CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: That can be tossed. I’m not getting 2-4” here lol Yeah it’s 10:1 too. Wouldn’t shock me if you started as some. That seems like an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah it’s 10:1 too. Wouldn’t shock me if you started as some. That seems like an outlier. Nah.. it’s just rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Down to 24F with some decent rain incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Fri nite/ Saturdays’ system looks like that could coat up some places with snow showers . Thats got a chance. Tomorrow night is reserved mainly for N ORH county for a few hours 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nah.. it’s just rainer Pretty much. Clown maps are awful, especially this time of year. Hubbdave has a chance to start as some snow briefly, otherwise, everyone enjoy the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would care if you were getting a sloppy inch… Well, you are a bigger man than I am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fri nite/ Saturdays’ system looks like that could coat up some places with snow showers . Thats got a chance. Tomorrow night is reserved mainly for N ORH county for a few hours 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fri nite/ Saturdays’ system looks like that could coat up some places with snow showers . Thats got a chance. Tomorrow night is reserved mainly for N ORH county for a few hours Looks dry at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Looks dry at the moment. How many wolf demerits does that earn him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks dry at the moment. Saturday should have snow showers around 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: How many wolf demerits does that earn him? He’s having a rough time. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Euro has something Monday night, but it’s kind of a low chance thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s having a rough time. Who? I see some models with a shortwave Saturday with some lift and snow showers . Enjoy the big winds down there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who? I see some models with a shortwave Saturday with some lift and snow showers . Enjoy the big winds down there Sunday has a few mixed rain and snow showers on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Pretty legit airmass coming in. Temp slowly creeping down to 33 and 25+mph winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 I’m not as bullish for here, Maybe 1-2” right now, The rest of that map seems ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 For those that have tired of November, there is a place for you: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Hrrr really hitting elevations hard on the snow maps. Definitely more east facing ftw given flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 57 minutes ago, dryslot said: I’m not as bullish for here, Maybe 1-2” right now, The rest of that map seems ok. 3-4" would be nice, though the RA portion might turn our driveway into an ice palace. We're in the zone where 10 miles west or east would make a big difference in the GYX forecast percentages: Farmington's for 4"/6" are 59%/27% while at Skowhegan they're 27%/3%. Our place is about 6 miles from the former and 15 from the latter. Could go either way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Early start to burying the bodies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 12z NAM coming in a bit colder with that initial burst...shows accumulating snow for much of the pike region near and W of 495....we'll see if that trends at all over the next 12h. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 12z NAM coming in a bit colder with that initial burst...shows accumulating snow for much of the pike region near and W of 495....we'll see if that trends at all over the next 12h. Almost looks like a bit of dynamic cooling going on with the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Just now, weatherwiz said: Almost looks like a bit of dynamic cooling going on with the NAM It's there on all guidance....starts off pretty dry in Mid-levels with this polar airmass in place prior to the precip so even though the high is retreating, there may be a few hours of steady snow as evap/dynamical cooling work in tandem to offset the WAA for a time. You want that good burst of precip though....won't be much snow if you don't get a couple hours of good precip rates. NAM has a little cross hair sig in that 495/pike region too, so if that is real, that would help with latent cooling. Good snow growth will latently cool more efficiently than crappy ice crystals falling into a warm layer in the BL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 Yeah that’s a cross sig there on the initial burst. It’s been slowly cooling with that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah that’s a cross sig there on the initial burst. It’s been slowly cooling with that stuff. 3k NAM was similar too...sometimes it doesn't agree with 12km, but it does on the 12z run. Will be interesting to see if RGEM agrees too...if it does, then that would be a lot of mesos (if we throw in HRRR) agreeing with accumulating snow in that ORH to FIT to 495 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It's there on all guidance....starts off pretty dry in Mid-levels with this polar airmass in place prior to the precip so even though the high is retreating, there may be a few hours of steady snow as evap/dynamical cooling work in tandem to offset the WAA for a time. You want that good burst of precip though....won't be much snow if you don't get a couple hours of good precip rates. NAM has a little cross hair sig in that 495/pike region too, so if that is real, that would help with latent cooling. Good snow growth will latently cool more efficiently than crappy ice crystals falling into a warm layer in the BL. yeah I was looking at ORH on bufkit and that's a pretty decent cross hair signature. 6z NAM had 20 units of omega into the DGZ. You can really see the warm air is really struggling to penetrate into the polar airmass. Giving timing of precip too this could be a nice burst of accumulating snow for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 24 and holiday flakes . Inch last nite . Spruce peak ...long live winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 3k NAM was similar too...sometimes it doesn't agree with 12km, but it does on the 12z run. Will be interesting to see if RGEM agrees too...if it does, then that would be a lot of mesos (if we throw in HRRR) agreeing with accumulating snow in that ORH to FIT to 495 corridor. RGEM not quite as enthusiastic....more limited to N ORH county...esp Rt 2 elevated region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Sunday has a few mixed rain and snow showers on the gfs. Globals did look like they agreed on a signal for a possible system next weekend yesterday when I looked but poof for now I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2023 Share Posted November 20, 2023 21 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Globals did look like they agreed on a signal for a possible system next weekend yesterday when I looked but poof for now I guess. Yeah still probably should be watched. But definitely a big change there on overnight guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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