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Yesvember or November?


Go Kart Mozart
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21 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The subsequent cold shots (after turkey day) are also going to dampen out as they dump into the plains and then moderate as they head east to our region. Normal at worst.

are you referring to like after the 26th or so? because it looks frigid for this time of year for Thanksgiving and the next couple of days that follow

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23 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

The subsequent cold shots (after turkey day) are also going to dampen out as they dump into the plains and then moderate as they head east to our region. Normal at worst.

All the models are cold after Thanksgiving. Might be the coldest Thanksgiving in years.

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3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

are you referring to like after the 26th or so? because it looks frigid for this time of year for Thanksgiving and the next couple of days that follow

yea. We're headed to phase 8 ->1. That cold is legit and is dumping into Central plains, but I believe it's going to moderate a lot as it heads east at our latitude. 

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1 minute ago, jbenedet said:

yea. We're headed to phase 8 ->1. That cold is legit and is dumping into Central plains, but I believe it's going to moderate a lot as it heads east at our latitude. 

yeah, probably. we could still see a decent event into NE (especially interior and north) through the end of the month before things moderate into early December

the tropical forcing we're seeing now will pay dividends once we get later into winter, though

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23 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day.  We are not seeing anything like that....

T-Day 2018 had a max of 11° here, and that was the temp at my 9 PM obs time the night before.  Afternoon max was 9, following the -3 min.  That might've been the coldest Thanksgiving in the past hundred years.

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19 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Funny we’re heading to Chicago Sunday driving this time before going to California the day before Thanksgiving.   Coming back to Boston by car through the lakes especially returning the end of tday weekend could be interesting.

Somewhere in that lakes region may get smoked. They’ve had a hell of a run recently. 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

On its way north.

My guess is we end up with the classic worst case sensible wx that often happens in November....we wedge at the sfc but its too warm aloft for a lot of snow....so mostly cold 35-45F rains. GGEM just came in a lot more wedged than 00z at the sfc....so we're probably starting to get some model convergence on cold rain.

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

My guess is we end up with the classic worst case sensible wx that often happens in November....we wedge at the sfc but its too warm aloft for a lot of snow....so mostly cold 35-45F rains. GGEM just came in a lot more wedged than 00z at the sfc....so we're probably starting to get some model convergence on cold rain.

Yeah agree. At least T Day looks more festive temp wise.

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47 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day.  We are not seeing anything like that....

You are correct.. it was 2018. We went to an awesome place for Thanksgiving called Abigail's in Simsbury, CT. It is a large colonial looking home turned into a restaurant...... There was snow on the ground and it was so cold that day that all the Window panels had frost around the perimeter during the afternoon. 

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30 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

You are correct.. it was 2018. We went to an awesome place for Thanksgiving called Abigail's in Simsbury, CT. It is a large colonial looking home turned into a restaurant...... There was snow on the ground and it was so cold that day that all the Window panels had frost around the perimeter during the afternoon. 

I've been there before...  The food was good.  We had booked it out for a work thing so there was 20 or so of us.

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