Demeter Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 14 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Good luck, think of us down here, share a few pics. I always cheer for you guys. I work in Richmond often and love to see the snow down there. Don’t count your eggs until they hatch. Let’s see what happens here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_LeBoof Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Wow the precip has really filled in on radar! Much earlier than expected. Appears that the cold air has intruded further south than the modeling anticipated as well! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 21 minutes ago, Dick_LeBoof said: Wow the precip has really filled in on radar! Much earlier than expected. Appears that the cold air has intruded further south than the modeling anticipated as well! Hopefully it's a sign for possibly maximizing the front end thump. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 hour ago, RIC Airport said: Hopefully it's a sign for possibly maximizing the front end thump. Kind of a gap forming over roanoke. Hopefully not a sign that the good stuff slides south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Backfill. But that’s where the warm air arises. Hopefully this Virga becomes precip asap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I feel good about my 3-5" call south to north. More Hanover especially central to western Hanover 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 8 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: I feel good about my 3-5" call south to north. More Hanover especially central to western Hanover DT has 6-8 for me. (Between shortpump and northern tuckahoe). I’d eat a brick if that happens lol. We really need this front end to start and end the Virga. FarmVille has precip now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 6 minutes ago, RVAman said: DT has 6-8 for me. (Between shortpump and northern tuckahoe). I’d eat a brick if that happens lol. We really need this front end to start and end the Virga. FarmVille has precip now. Bro I thought you were taking a break.... Relax go watch some football ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 AKQ made some slight adjustments to the numbers, just clarifying the higher amounts north of I-64. If anything snow cover makes it through tomorrow, where there is about a 6 hour window when the surface temps could be above freezing, it'll stick around for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 6 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: AKQ made some slight adjustments to the numbers, just clarifying the higher amounts north of I-64. If anything snow cover makes it through tomorrow, where there is about a 6 hour window when the surface temps could be above freezing, it'll stick around for a bit. That sounds accurate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 HRRR still looks relatively healthy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 2 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: HRRR still looks relatively healthy. Looks like a nice snowy evening ahead of us. 2-3” by 3 am 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I feel like all of you are back on board now -I like it lol. Also I live in Moseley and on the winter storm warning they just upped my snow total from 1 to 3 to 2 to 4 in the verbiage. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 dry slot approaching fast before precip even makes it to the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 Sleet is already being reported in Amelia and SW Chesterfield. Not a good sign. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 8 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Sleet is already being reported in Amelia and SW Chesterfield. Not a good sign. Well, it is still above freezing currently. Were we supposed to be colder than this already? There’s snow and sleet reaching the ground in the 757 where my folks are. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, SoCoWx said: Well, it is still above freezing currently. Were we supposed to be colder than this already? There’s snow and sleet reaching the ground in the 757 where my folks are. Even after the massive dry slot coming through? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 3 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: Well, it is still above freezing currently. Were we supposed to be colder than this already? There’s snow and sleet reaching the ground in the 757 where my folks are. Yeah this this just barely has gotten going lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, RVAman said: Even after the massive dry slot coming through? Let it play out and see how things fill in as we approach past 15 minutes of the event lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Just now, wasnow215 said: Let it play out and see how things fill in as we approach past 15 minutes of the event lol I was gonna respond, but said nevermind. Dude has been incessantly negative to the point of just outright blind cynicism literally all day. Like, I get it. It’s Richmond. It’s been 3 years without anything appreciable. But like… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 You mean speaking facts? Got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 4 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: Well, it is still above freezing currently. Were we supposed to be colder than this already? There’s snow and sleet reaching the ground in the 757 where my folks are. Dewpoints are in the low single digits. Any precip will cause temperatures to fall below freezing quickly with evaporative cooling. I'm just pointing out that sleet is pretty far east and practically on our doorstep this early, essentially right at the onset, is not a good sign. We want a solid 6-8+ hours of snowfall before any sleet arrives if we want to maximize accumulations. It's early, but obviously sleet doesn't take up as much room as snow, so it won't accumulate as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 1 minute ago, RVAman said: You mean speaking facts? Got it. I'm not arguing about something we can't control. I'm just saying let it play out. I know you don't think anything is really gonna come of this and that's fine but some do and we will see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I thought the onset of snow was supposed to start after 8. Precip Shield still looks nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 30" on the GFS for the next system for DC. If that happens and Richmond and Lynchburg get 1/5 of that... Sigh. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I still think we get some good action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 5 Author Share Posted January 5 Just now, benjammin said: 30" on the GFS for the next system for DC. If that happens and Richmond and Lynchburg get 1/5 of that... Sigh. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk Right, next weekend is still on the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 I still think we get some good actionI'm from Arlington. I lived there for 40+ years. Snow envy is real. Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 5 minutes ago, RVAman said: You mean speaking facts? Got it. Saying you’re speaking facts, is not the same as actually doing it. Especially on the internet. If your cynicism was to be believed, then it would mean the models all went to hell today, and that’s not what happened. They converged and came to a consensus. Some models ticked south, and some ticked north. Everything else seems to have remained the same. If all of the current data holds true, we will see more snow than we’ve seen in awhile, even if it isn’t as much as we’d like. But yes, it is Richmond. You *could* be right. It doesn’t mean you *will* be right. I personally don’t care that much, it’s been so long that we’ve gone without. Hell, if I woke up to 50 degrees and rain tomorrow, I’d laugh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Moderate snow here in Moseley 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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