qg_omega Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 A famous cold spot in our forecast area, Saranac Lake, has a forecast low of around 0 degrees Fahrenheit. It`s only a single night with this frigid cold though, as a storm system approaching will advect in milder air and increasing clouds for the following periods. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don’t think any precip will have started by 8pm tomorrow. Looks closer to 10pm-midnight timeframe. Thank you! That helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 5 hours ago, jbenedet said: Turkey Day turning into DSD in SE locations. Looks nice actually, mid 50's for SNE. but,but I was told it was going to be a cold Thanksgiving Day.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: but,but I was told it was going to be a cold Thanksgiving Day.... Guidance pushed the core of the cold to the following week and then lingering into early December whereas about 4-5 days ago, it looked like the core of the cold was Tday weekend with potentially eroding cold late the following week. I know your post is more on the troll-y side but just posting this for those who are interested in the evolution of the changes rather than one-liners. 9 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Guidance pushed the core of the cold to the following week and then lingering into early December whereas about 4-5 days ago, it looked like the core of the cold was Tday weekend with potentially eroding cold late the following week. I know your post is more on the troll-y side but just posting this for those who are interested in the evolution of the changes rather than one-liners. Everything I’ve seen has 42-47 Tgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Everything I’ve seen has 42-47 Tgiving Looks about average-ish for Tday. Maybe slightly below avg esp over interior NW high terrain where weak low level CAA will be ongoing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 22 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: but,but I was told it was going to be a cold Thanksgiving Day.... But we were told that the beginning of December was a torch a couple weeks ago too. Things change, we tried to explain this a couple weeks ago, but we’re told by the same old peeps that that was a defense mechanism. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 down to 28 already with DP at18, should be a nice cold one tonight. So, does anyone south of the pike look to start white upcoming, or just cold rain? next week looks a little promising for a couple chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Thanksgiving looks beautiful in SNE. What a beaut. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 7 minutes ago, tavwtby said: down to 28 already with DP at18, should be a nice cold one tonight. So, does anyone south of the pike look to start white upcoming, or just cold rain? next week looks a little promising for a couple chances Sleet wouldn’t surprise me to start where you are. Maybe some brief flakeage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: but,but I was told it was going to be a cold Thanksgiving Day.... PSM hit 40 this afternoon. -7 for a polar airmASS 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Everything I’ve seen has 42-47 Tgiving Seeing is believing ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Just now, jbenedet said: PSM hit 40 this afternoon. -7 for a polar airmass ...some people here are searching Draft Kings to find out which team Polar Airmass is playing....they want to take the opponent +7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Point and click but we hope!! Tuesday Night Rain, possibly mixed with snow. Patchy fog before 1am, then patchy fog after 2am. Patchy freezing fog between 1am and 2am. Low around 30. Southeast wind 7 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 20 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Thanksgiving looks beautiful in SNE. What a beaut. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 8 hours ago, dryslot said: I'm going to end up less then 5 miles SE of the good snow, No CAD to be had this go round. NAM really scours out the cold air at the surface quicker than other models and no CAD to speak of like you mention. I’m tempted to believe it and toss other models for now. Still think my 2-4 imby call is good and would hedge towards lower end atm. Should be a nice sloppy mess, kinda how I like my t-day meal 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Boy, the 18Z Euro really jacks me. 1.42" liquid and almost all is snow. Even at 18Z on Wednesday the 925mb temp is 0C and 850 is -1C. I do best with SWFE type systems since the Whites shadow me in strong nor'easters. Wish temps were just a bit colder. Of course this is just one run but more fun to watch this than smoking cirrus while SNE gets a big storm Of course the NAM is totally different! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Boy, the 18Z Euro really jacks me. 1.42" liquid and almost all is snow. Even at 18Z on Wednesday the 925mb temp is 0C and 850 is -1C. I do best with SWFE type systems since the Whites shadow me in strong nor'easters. Wish temps were just a bit colder. Of course this is just one run but more fun to watch this than smoking cirrus while SNE gets a big storm Of course the NAM is totally different! So you’re west of the white mountains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So you’re west of the white mountains? He’s SW of them. So NE flow shadows a bit, but it’s still not too bad since he just east of higher terrain to his west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: But we were told that the beginning of December was a torch a couple weeks ago too. Things change, we tried to explain this a couple weeks ago, but we’re told by the same old peeps that that was a defense mechanism. Yep that’s weather for ya, any forecast 2 weeks out is going to change multiple times. Hell, even a week is a long time in weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. The pac is nothing like last year. It still comes down to results of course but we’re in good shape for at least an avg winter… with the upside for more imo. Not concerned. I am extremely cautiously optimistic for a near normal season. The look (and results in current pattern) so far has been ok. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I am extremely cautiously optimistic for a near normal season. The look (and results in current pattern) so far has been ok. im guessing normal around here is 70 to 80? we can hope but even last year was close thanks to a few biggies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s SW of them. So NE flow shadows a bit, but it’s still not too bad since he just east of higher terrain to his west. Ahh Ok, thanks for the info. Would it be better for him with regard to the shadowing, if he was in that higher terrain to his west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Guidance pushed the core of the cold to the following week and then lingering into early December whereas about 4-5 days ago, it looked like the core of the cold was Tday weekend with potentially eroding cold late the following week. I know your post is more on the troll-y side but just posting this for those who are interested in the evolution of the changes rather than one-liners. Sat looks pretty cold now, good delivery (esp euro). If the trough doesn't lift out too fast there's a decent shot at sub-freezing highs into interior SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Ahh Ok, thanks for the info. Would it be better for him with regard to the shadowing, if he was in that higher terrain to his west? I think it wouldn’t be a big difference at the same elevation. Haven’t him sort of tucked in like where he is does him well I think. The real downslope areas are up to his north near Plymouth NH, and over towards the nrn lakes region. They can shadow pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: im guessing normal around here is 70 to 80? we can hope but even last year was close thanks to a few biggies I went over by over a foot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: I am extremely cautiously optimistic for a near normal season. The look (and results in current pattern) so far has been ok. When I think of November. This season has been what I imagine. Some cold days, a steady seasonable chill, and one true torch out ahead of a trough/cold front. Today’s vibe was what I think of when I imagine the back half of November up here. A skiff of cold snow on the ground (dusting-3” depending on elevation), frosty ridges, low sun angle, cold, and snow guns blasting away at the ski areas. This November has gone about how climate norms would have it. Hopefully normal carries through the winter. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Currently 16F off a high of 30F in town. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 CoolIng down now, home Davis @ 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: When I think of November. This season has been what I imagine. Some cold days, a steady seasonable chill, and one true torch out ahead of a trough/cold front. Today’s vibe was what I think of when I imagine the back half of November up here. A skiff of cold snow on the ground (dusting-3” depending on elevation), frosty ridges, low sun angle, cold, and snow guns blasting away at the ski areas. This November has gone about how climate norms would have it. Hopefully normal carries through the winter. November’s have been ok past few winters, it’s the mid December warmth that’s killed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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