Conway7305 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 A little sleet mixing in with snow now. Just got back to Henrico 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Fully over to sleet in the Fan near VCU. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaGirl Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Switched over to sleet in Tuckahoe, West End Richmond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Still coming down decent and all snow in Ashland. Driveway and sidewalk starting to cave a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Looks like that maybe it for accumulating snow here.. At least we got a decent dusting … pos freezing rain in early morning hours… Travel still could be interesting in the morning at least on the back roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Hoping that band south of Roanoke and Lynchburg doesn’t move too far north and we can get some of that. May be pushing north too quickly though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Spoke to soon- sleet mixed in now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Yes that band is booking north. It's gone within the next hour, at least city and SE. Remember to take the model that has the most snow divided by half then divide it by 1/3 and that's the high end of the total. So in this case a trace to 2 in would be the max in the Richmond area. That looks like it's going to work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 back to snow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Big last burst started to cave the roads right as this starts to pull away .. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Same on both- back to all snow and coming down pretty good atm - probably sitting at 1.25” to 1.5” on the surfaces that accumulated first 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 On the bright side, it has already snowed more this winter than last—not that that was a high bar or anything. You can only go up from nothing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Really coming down again in the city! It’s gorgeous out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Heavy Snow in Henrico, Roads starting to cave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Seems like the snow band hasn’t moved north much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 14 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Seems like the snow band hasn’t moved north much Creeping now. That's great! Hopefully you guys pull out another inch or two before it's over. Not bad! Weekend thing isn't done yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 Wakefield extended the advisory until 8am. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 349 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 VAZ060-061-068-069-512-513-515-516-160500- /O.EXT.KAKQ.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-240116T1300Z/ Prince Edward-Cumberland-Amelia-Powhatan-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Including the cities of Farmville, Angola, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Raines Tavern, Reeds, Stoddert, Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork, Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, Jetersville, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Richmond, and Sandston 349 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of central Virginia. * WHEN...Until 8 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. For the latest road conditions in Virginia or Maryland, please call 5 1 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 1 hour ago, SoCoWx said: On the bright side, it has already snowed more this winter than last—not that that was a high bar or anything. You can only go up from nothing. I agree. I really hope this is not it for the winter. It's too bad the band didn't set up a bit farther south before moving north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Getting close to 2 inches here in Glen Allen 295 /Staples breaks the streak at least 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 GFS and Euro maintain the idea of an additional snow chance on Friday during the day, with the GFS more aggressive with its depiction. The 18Z GFS had a 12-15-hour snow window on Friday from 7am to 10pm. Temperatures look to be around 31-34°F around Richmond for most of the event but fall as the low deepens offshore to our NE and draws in colder air. Obviously, we are still a few days away, and the details could change, but based on what I mentioned earlier, this is not looking to be a big event. Also, Hampton Roads and NE NC could see some, too, @Stormpc, @ldub23, @Topher, et. al. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 15, 2024 Author Share Posted January 15, 2024 13 hours ago, eaglesin2011 said: Getting close to 2 inches here in Glen Allen 295 /Staples breaks the streak at least Nice! You were lucky to be in the right spot with how the band set up. RIC officially came in at 0.5", so unless some miracle happens and another half-inch falls between now and midnight, the streak with less than 1.0" continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Yep hanging on to the back edge . Still coming down nicely at the moment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Looks to be filling back in around Danville but a dry slot between there and Lynchburg opening up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 15, 2024 Share Posted January 15, 2024 Currently at 3”- definitely better than models were showing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 16, 2024 Author Share Posted January 16, 2024 1 hour ago, Sernest14 said: Looks to be filling back in around Danville but a dry slot between there and Lynchburg opening up 1 hour ago, Sernest14 said: Currently at 3”- definitely better than models were showing! I'm glad it worked out. It's always great when events overperform. At 7pm, the temperature was still 32°F at RIC, and no model yesterday had it that cold this late. It's too bad there is no precip, but even if there had been and based on the 850mb temp map below, that pesky sleet line would still be somewhere near the city thanks to the developing surface low off the coast and pushing warmer air northward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 16, 2024 Share Posted January 16, 2024 Looks like we have another little shot with this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 16, 2024 Author Share Posted January 16, 2024 The 00Z HRRR continues to lift the snow band toward the DC metro area. However, mixed precipitation continues to develop periodically as far south as the Richmond metro area throughout the night and into tomorrow morning. Temperatures look to remain steady around freezing. It has areas SE of Richmond, including Hampton Roads, that are mostly dry, but you could still see spotty light rain since temperatures in this area stay well above freezing. Around 10 am tomorrow, HRRR has a more widespread band of precipitation developing across the Richmond Metro and then moving SE toward Hampton Roads. Verbatim, the temperature at RIC is around 34°F-35°F, so it’s rain when it begins. Still, temperatures drop to around freezing during the precip, so it transitions to a mix and finally snow before ending and moving east between 2 pm and 3 pm. This transition to a mix and snow could occur as far east as Williamsburg, the middle peninsula, and the northern neck. Areas east and SE of Williamsburg see just rain with this precip patch. Should the temperatures stay 2-3 degrees colder than the model indicates, there could be more widespread frozen precip around Richmond tomorrow morning into the afternoon with this development. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 16, 2024 Share Posted January 16, 2024 5 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: The 00Z HRRR continues to lift the snow band toward the DC metro area. However, mixed precipitation continues to develop periodically as far south as the Richmond metro area throughout the night and into tomorrow morning. Temperatures look to remain steady around freezing. It has areas SE of Richmond, including Hampton Roads, that are mostly dry, but you could still see spotty light rain since temperatures in this area stay well above freezing. Around 10 am tomorrow, HRRR has a more widespread band of precipitation developing across the Richmond Metro and then moving SE toward Hampton Roads. Verbatim, the temperature at RIC is around 34°F-35°F, so it’s rain when it begins. Still, temperatures drop to around freezing during the precip, so it transitions to a mix and finally snow before ending and moving east between 2 pm and 3 pm. This transition to a mix and snow could occur as far east as Williamsburg, the middle peninsula, and the northern neck. Areas east and SE of Williamsburg see just rain with this precip patch. Should the temperatures stay 2-3 degrees colder than the model indicates, there could be more widespread frozen precip around Richmond tomorrow morning into the afternoon with this development. HRRR has been awful with this storm so far (at least for our area). it has wanted to continue to push the precip more due north than a more ENE direction which is what we saw all day. I feel like every run they had precip out of our area within the hour 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 16, 2024 Author Share Posted January 16, 2024 35 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: HRRR has been awful with this storm so far (at least for our area). it has wanted to continue to push the precip more due north than a more ENE direction which is what we saw all day. I feel like every run they had precip out of our area within the hour Yeah, I agree it hasn't been great, especially when I was looking yesterday and comparing to what happened today. FWIW, the 00z 3K NAM followed a similar theme, although it seems slower than the HRRR with the snow band's northward movement. Also, it's far more aggressive with overnight mixed precip from the Richmond metro and points north and west. Unfortunately, it will be mixed precip because the low-forming offshore pushes in warm air at 850 MB. The 0C line gets as far north as PHL by sunrise, so even DCA, BWI, and such will eventually mix. The 3K NAM has the next heaviest batch of precip moving into the Richmond area between 8 am and 9 am and ending around 2 pm. Hampton Roads thereafter, but the 3K NAM wasn't as aggressive with a transition to mix or snow for the eastern areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 16, 2024 Share Posted January 16, 2024 GFS is more aggressive with the changeover than 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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