powderfreak Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I noticed today that it was really humping the ridgelines and throwing major QPF that way. However, there was an elevation component to radar precipitation estimates at State College. But, I think HRRR is going a little wild with that. Even at MVL... starting at the 18z run, it's gone like 6", 7", 8.5", 10"+ last four runs. I'm trying to find a nowcast reason why it's going absolutely bonkers, and thats all through like 10am tomorrow. Like 6 hours of 0.10"/hr< QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 38F here, no chance of frozen here in the valley, but NW side of town towards Pomfret/Hampton might have a shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Even at MVL... starting at the 18z run, it's gone like 6", 7", 8.5", 10"+ last four runs. I'm trying to find a nowcast reason why it's going absolutely bonkers, and thats all through like 10am tomorrow. Like 6 hours of 0.10"/hr< QPF. I haven’t dug too deeply honestly. But it seems a little wild. Even with the cross hair sig. would need a lot to line up for that I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Light snow flying through the air at 1,160' in Burlington, CT... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: 38F here, no chance of frozen here in the valley, but NW side of town towards Pomfret/Hampton might have a shot Looks like very light snow on radar in the Hartford area, I think we see flakes tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 If the in-situ CAD overperforms a bit maybe we can hold onto the snow for a couple more hours in the morning. 925 and below becomes the problem after 10z, but it’s only about +1C to +2C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I haven’t dug too deeply honestly. But it seems a little wild. Even with the cross hair sig. would need a lot to line up for that I think? Yeah I was just looking through it, those soundings are incredibly marginal around 850mb. I'm just more curious on the QPF... that's what doesn't make sense. But maybe it's over-doing the lift/precip rates, and that's cooling things a bit more than reality will have too. I've got 3-4" for the mountain and some IP/ZR then ending as drizzle/rain showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Looks like pivotal has the RRFS available…more clowns for metfan and ineedsnow to post this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 A few tiny flakes in the air in Westfield. 33° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Oops…meant to post kuchie to account for the gloppier snow down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 12 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Looks like very light snow on radar in the Hartford area, I think we see flakes tonight. You have a much better shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Should start as snow for Tolland. Maybe even minor acc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Should start as snow for Tolland. Maybe even minor acc. Started as snow as far south as Middlebury and Cheshire, CT (along I-84 corrdior)... Light coating already in Warren, CT... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 I think Ray was asking for an obs thread to be started on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think Ray was asking for an obs thread to be started on this Yeah he was going to block out some time this evening to track this one closely. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Should start as snow for Tolland. Maybe even minor acc. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 Thinking 2 to 3 here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will I have a safe ride home from electric blue Troubling 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No Heavy virga to start 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 21, 2023 Share Posted November 21, 2023 23 hours ago, WinterWolf said: So you’re west of the white mountains? I'm SSW of the Whites 645pm 31/19 so snow will start accumulationg immediately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Did WKevin ever start up snow totals for this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Starting as a bit of snow here now 35/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Starting as a bit of snow here now 35/28 You’re a head case 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 Just looked at a webcam in westfield and snowing there.. so even the valley started as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You’re a head case You are the greatest Eva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Starting as a bit of snow here now 35/28 Lol….as you were told. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 32/30 and deck cancel here, surprised it actually stuck to most surfaces, if this rate keeps up for another hour we'll have grass cancel! woohoo, first official accum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 High over Lake Huron and man it was bumpy all the way from BOS. This is not an insignificant system. Smoothing out just now thankfully. 33,764 feet per my elevation app. Looks like a pretty good thump for some-enjoy! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2023 Share Posted November 22, 2023 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol….as you were told. We love to argue. Sales is taught that day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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