RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 4:26 PM, chris624wx said: 12z CMC not as eye popping as last night but still consistent! Expand 1/29/2014 could be a close analog. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 4:31 PM, RIC Airport said: 1/29/2014 could be a close analog. Expand That would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 4:33 PM, ldub23 said: That would be nice. Expand If so, hopefully we can expand the snow farther west. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 12z GEFS for mid week storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 12z Euro was an improvement fwiw. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Trend is our friend. I have been out of town moving one of our offices so was wondering why the big dog the TV mets were discussing a few days had disappeared off their forecasts. Assume they all live and die by the Euro so if it continues to shift, maybe it makes it back into their extended forecasts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 There were hints of another threat next Friday to keep things interesting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 5:45 PM, RIC Airport said: 12z Euro was an improvement fwiw. Expand Definitely an improvement over 00z. Let's baby step it 50-100 miles NW over the next few days! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 It's gonna be run to run fun until the possible pattern change as MJO goes to at least 3 after 1/30. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 All positive trends for next Tuesday / Wednesday. Hopefully Richmond area isn't in between both systems. As it stands right now it's very possible. But of course things change. Hopefully you all get a little taste before the Arctic blast takes hold. Whatever you get is going to stay around a while (from Sunday night). Looks like you have to be north of Fredericksburg to taste anything with this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I think the entire Richmond Metro area will definitely get a half inch to an inch based on the trend for Sunday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 https://x.com/webberweather/status/1880316868277465119 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 NAM made a big jump North for the Sunday storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 8:25 PM, Ephesians2 said: NAM made a big jump North for the Sunday storm. Expand playing catch up to the other models basically 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I think we score 1-1.5 from Sunday storm. Enough to cover the ground…lol Hoping next week Storm #2 trends well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 9:06 PM, Conway7305 said: I think we score 1-1.5 from Sunday storm. Enough to cover the ground…lol Hoping next week Storm #2 trends well. Expand If the models stay consistent with what they have done so far this season, and by that I mean, overdoing suppression and trending north, we might just be in a good spot for middle of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18z GFS still has a great look for NE NC and Hampton Roads for the mid-week storm! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Yeah we need that to shift north west about 200 miles so everyone enjoys. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Take it for what is worth but here is the evolution of GFS past 5 cycles and you can see a trend north with the moisture and rain snow lines 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Maybe for once the north trend will help Ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 11:07 PM, jlewis1111 said: Maybe for once the north trend will help Ric Expand Wakefield has added 40% pops for Tuesday night over Hampton Roads and 30% pops for the rest of the CWA including Richmond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 11:10 PM, RIC Airport said: Wakefield has added 40% pops for Tuesday night over Hampton Roads and 30% pops for the rest of the CWA including Richmond. Expand 50% pops down by me. Imagine Nags Head gets crushed with a foot of snow and the rest of us substantially less. There's a chance with this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 11:21 PM, Stormpc said: 50% pops down by me. Imagine Nags Head gets crushed with a foot of snow and the rest of us substantially less. There's a chance with this one. Expand Great! I didn't click down there, haha. But, a chance of snow with temps in the low teens is not something you see often around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 On 1/17/2025 at 11:21 PM, Stormpc said: 50% pops down by me. Imagine Nags Head gets crushed with a foot of snow and the rest of us substantially less. There's a chance with this one. Expand This won’t happen. I won’t allow it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18z Euro an inch to an inch and a half snow depth area wide from south to north for Sunday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvateach Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Let’s hope Sunday moves along and things don’t get too cold too quick and maybe this thing later in the week keeps ticking NW…. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Canadian is nice for Tue/Wed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 GFS at 0z is a moderate event, the CMC is a major storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 18 Author Share Posted January 18 On 1/18/2025 at 4:18 AM, wasnow215 said: Canadian is nice for Tue/Wed Expand On 1/18/2025 at 4:18 AM, ldub23 said: GFS at 0z is a moderate event, the CMC is a major storm Expand One can dream. Frigid, too! But, the March 1980 blizzard also had mid-upper teens in Richmond and only around 20°F at ORF during that storm. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I'd cash out with the GFS in a heartbeat...usually lol But if there was a chance to experience what the Canadian is spitting out, it'd be tempting to put all my chips on the table! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now