OceanStWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 30 minutes ago, dendrite said: It wouldn't shock me at all to keep a wedge in place up here with a low tracking that far west. The GFS over the last 2 runs has really increased the confluence here Tue PM. Euro notsomuch yet. That's the ticket. Cut so far west we dam instead of torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Big GL Cutter. We knew. Warm sector easily up to Winne. +NAO with deepest surface cold over the upper midwest. Nothing stopping a bend back into central ontario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 The subsequent cold shots (after turkey day) are also going to dampen out as they dump into the plains and then moderate as they head east to our region. Normal at worst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 50 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm concerned Mac Jones will become the first QB in history to throw a pick on a bye week * 5th qb. Somehow it’s been done by Zach Wilson, Sam darnold, geno smith, and mark sanchez.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 21 minutes ago, jbenedet said: The subsequent cold shots (after turkey day) are also going to dampen out as they dump into the plains and then moderate as they head east to our region. Normal at worst. are you referring to like after the 26th or so? because it looks frigid for this time of year for Thanksgiving and the next couple of days that follow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 23 minutes ago, jbenedet said: The subsequent cold shots (after turkey day) are also going to dampen out as they dump into the plains and then moderate as they head east to our region. Normal at worst. All the models are cold after Thanksgiving. Might be the coldest Thanksgiving in years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: are you referring to like after the 26th or so? because it looks frigid for this time of year for Thanksgiving and the next couple of days that follow yea. We're headed to phase 8 ->1. That cold is legit and is dumping into Central plains, but I believe it's going to moderate a lot as it heads east at our latitude. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: yea. We're headed to phase 8 ->1. That cold is legit and is dumping into Central plains, but I believe it's going to moderate a lot as it heads east at our latitude. yeah, probably. we could still see a decent event into NE (especially interior and north) through the end of the month before things moderate into early December the tropical forcing we're seeing now will pay dividends once we get later into winter, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: All the models are cold after Thanksgiving. Might be the coldest Thanksgiving in years. 2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day. We are not seeing anything like that.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: 2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day. We are not seeing anything like that.... Might have snow otg here thats all I care about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Might have snow otg here thats all I care about Zero chance with that massive warm cutter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Zero chance with that massive warm cutter Meh might be cold enough at the start and be able to keep some into Thanksgiving 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Funny we’re heading to Chicago Sunday driving this time before going to California the day before Thanksgiving. Coming back to Boston by car through the lakes especially returning the end of tday weekend could be interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Tomorrow looks beautiful - low 60's. The cold behind the front looks like it takes us back to Normal. Saturday maybe very slightly BN, and Sunday back above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 22 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day. We are not seeing anything like that.... That was warm…we stayed at 16 for the high…with huge wind. Was brutal. It was 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Tomorrow looks beautiful - low 60's. The cold behind the front looks like it takes us back to Normal. Saturday maybe very slightly BN, and Sunday back above. Saturday is AN. Sunday is likely near normal. Saturday likely has a predawn high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 23 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day. We are not seeing anything like that.... T-Day 2018 had a max of 11° here, and that was the temp at my 9 PM obs time the night before. Afternoon max was 9, following the -3 min. That might've been the coldest Thanksgiving in the past hundred years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: Funny we’re heading to Chicago Sunday driving this time before going to California the day before Thanksgiving. Coming back to Boston by car through the lakes especially returning the end of tday weekend could be interesting. Somewhere in that lakes region may get smoked. They’ve had a hell of a run recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 We 12Z GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Just now, ineedsnow said: We 12Z GFS On its way north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: On its way north. My guess is we end up with the classic worst case sensible wx that often happens in November....we wedge at the sfc but its too warm aloft for a lot of snow....so mostly cold 35-45F rains. GGEM just came in a lot more wedged than 00z at the sfc....so we're probably starting to get some model convergence on cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: My guess is we end up with the classic worst case sensible wx that often happens in November....we wedge at the sfc but its too warm aloft for a lot of snow....so mostly cold 35-45F rains. GGEM just came in a lot more wedged than 00z at the sfc....so we're probably starting to get some model convergence on cold rain. Yeah agree. At least T Day looks more festive temp wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah agree. At least T Day looks more festive temp wise. Heh...check out that ridge bridge on GFS for 12z on Tday next week. Might be an opportunity down the line in late Nov with that look. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I bet we see this end up over CHI That was last year... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 That is one pretty negatively tilted trough. If we can get that secondary to be just a bit more east we would wedge longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 47 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 2018 (or 19) it stayed in the low 20's here all day. We are not seeing anything like that.... You are correct.. it was 2018. We went to an awesome place for Thanksgiving called Abigail's in Simsbury, CT. It is a large colonial looking home turned into a restaurant...... There was snow on the ground and it was so cold that day that all the Window panels had frost around the perimeter during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 30 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: You are correct.. it was 2018. We went to an awesome place for Thanksgiving called Abigail's in Simsbury, CT. It is a large colonial looking home turned into a restaurant...... There was snow on the ground and it was so cold that day that all the Window panels had frost around the perimeter during the afternoon. I've been there before... The food was good. We had booked it out for a work thing so there was 20 or so of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: Tomorrow looks beautiful - low 60's. The cold behind the front looks like it takes us back to Normal. Saturday maybe very slightly BN, and Sunday back above. Already 63 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, jbenedet said: Big GL Cutter. We knew. Warm sector easily up to Winne. +NAO with deepest surface cold over the upper midwest. Nothing stopping a bend back into central ontario The Canadian ? Is a trash model ...if the others are on board fine but are they ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Already 63 here now. Nice. 58 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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