Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[JB Fins]

Ah, the thread is awakened...thank you RIC.  Crossing fingers for next week, time on the calendar (near the 5th) checks.  It's been too long since we have been able to do this...

[ldub23]

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-met&rh=2024120812&fh=336&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

[Conway7305]

12z GFS Miller A fantasy land looks nice 

[wasnow215]

5 minutes ago, Conway7305 said:

12z GFS Miller A fantasy land looks nice 

I think the pattern makes more sense for that possible event first week of January, than the other threats we've had on the models this year. Be nice to score finally. Been a few years. 

[Conway7305]

LR extended run, not bad 

[Conway7305]

Nice fantasy blizzard from 12z EURO

 

 

 

[RIC Airport]

1 hour ago, Conway7305 said:

Nice fantasy blizzard from 12z EURO

That storm on the 12z Euro would be epic!! And unlike 2016, it's an all snow event through and through for anyone west of about New Kent. Truly a beautiful evolution! It has that old school big snowstorm track that seems to be nonexistent nowadays.

It also has a lot of wind, so the snow and wind combo, at least for a time, would be like 1/23/2016 or 1/25/2000 (My all time favorite ). Both storms had about a 6-8 hour period with +SN and BLSN at RIC, which is unusual. Click the link below and check out the hourly observations for the 2000 storm, things got really good after sunrise!

https://weatherspark.com/h/d/147038/2000/1/25/Historical-Weather-on-Tuesday-January-25-2000-at-Richmond-International-Airport-Virginia-United-States#Figures-ColorTemperature

In the 2016 storm, RIC narrowly missed reaching official blizzard criteria because, during the second of three hours, they recorded a wind gust of 32 mph instead of the 35 mph required.

Seeing more signals of cold and storminess is encouraging. And like everyone else, I’m waiting to see how the rest of this winter develops, but I’m trying not to get too caught up in each model run, especially anything still over a week away with no run to run consistency. Last year was fun but exhausting, especially when we didn’t get much snow, and the 2nd half of winter ended in disappointment despite all the hype. 

I haven’t been posting much lately because I had surgery about about 10 days ago, and the timing of this potential storm isn't ideal for me. I’ll be dealing with post-surgical recovery until 1/13 before I’m fully mobile again. While I’ll be able to track a storm and participate here before then, I won’t be able to enjoy the event as much due to my limited mobility.

[RIC Airport]

Euro AI appeared to be a RIC and Hampton Roads special.

Storms like  1/7/2017, 2/26/2015, 1/3/2002, 2/18/1989, and 3/1/1980 come to mind.

 

[RIC Airport]

Actually, just looked at a couple panels, verbatim southside Hampton Roads would have some precip type issues. But the most of the peninsula and interior SE VA scores.