RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 02:20 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:20 AM 2 hours ago, wasnow215 said: Euro ensembles @RIC Airport good sir? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM 38 minutes ago, RVAman said: Did you account for the additional snowfall last night? RIC got 6 total from the storm. Actually surprised it melted as much as it did today. It never “felt” like 6 inches were on the ground at one time. 27 minutes ago, Siberian-Snowcover-Myth said: Actually I didn’t. It may have been closer to 5”. I was surprised also how quick it had melted. It was revised down to 3.5" this afternoon. Admittedly the 6" was too high and not representative of area reports. Not the first time this has happened. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted yesterday at 03:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:22 AM ICON hits central NC pretty good. 1-2 here seems possible. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-met&rh=2025010712&fh=90&r=atl&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 03:35 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:35 AM 13 minutes ago, ldub23 said: ICON hits central NC pretty good. 1-2 here seems possible. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-met&rh=2025010712&fh=90&r=atl&dpdt=&mc= 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
krasnyoktyabr Posted yesterday at 03:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:36 AM I'd much rather be on the north side of a storm for once. It's not sexy, but give me 3" with no mixing issues and I'm happy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted yesterday at 03:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:52 AM 14 minutes ago, krasnyoktyabr said: I'd much rather be on the north side of a storm for once. It's not sexy, but give me 3" with no mixing issues and I'm happy. For SE VA this is a good track. GFS will probably end up more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted yesterday at 03:59 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:59 AM 24 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Nice for me. Sloppy slider...OTS. Still wayyy too early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 04:00 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:00 AM 7 minutes ago, ldub23 said: For SE VA this is a good track. GFS will probably end up more north It's been pretty consistent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 04:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:04 AM 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: It's been pretty consistent. Unfortunately the trends are showing less qpf every model run it seems. Could be Euro os onto something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 04:08 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 04:08 AM 2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: Unfortunately the trends are showing less qpf every model run it seems. Could be Euro os onto something. There is about 0.40" at RIC, and yes QPF is a bit less than previous run. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted yesterday at 04:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:34 AM 33 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: It's been pretty consistent. Yep more north. I have a feeling this will be an exact repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 11:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:45 AM 6z runs much better seemingly for slow in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 11:48 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:48 AM GFS, ICON and NAM seems to be in that 2-4" range again -anyone have 6z Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted yesterday at 12:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:45 PM Starting to look like a slop of a storm down here. Front end thump of snow maybe and then a mix or just a cold rain. Bleh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted yesterday at 01:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:22 PM 32 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Starting to look like a slop of a storm down here. Front end thump of snow maybe and then a mix or just a cold rain. Bleh . Probably produce 1-2 for you with hopefully a sleet crust to finish. Something to watch at least. Only had a handful of situations to look at in the last 5 years so we have that. Still early. I like where Norfolk is on this one. Not so much further east or south, toward Coastal Virginia Beach Back Bay and further south. You might get mostly snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted yesterday at 01:33 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:33 PM Anybody have 6Z European model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted yesterday at 01:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:56 PM 33 minutes ago, Stormpc said: Probably produce 1-2 for you with hopefully a sleet crust to finish. Something to watch at least. Only had a handful of situations to look at in the last 5 years so we have that. Still early. I like where Norfolk is on this one. Not so much further east or south, toward Coastal Virginia Beach Back Bay and further south. You might get mostly snow Definitely in a better spot still than you are in NENC. Still doesn't look too impressive to me, but a long way to go. Just feeling a little despondent haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted yesterday at 03:09 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:09 PM 1 hour ago, wasnow215 said: Anybody have 6Z European model? Looks like it keeps precip all snow from here to RIC but its light snow. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025010806&fh=75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 03:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:37 PM ICON was bad. No snow at all :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted yesterday at 03:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:41 PM I think the most recent NWS briefing summarizes the event really well. Quote ...All of this being said, still need to iron out some details regarding this event, especially in regards to QPF amounts and placement, which will have large impacts in regards to total accumulations. Both the 00z EPS and GEFS did cut back mean QPF and mean total snowfall a bit from previous runs, while the CMC came in slightly higher. We will have better details soon as we start to get into range of some of the higher-res models, but the main takeaway is that there is a reasonably high chance at this point for a widespread 1-3" of snow accumulation with the potential for higher amounts based on how everything evolves going forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 04:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:00 PM 12z GFS basically the same as 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted yesterday at 06:07 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:07 PM EURO kinda same. Dry. If I'm on the east and south side of Richmond down to Toano and sw to Emporia I'm pretty confident with 2-4 inches of snow. Outside those boundaries is a crapshoot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 06:10 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:10 PM 10 minutes ago, Stormpc said: EURO kinda same. Dry. If I'm on the east and south side of Richmond down to Toano and sw to Emporia I'm pretty confident with 2-4 inches of snow. Outside those boundaries is a crapshoot. EPS favors S & E of RIC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EverythingisEverything Posted yesterday at 06:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:12 PM Local Weather Mets, not to sure on amounts at the moment for SE VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted yesterday at 06:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:21 PM Euro showing fantasy storm 1/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted yesterday at 06:28 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:28 PM 4 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Euro showing fantasy storm 1/20 We seem to either be too far south or too far north. But, happy to see another threat, a 3rd threat had been popping up off and on for a while. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Really pulling for y'all in this sub for this coming weekend...I know this past Monday didn't turn out quite as expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted yesterday at 06:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:55 PM Thanks! Loved your snow squall pics and play by play last week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted yesterday at 07:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:14 PM I’m expecting 2-3 maybe 4 on the high end here in Henrico Friday into Saturday. A much fluffier snow. Will likely all melt very quickly on Saturday afternoon but will be pretty nonetheless. Thought this one would have the opportunity to juice up but not looking likely sadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted yesterday at 08:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:24 PM 12z euro shows basically almost no precip. Maybe an inch if we’re lucky. I’ll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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