TampaMan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Man I’m not even in the winter storm warning here over in tuckahoe. That’s lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 18z NAM holds strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Long Range EPS look good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 8:22 PM, RVAman said: Man I’m not even in the winter storm warning here over in tuckahoe. That’s lame. Expand We will be, hard to imagine that not expanding to include metro and Western Henrico 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Once again why you guys hugging the euro? Oh must be a backyard thing lol Euro did awful on amounts last storm. gfs and nam both did great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Did the euro not do well on Monday? I thought it was pretty darn accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 8:47 PM, jlewis1111 said: Once again why you guys hugging the euro? Oh must be a backyard thing lol Euro did awful on amounts last storm. gfs and nam both did great. Expand Not hugging the euro and not talking about just the last one but overall the European model has been one of the better models for years and years. So it makes sense that one would hope that it would show more than an inch to an inch and a half of snow in our area here in Richmond. I'm not even saying it's going to be right it's just weird 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 AKQ really leaning into the warm nose for Southside Hampton Roads in their latest AFD. That's why we weren't upgraded to the WSW. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsheely88 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 9:12 PM, chris624wx said: AKQ really leaning into the warm nose for Southside Hampton Roads in their latest AFD. That's why we weren't upgraded to the WSW. I think as they are always very conservative. I think the warm nose comes to the border- if that. This is a classic tidewater storm. Hopefully bombs and over performs . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rsheely88 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 9:12 PM, chris624wx said: AKQ really leaning into the warm nose for Southside Hampton Roads in their latest AFD. That's why we weren't upgraded to the WSW. Look at 18z GFS upped totals again, GFS V3 does a better job with rain snow line and has higher amounts in SE VA. GFS pumps out 6” with some sleet but not sure since RS line will be crucial . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownS.EasternVa Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 GFS just dropped a bomb on all of Eastern VA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownS.EasternVa Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 GFS trending colder for Hampton Roads as well, 32-33 the entire event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBeach Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 9:59 PM, DownS.EasternVa said: GFS trending colder for Hampton Roads as well, 32-33 the entire event. Expand Bring it! ☃️ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:04 PM, SnowBeach said: Bring it! ☃️ Expand This is one of those deals where the Western Branch of Chesapeake up near the mmmmmbt tunnel has 3.5 inches while the people down in South Chesapeake and Great Bridge barely have 1.5. Still early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Once again gfs and the nam for the win.. Euro is trash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 6:59 PM, wasnow215 said: It's hard not to hedge bets win the European model still is so dry and south. If we do get 3 to 5 inches it is a big model fail for the European model. Expand Bro the euro is trash. It had the whole system last time with short pump area between 9-13.. Complete garbage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I want to see ground truth and what this does the next 12 to 16 hours in the Deep South into South Carolina and western North carolina. Which side of the frozen spectrum they see as compared to what these models are spewing out. So many variables. It's interesting yet comical but it certainly looks like from Newport News up to Richmond there's going to be a good hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:20 PM, jlewis1111 said: Once again gfs and the nam for the win.. Euro is trash Expand Win? Let the event happen before you crown a victor. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 9:01 PM, RVAman said: Did the euro not do well on Monday? I thought it was pretty darn accurate. Expand Id did F awful. It had accumulation all the way down the va nc border. Also had short Pump between 9-13 inches. Euro did awful. Keep the system south. GFS and Nam both had it north and less accumlation down here. Im not even paying attention to the euro this go around. Its trash and was trash last winter too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:23 PM, Stormpc said: Win? Let the event happen before you crown a victor. Expand Yes win based on last storms performance Euro did awful just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:22 PM, Stormpc said: I want to see ground truth and what this does the next 12 to 16 hours in the Deep South into South Carolina and western North carolina. Which side of the frozen spectrum they see as compared to what these models are spewing out. So many variables. It's interesting yet comical but it certainly looks like from Newport News up to Richmond there's going to be a good hit. Expand Yup with the north trend that happens too wouldnt be suprised if the beach is all rain by this time tomorrow on the model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:25 PM, jlewis1111 said: Yes win based on last storms performance Euro did awful just saying. Expand I think around the southern edges it didn't do as well but it nailed everything from Fredericksburg up through Baltimore... from the Blue Ridge over to the oceans in Maryland and Delaware to the beaches. It was actually one of the only models that had the northern Edge trimmed properly. Maybe didn't do so hot on the south side but looking beyond just a few spots it did pretty damn well. I would never discount the euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:37 PM, Stormpc said: I think around the southern edges it didn't do as well but it nailed everything from Fredericksburg up through Baltimore... from the Blue Ridge over to the oceans in Maryland and Delaware to the beaches. It was actually one of the only models that had the northern Edge trimmed properly. Maybe didn't do so hot on the south side but looking beyond just a few spots it did pretty damn well. I would never discount the euro. Expand hahahah nailed everything from fred up to Baltimore lmao yea it sure did but once again it had short pump at 13 lol gfs and nam picked up the north area of the storm and had lower amounts down here. Please dont backyard wish cast please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:43 PM, jlewis1111 said: hahahah nailed everything from fred up to Baltimore lmao yea it sure did but once again it had short pump at 13 lol gfs and nam picked up the north area of the storm and had lower amounts down here. Please dont backyard wish cast please Expand You have such a tone that is really annoying tbh. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 On 1/9/2025 at 10:43 PM, jlewis1111 said: hahahah nailed everything from fred up to Baltimore lmao yea it sure did but once again it had short pump at 13 lol gfs and nam picked up the north area of the storm and had lower amounts down here. Please dont backyard wish cast please Expand No it didn’t- had on average 5-6 in short pump with minimal down to nc border. Very easy to go back and look at the numerous runs that showed that vs a random run 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Did it show it one time and you held on to that run? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 On 1/10/2025 at 12:08 AM, Demeter said: Did it show it one time and you held on to that run? Expand Coming in with the receipts. Love it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Does anybody have the 18z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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