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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


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15 minutes ago, RVAman said:

Hoping we all cash in. from metro Richmond to Hampton roads 3-5 inches. Of course I’m greedy and want 5 up here but want you guys in on it too

It's hard not to hedge bets win the European model still is so dry and south. If we do get 3 to 5 inches it is a big model fail for the European model.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
231 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025

NCZ012-VAZ084-086>090-092-093-099-100-523>525-100345-
/O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.250111T0000Z-250111T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0002.250111T0000Z-250111T1800Z/
Northampton-Gloucester-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James
City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Accomack-Northampton-York-Newport
News-Hampton/Poquoson-
231 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected, with the potential for a light glaze
  of ice. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches and ice
  accumulations less than one tenth of an inch.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast North Carolina and eastern and
  southeast Virginia.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
231 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025

VAZ060-065>067-079>083-085-514-516-518-520-100345-
/O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.A.0002.250111T0000Z-250111T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0002.250111T0000Z-250111T1800Z/
Prince Edward-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-
Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Middlesex-Eastern
Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Eastern Henrico-Eastern
King William-Eastern King and Queen-
231 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and
  4 inches expected, with locally higher amounts of 4 to 6 inches
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central, eastern, and south
  central Virginia.

* WHEN...From 7 PM Friday to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.
 
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20 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

Once again  why you guys hugging the euro? Oh must be a backyard thing lol Euro did awful on amounts last storm. gfs and nam both did great. 

Not hugging the euro and not talking about just the last one but overall the European model has been one of the better models for years and years. So it makes sense that one would hope that it would show more than an inch to an inch and a half of snow in our area here in Richmond. I'm not even saying it's going to be right it's just weird

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AKQ really leaning into the warm nose for Southside Hampton Roads in their latest AFD. That's why we weren't upgraded to the WSW. 

I think as they are always very conservative. I think the warm nose comes to the border- if that. This is a classic tidewater storm. Hopefully bombs and over performs


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AKQ really leaning into the warm nose for Southside Hampton Roads in their latest AFD. That's why we weren't upgraded to the WSW. 

Look at 18z GFS upped totals again, GFS V3 does a better job with rain snow line and has higher amounts in SE VA. GFS pumps out 6” with some sleet but not sure since RS line will be crucial


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13 minutes ago, SnowBeach said:

Bring it! ☃️

This is one of those deals where the Western Branch of Chesapeake up near the mmmmmbt tunnel has 3.5 inches while the people down in South Chesapeake and Great Bridge barely have 1.5. 

Still early. 

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3 hours ago, wasnow215 said:

It's hard not to hedge bets win the European model still is so dry and south. If we do get 3 to 5 inches it is a big model fail for the European model.

Bro the euro is trash. It had the whole system last time with short pump area between 9-13.. Complete garbage

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I want to see ground truth and what this does the next 12 to 16 hours in the Deep South into South Carolina and western North carolina. Which side of the frozen spectrum they see as compared to what these models are spewing out. So many variables. It's interesting yet comical but it certainly looks like from Newport News up to Richmond there's going to be a good hit.

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1 hour ago, RVAman said:

Did the euro not do well on Monday? I thought it was pretty darn accurate. 

Id did F awful. It had accumulation all the way down the va nc border. Also had short Pump between 9-13 inches. Euro did awful. Keep the system south. GFS and Nam both had it north and less accumlation down here. Im not even paying attention to the euro this go around. Its trash and was trash last winter too

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