim Pandajis has been really active and transparent with the changing information. Wish more were like him. I remember when he worked in Richmond maybe 10-12 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 24 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: This is also my last winter here, I'll be out by the the beginning of April. Had hoped to go out with a winter bang, but we'll see. Where ya headed to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 LR GFS fantasy spitting out BS again…lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Disappointed that we didn’t see a single flake. Expected but still upsetting. Local Mets really need to stop hyping people up for views. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 50 minutes ago, EverythingisEverything said: Where ya headed to? I'm either back in NYC or possibly Chicago. I haven't decided yet. @Conway7305@wasnow215, @Stormpc, or @chris624wxwill have to take the reins for this thread next winter. Although I could participate from afar as I did in the past, I still have a soft spot for winter weather in this area having lived in Richmond and HR at different times in my life. 39 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: LR GFS fantasy spitting out BS again…lol I'm definitely taking a break, at least for the next few days. I may just check once or twice a day. I need to get caught up on a lot, and tracking has been too much wasted effort. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Guess I need to get subscription to WeatherBell then lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 00z GFS OTS with the late week low unfortunately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 2 hours ago, chris624wx said: Guess I need to get subscription to WeatherBell then lol I paid monthly for a few months last winter and then got an annual this summer. I won't do that again because I didn't start using it routinely until November. I am not here much in the summer, but I'll become active if there is a hurricane threat. Many people track summer storms, but to me, they are too routine and not as interesting. 39 minutes ago, chris624wx said: 00z GFS OTS with the late week low unfortunately I guess I'll cherish the remains of the small piles of dirty snow in parking lots and along sidewalks during this arctic outbreak. The leftover snow in my backyard took a beating yesterday as about 80% of what lasted for the last 1.5 weeks melted. As of this morning, only a tiny amount remained, but that melted today. Seems like our next possible threat is not until around 1/30 - 2/1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 18 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: I paid monthly for a few months last winter and then got an annual this summer. I won't do that again because I didn't start using it routinely until November. I am not here much in the summer, but I'll become active if there is a hurricane threat. Many people track summer storms, but to me, they are too routine and not as interesting. I guess I'll cherish the remains of the small piles of dirty snow in parking lots and along sidewalks during this arctic outbreak. The leftover snow in my backyard took a beating yesterday as about 80% of what lasted for the last 1.5 weeks melted. As of this morning, only a tiny amount remained, but that melted today. Seems like our next possible threat is not until around 1/30 - 2/1. I saw that on 0z for 1/30, everything looks good that far out….lol We also lost all the snow we had today in our backyard . At least the ponds will freeze up somewhat next 3-4 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12Z nam much better for Currituck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 23 minutes ago, ldub23 said: 12Z nam much better for Currituck Most globals and meso's are giving us a period of snow. Whether it's 3 hours or 6 it doesn't look like much but maybe a dusting to an inch. We need a good 50 to 75 MI bump to the northwest to get snow in through interior Northeast North Carolina and up the peninsula. Now if I were in Nags Head or Manteo I'd be pretty satisfied with the prospect of getting a solid inch or two. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, ldub23 said: 12Z nam much better for Currituck 3k NAM has the snow reaching as far north as PHF, but it's very brief, maybe an hour or so at most before precip slides back to the SE. 58 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Most globals and meso's are giving us a period of snow. Whether it's 3 hours or 6 it doesn't look like much but maybe a dusting to an inch. We need a good 50 to 75 MI bump to the northwest to get snow in through interior Northeast North Carolina and up the peninsula. Now if I were in Nags Head or Manteo I'd be pretty satisfied with the prospect of getting a solid inch or two. 12z GFS just came in, has a more expansive precip field. This is as far north and west as it gets. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Getting better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 24 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Getting better Yeah we need another appreciable bump in the next 24 hours. Still time. There's nothing even going on in the Deep South yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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