eaglesin2011 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 It’s all about if your lucky enough to be under a nice heavy banding .. grass isn’t even covered here yet off of Staples /295 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 10 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 00z 3K NAM has RIC at 2.8" at 6am when 850s start to rise above 0. Just checked a sounding, might be in trouble as early as 1am or 2am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 12 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: 00z 3K NAM has RIC at 2.8" at 6am when 850s start to rise above 0. These totals in addition to the 2"+ have already in Chesterfield since this run just started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 NAM is playing catchup, HRRR has been better so far 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 That mixing around that time is nothing new … you can see looking at the radar things will really start to dry out then for a few hours ..that’s just another reason why being under a good heavy band is key… The powerful thunderstorms are what is drying everything out even more at the moment… We all may not get a real big 2nd thump, if that keeps happening .. unless, we are lucky enough to stay cold enough when the thunder-snow bands move through later tonight/tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 NAM showed the backend very well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: That mixing around that time is nothing new … you can see looking at the radar things will really start to dry out then for a few hours ..that’s just another reason why being under a good heavy band is key… The powerful thunderstorms are what is drying everything out even more at the moment… May not get a real big 2nd thump if that keeps happening .. unless you are lucky enough to stay cold enough and get hit by a thundersnow band later/tommorow 100% -Exactly what a lot of the models were showing. Front end thump like we're getting now (going on 3 inches right now at my house). And then a mix and then nothing and then back end snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 8 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: NAM showed the backend very well. 16 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: These totals in addition to the 2"+ have already in Chesterfield since this run just started? So that was a serious question. The OZ NAM-This is remaining snow right since this is the 00Z model and we already have snow down here? Is that how it works? @RIC Airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Getting absolutely crushed here in midlo. Dumping right now. 3.25 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Ashland- moderate now- roads covering- took a while to get precip all the way down but in line with modeled 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, jlewis1111 said: Getting absolutely crushed here in midlo. Dumping right now. 3.25 inches Def not "and inch or 2 MAYBE and then nothing" that many were talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 9 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: So that was a serious question. The OZ NAM-This is remaining snow right since this is the 00Z model and we already have snow down here? Is that how it works? @RIC Airport Sorry, I overlooked your first question. I believe the model tries to account for what has already fallen. But it's not precise; it's only an estimate, so it's very possible it could be on the low end for your particular location. There will still be a transition to IP, maybe ZR before there is a period of a lull and rain before the back-end snows arrive late afternoon and evening. All of this is location dependent; the farther north you are, the more likely you remain frozen through and through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Can anyone tell where the LP is compared to the different models forecasted for this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Def not "and inch or 2 MAYBE and then nothing" that many were talking about. excuse me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: Def not "and inch or 2 MAYBE and then nothing" that many were talking about. I have over 3 inches now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, RIC Airport said: Sorry, I overlooked your first question. I believe the model tries to account for what has already fallen. But it's not precise; it's only an estimate, so it's very possible it could be on the low end for your particular location. There will still be a transition to IP, maybe ZR before there is a period of a lull and rain before the back-end snows arrive late afternoon and evening. All of this is location dependent; the farther north you are, the more likely you remain frozen through and through. Thank you! Just saying I'm at 3" plus now at 23120. Moseley. I know we will turn at some point but definitely above what many thought already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Nice for chesterfield. Still at maybe an inch in the west end. Subsidence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, jlewis1111 said: I have over 3 inches now Me too! I'm by Mag Green Golf Course 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 For now Chesterfield def over performing Henrico for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 @Midlo Snow Maker!!! Hope you are doing well and getting snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 The low is right where pretty much all the models had it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seether Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Were at almost 3 inches here in Chester (23831) near Thomas Dale high school. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Sleet Line looks to be somewhere near Farmville right now. Hope you all get plenty of time with snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Does anyone have total sleet and freezing rain maps for the HRRR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Not sure how much we have, but the grass looks mostly covered in the city, and the sidewalks and side roads are covered. Cary St. is getting very slushy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, Ephesians2 said: Does anyone have total sleet and freezing rain maps for the HRRR? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 6 Author Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, Rhino16 said: Sleet Line looks to be somewhere near Farmville right now. Hope you all get plenty of time with snow! Hopefully it stays away as long as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, yoda said: @Midlo Snow Maker!!! Hope you are doing well and getting snow! I'm still around my man! Making snow and enjoying this day, it's been awhile. Good luck up there. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 May not have been fatties but this shit piled up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: May not have been fatties but this shit piled up No doubt, impressive so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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