tamarack Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 16 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Well, we had a couple days of record/near record cold in February last year…that should have killed any insects that were still hanging around no? Had >20" pack when that blast hit, so the mice and voles were snuggling and making babies underneath. Bare ground, cold wx and lots of raptors are the best tick medicine. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Second half of next week could be quite warm...meanwhile the Sierra's could see their first significant winter storm of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Also nice to see a severe threat emerge in the Lower Mississippi Valley region but its near 300 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it really improved on the 5-day mean after about 12/17 or so….here’s the 5-day trailing mean on 12/15…you can see it’s still ugly And then the end of the run is 12/22 5 day mean which is a lot better…the pacific looks really good by then with the Aleutian low, -EPO/+PNA split flow with STJ …but obviously grain of salt that far out The only thing we care about early in the season is a Christmas where Santa is not sliding through our Chimney’s with shorts and sandals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: The only thing we care about early in the season is a Christmas where Santa is not sliding through our Chimney’s with shorts and sandals. Yeah hopefully we can get a solid PAC pattern by mid-month. All of our issues near Xmas the last few years were directly related to a hostile pacific. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 48 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Second half of next week could be quite warm...meanwhile the Sierra's could see their first significant winter storm of the season. Are they progged to get dumped again like last winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Are they progged to get dumped again like last winter? IIRC correctly, they do quite well precipitation wise during EL Nino episodes. Ultimately though, I don't think there is a strong signal overall between ENSO phase and snowfall for the Sierra's. I think if you look at their top 10 snowiest seasons there is a heavy mix of EL Nino/La Nina. However, it is interesting to note that when they got whacked last winter it was during a pattern which resembled more of an EL Nino than the La Nina state we were in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 15 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Are they progged to get dumped again like last winter? One should hope so as it would likely further quiet the voices of catastrophe in California. We saw this in the late 70s particularly 77-78 which most of us would say yes please to here. I was there then and we got a big rainstorm in December with high snow levels so there was hand wringing about that. I kind of remember a headline in the LA Times saying something like “Rain prolongs drought”. My friends and I were laughing about that one! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Number 10 or 13 would work 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 My bees have been gone for a couple of weeks. Outside of the renegade struggler on the ground moving 3 inches per hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 46 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Number 10 or 13 would work If there was 80% of those with those 2, Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Cold weekend and early next week…then potential torch for late next week/weekend…perhaps Tday timeframe and beyond looking a bit more wintry? EPS seems to continue to advertise the flip…we’ll see if it gets pushed back or not in the coming days 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Lets get that early Dec window open for something. Or even late Novie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lets get that early Dec window open for something. Or even late Novie. Yes, That's when we like to kick off winter, With everything that's happened in the last 10 weeks here for me anyways, I'm not going to get in the woods this year for hunting but it would be good if we can get winter started around T-giving week and into the first part of Dec before and if we have an AN period before reloading towards the end of Dec for a change. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Nice cell moving through pwm atm. good rn and wind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 67 here today. Really nice day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 29 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, That's when we like to kick off winter, With everything that's happened in the last 10 weeks here for me anyways, I'm not going to get in the woods this year for hunting but it would be good if we can get winter started around T-giving week and into the first part of Dec before and if we have an AN period before reloading towards the end of Dec for a change. Deer are running I saw the biggest buck I've ever seen on my street last night running into the woods. Look like the deer from the Insurance commercial, majestic animal, stopped in the road and turned his head to me, then ran into the woods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 53 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lets get that early Dec window open for something. Or even late Novie. I'm good as long as it starts mid-December, get us into the Holiday mood and carry on through the winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Yes, That's when we like to kick off winter, With everything that's happened in the last 10 weeks here for me anyways, I'm not going to get in the woods this year for hunting but it would be good if we can get winter started around T-giving week and into the first part of Dec before and if we have an AN period before reloading towards the end of Dec for a change. Does it really kick off if it warms and melts 2 days later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 67 here today. Really nice day. Thermo in car read 70-71 all thruout Cambridge and BOS area this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 FL like squall pushing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 probably not done with this 65-70 thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: probably not done with this 65-70 thing Bank on it for Dec 24-25ish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Thermo in car read 70-71 all thruout Cambridge and BOS area this afternoon Mine never got above 67 Brookline to Dedham area. BOS high was 66-11 below the record for the date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 My Truck temp/thermometer read 64-65 today here..was a nice day for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 48 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: probably not done with this 65-70 thing We’ve been telling em’ there is a 3-5 day window Tgiving week .. possibly the holiday itself that pushes or even exceeds 70 . Signal is quite evident. Factor in it’s been Stein and dry the last month or so, no vegetation and strong zonal west downslope flow. Likely areas will overperform and furnace .Going to be ugly . We may possibly see folks roasting and basting turkeys in pans and aluminum foil on rooftops , roads , and driveways in the sun. 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Mine never got above 67 Brookline to Dedham area. BOS high was 66-11 below the record for the date. Torch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 At work today we hit 51F and now fallen back into the 30s. 0.58” rain, it was miserable to be honest to even walk outside in wind-driven rain for several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We’ve been telling em’ there is a 3-5 day window Tgiving week .. possibly the holiday itself that pushes or even exceeds 70 . Signal is quite evident. Factor in it’s been Stein and dry the last month or so, no vegetation and strong zonal west downslope flow. Likely areas will overperform and furnace .Going to be ugly . It rained last night into this morning though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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