Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 And whatever falls is going to stick around for a while as temps will plummet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, Conway7305 said: And whatever falls is going to stick around for a while as temps will plummet EPS for 1/6 event, backs up the Op. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 I am worried about mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, RIC Airport said: I am worried about mixing. IMO. If we can get 4 or more inches, I am happy. I don’t care about sleet/ice as long as 4 inches falls imo. Just don’t wanna see the grass blades…lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 4 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: I am worried about mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 As I said before.. It almost always will mix here or dry air will always find a way in at some point… Still time for adjustments but it’s a better trend the last few runs with most models .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Can Newport News break the 1000+ day streak of not an inch of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: As I said before.. It almost always will mix here or dry air will always find a way in at some point… Still time for adjustments but it’s a better trend the last few runs with most models .. Right. And the key is how much to take away from the clown maps because of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Right. And the key is how much to take away from the clown maps because of it. Also, @eaglesin2011 confluence is no substitute for a bona fide high to our north, so that makes warm air advection easier in this setup. The Euro could be too cold at the upper levels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 hour ago, wasnow215 said: Ugh...I'm SO GLAD but I run a very popular convenience store and that makes it quite the pain my gosh lol. Just trying to get associates in cuz we don't close! Hahahahaha I hope you pay double to what ever employee does show up.. (if there is ice&snow) They deserve it .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I don't have that type of control haha. But I take care of them! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 48 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Nice 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 15 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: Massive! Does that include both storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, Conway7305 said: Massive! Does that include both storms? Will take E 46! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 10 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Massive! Does that include both storms? Yes, but mostly the 1st from looking at the dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 NAM actually trended south again! But still not much snow, front end thump. Trending in right direction 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 hours ago, ldub23 said: Can Newport News break the 1000+ day streak of not an inch of snow? 3 years to the date that RIC measured over an 1" or 1,095 days. Might be the same for you in the News. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 NAM isn't great, but an improvement. It brings some snow into Central VA, but still mostly sleet/ZR. Hoping it's overamplified as I've heard its bias is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 The trends have been just terrific for us snow lovers today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 ICON is a significant improvement and gives Richmond area some snow from the Coastal as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 NAM is awful. How accurate is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 On the other hand, the RGEM looks like a *slight* step back, but basically unchanged (mostly sleet/ice with 1-3" in Central VA). It's a DC/NoVA jackpot with the 6" line near Fredericksburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, RVAman said: NAM is awful. How accurate is it? If I remember correctly, the mets in the main thread state it's wheelhouse is 36-48 hours. Believe they just stated how precip happy it gets, a popular phrase is "getting NAM'd" in the main thread as it always shows a lot but rarely verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 We need the upper end of 3”. No grass being seen please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 The GFS does not cave. Going to be virtually identical to 12z. Also significantly drier than other models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JFLETCHER Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 18z UKMET stays south but only goes out to 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 However, past events when dealing with marginal thermals have often trended towards more sleet/freezing rain as opposed to snow across much of the area. As such, confidence in precip types remains rather low. However, confidence in an impactful winter event with at least Winter Weather Advisory level snow/sleet/freezing rain has increased. Winter Storm Watches will likely be need for a portion of the FA (the highest confidence being along and N of I-64 with Richmond being in an area of greater uncertainty). However, per collaboration with WPC and neighboring offices, will hold off on any headlines for this update cycle and will reevaluate overnight. From Wakefield 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaMan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Mighty quiet in here. Have we lost hope? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I’m still pumped! Everything shifted south. GFS even inched south. i’m more worried about a dry slot screwing everything up. I think we will get snow on front and back end and it probably will mix w/ sleet and freezing rain in middle. Waiting on someone to post the 18z euro when it is available . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now