kdxken Posted November 15, 2023 Share Posted November 15, 2023 6 hours ago, dendrite said: 60-70 G 80-100mph Bring 'em down. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 3 hours ago, weathafella said: That’s a very tough loss Jeff. I wish you better days ahead. Thank you Jerry, I'm doing my best to keep a chin up, Its very hard, And there's good days and bad ones, Nobody should need to go thru this but the lord places this on the shoulders of ones that can bare it. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I'd like to try and squeeze something in before it warms up again. Something like an advisory anyways. 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the pattern is there for it...if we can hold the cold into the first week of December, I like our chances even more. At least we have a better shot at something producing this November then last year, It was trying to sugarcoat a crap pattern to the masses to keep them off the tobin early on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 8 hours ago, dryslot said: What did you get? Sorry Jeff for the delayed response. Managed to Spring check the MXZ XRS 850 Turbo R COMP. Pretty excited for winter to say the least. Im So So sorry for your loss Jeff. Hate hearing this news. Stay strong my friend. I know you will. Wolfie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Sorry Jeff for the delayed response. Managed to Spring check the MXZ XRS 850 Turbo R COMP. Pretty excited for winter to say the least. Im So So sorry for your loss Jeff. Hate hearing this news. Stay strong my friend. I know you will. Wolfie. You should be excited, I think were in for a good one, That's a nice sled, And thank you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Managed to Spring check the MXZ XRS 850 Turbo R COMP. That’s right. You told me that at the Grass Drags in NH. At least we know who to blame if winter sucks! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: That’s right. You told me that at the Grass Drags in NH. At least we know who to blame if winter sucks! Bahahaha …dam don’t even say that Mark. I’m pretty fired up and excited, and I’m feeling a good winter enroute for all of us. Here’s to hoping . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Somber time @dryslot but you’ll get threw it. All the best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Sat pretty much a non event here. 0.1". Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 6z gfs gone wild next week. Kind of an outlier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z gfs gone wild next week. Kind of an outlier. Euro took a solid step towards GFS at 00z.. Wouldn't that 6z gfs be nice for the forum if it verified, just expand those snow amounts about 15 miles south to include the south coast lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Damage coming . What a cut to Lakes screamer that is 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Euro took a solid step towards GFS at 00z.. Wouldn't that 6z gfs be nice for the forum if it verified, just expand those snow about 15 miles south to include the south coast lol All the models look cold and stormy moving forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 54 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Sat pretty much a non event here. 0.1". Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Works for me--i'll be at Pit2 blowing leaves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Pretty anomalous cold pattern post-Tday. EPS wants to carry it into early December. GEFS are trying to break it down a little earlier. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 6z gfs gone wild next week. Kind of an outlier. Off hour runs always weird more often than not… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Snowy 6z GFS for lots N of the Pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Snowy 6z GFS for lots N of the Pike. White Thanksgiving? Hope it's right 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty anomalous cold pattern post-Tday. EPS wants to carry it into early December. GEFS are trying to break it down a little earlier. Looks like a solid 5/7 day window for something to pop. Hopefully someone can cash, because it looks to moderate pretty significantly as we head into December and the extended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: White Thanksgiving? Hope it's right And then every other model has a beast over the Lakes. Wonder which is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 24 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: White Thanksgiving? Hope it's right Per that solution, it was a front end changing to IP and ending as cold mist/-R As others have pointed out, its an outlier - both wrt its ensemble members, and cross guidance in that regard. As I went over yesterday morning, amplitude is favored during the week with the larger hemispheric modal changes taking place. Where? Unfortunately, west is best given climo. That's strike 2. However, that synoptic cinema next week has an oddity about it. The typical spatial changes (with respect to time) are taking place at an accelerated rate over climatology. You can see the -EPO surge... the subsequent +PNA relay --> +d(PNAP) tends to take something like 3 to 5 days. This is doing so in a 2 day window. Not sure what it means for pinning down where features will be, but ... the quicker translation of large features in the guidance ( and they're all doing it) should tell us that despite the present consensus, sou'easter- like solutions, stressing climo/stretching may be idiosyncratic - sometimes that shit happens, too. I'd put it in low probability and go with W for now. Cold entry probably on that - regardless. Just a matter of how long in that phase of it. 'Sides, if it snows at all its a relative win/stand out for most so there's the interpretation game, too. The period after that is a better fit for rolling up a new risk underneath a ( by then) cold loaded continent above the 40th. Other aspects more appealing out in that range, the SPV anomaly loosens its grip and allows the flow to amplify the 'up under' regions, while the air mass is still conditionally cold enough for cryo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 As an afterthought ... I also still wonder a bit about the 'looming moon rising over the model horizon' with regard to how much of the N/stream is really forced to dive and close off over the Lakes. That would matter because less of that may allow the nuanced stretching aspect to play out more so. interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty anomalous cold pattern post-Tday. EPS wants to carry it into early December. GEFS are trying to break it down a little earlier. Starting to get more confident in this scenario occurring. what I really like is there is an absence of any PAC air flooding anywhere in Canada or the United States...it's a cold look for a large chunk of the country. I am a little concerned, however, that it may be cold/dry but conflicted on this. For as cold of a look that is the pattern is not suppressed...we have the STJ close by with the PJ just to our north so there could be potential for something big to morph during that pattern. However, what concerns me is the barrage of Arctic high's which slide south and east into the Great Plains and into the East...this is what concerns me for the dry look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Starting to get more confident in this scenario occurring. what I really like is there is an absence of any PAC air flooding anywhere in Canada or the United States...it's a cold look for a large chunk of the country. I am a little concerned, however, that it may be cold/dry but conflicted on this. For as cold of a look that is the pattern is not suppressed...we have the STJ close by with the PJ just to our north so there could be potential for something big to morph during that pattern. However, what concerns me is the barrage of Arctic high's which slide south and east into the Great Plains and into the East...this is what concerns me for the dry look. concernedwiz 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: concernedwiz He seems concerned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 Poor guy…worries non stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: And then every other model has a beast over the Lakes. Wonder which is right It wouldn't shock me at all to keep a wedge in place up here with a low tracking that far west. The GFS over the last 2 runs has really increased the confluence here Tue PM. Euro notsomuch yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: It wouldn't shock me at all to keep a wedge in place up here with a low tracking that far west. The GFS over the last 2 runs has really increased the confluence here Tue PM. Euro notsomuch yet. Even the Euro was pretty much a complete wedge until FROPA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: It wouldn't shock me at all to keep a wedge in place up here with a low tracking that far west. The GFS over the last 2 runs has really increased the confluence here Tue PM. Euro notsomuch yet. I bet we see this end up over CHI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 16, 2023 Share Posted November 16, 2023 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: concernedwiz I'm concerned Mac Jones will become the first QB in history to throw a pick on a bye week 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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