CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 To me 00z gfs makes more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 I think it was Tday 1989 I remember getting about 6". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it was Tday 1989 I remember getting about 6". 89 we got that but in 87 at least in southern ORH county we had rain to sleet; miserable day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 12z GFS may be even flatter then 06z early on, No phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 this is hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 LOL GFS is so flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: this is hilarious That's pretty bad for 3 cycles, Its all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: this is hilarious look at that shift in western Mexico.....something flipped that model since 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: this is hilarious I was just going to post this I hope it's not another winter of this crap with the model swings and uncertainty. This is beyond laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Euro has been killing Gfs recently. Gfs had a hurricane hitting CC this weekend and now it’s a light shower . We are back to not using Gfs 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Weak overrunning event this run, One extreme to the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Back to milder Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Euro has been killing Gfs recently. Gfs had a hurricane hitting CC this weekend and now it’s a light shower . We are back to not using Gfs LOL relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 CMC looks flatter early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 still gets many on the board regardless, but it is a strong outlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 You want it stronger to pull winds northeast and maintain AGEO flow. Weak is warmer. Canadian a fropa. Warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You want it stronger to pull winds northeast and maintain AGEO flow. Weak is warmer. Canadian a fropa. Warm. This is why significant snow is unlikely....you need a needle thread amount of phasing that is enough to back ageo, but not enough to congrats Dendrite. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Wild changes this run. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 This is probably just going to be a typical FROPA with showers, some heavier rain, and gusty winds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: This is probably just going to be a typical FROPA with showers, some heavier rain, and gusty winds I have noticed that guidance has been initially too amplified few times over the past month...maybe something to keep in mind as the season approaches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have noticed that guidance has been initially too amplified few times over the past month...maybe something to keep in mind as the season approaches. Yes definitely. I was hoping maybe the GFS was onto some idea but these 12z runs have ended it for me. You can clearly see where this is headed now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 WTTE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: WTTE It will be a flaccid fropa. Sell screamer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, we know that's wrong, look where the jack is. We also know because, "snowy winters in Massachusetts are a thing of the past." 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: It will be a flaccid fropa. Sell screamer. He gets fixated on these wind fantasies and won't let go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: He gets fixated on these wind fantasies and won't let go. We tried to tell him. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: It will be a flaccid fropa. Sell screamer. Still a screamer 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 Looks solid for nne resorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It will be a flaccid fropa. Sell screamer. Yeah this doesn’t look like a deeply phased western cutter that produces big southerly gales. This is turning into weak sauce regardless of exact track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2023 Share Posted November 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: We also know because, "snowy winters in Massachusetts are a thing of the past." meh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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