brooklynwx99 Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 4:56 PM, Spanks45 said: That EPS does bring back terrible memories from last winter, I feel like that is what it looked like most of the time....I guess the hope is El Nino climo does take over Expand my point is that what's happening in November isn't representative of the deep winter pattern December is likely going to be crappy and meltdowns will begin, I'm pretty sure of it. same shit happened in 2015 when everyone was crying before Boston got 100" in 6 weeks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 4:56 PM, Spanks45 said: That EPS does bring back terrible memories from last winter, I feel like that is what it looked like most of the time....I guess the hope is El Nino climo does take over Expand There is always hope for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 5:02 PM, brooklynwx99 said: my point is that what's happening in November isn't representative of the deep winter pattern December is likely going to be crappy and meltdowns will begin, I'm pretty sure of it. same shit happened in 2015 when everyone was crying before Boston got 100" in 6 weeks Expand And Will kept saying the longwave pattern looks good, be patient. We're not known for patience on this board. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 That is also a snap shot as the pattern improved after Brooklyn's post. Right now, I'm not really big on December and expect it to be hostile at times. That doesn't mean it won't snow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 5:02 PM, brooklynwx99 said: my point is that what's happening in November isn't representative of the deep winter pattern December is likely going to be crappy and meltdowns will begin, I'm pretty sure of it. same shit happened in 2015 when everyone was crying before Boston got 100" in 6 weeks Expand Yes, December was blowtorch for sure. Mjo 4-6. Thankfully it switched mid January. I think we had a +PDO that winter but a -PDO for this winter, so it will be interesting to see for sure moving forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 Looks good for well above normal for a few days next week. Hopefully it stays dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 5:08 PM, CoastalWx said: That is also a snap shot as the pattern improved after Brooklyn's post. Right now, I'm not really big on December and expect it to be hostile at times. That doesn't mean it won't snow. Expand Agree... We have lots of crappy Decembers that produce snow but it rarely sticks around long... There will be a couple of windows even during a hostile December. My pattern take has me interested in a December icing threat for portions of the region, prior to or near the mid-month period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 5:08 PM, Itryatgolf70 said: Yes, December was blowtorch for sure. Mjo 4-6. Thankfully it switched mid January. I think we had a +PDO that winter but a -PDO for this winter, so it will be interesting to see for sure moving forward Expand The pacific was favorable that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 Euro's 12z run buckin' for historic -PNA D7-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 7:23 PM, weathafella said: Looks good for well above normal for a few days next week. Hopefully it stays dry. Expand Late week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 8:09 PM, kdxken said: Late week? Expand Yes, first half of next week is chilly....but then as the ridge builds in, we see big warmup....though there is still some model disagreement on the magnitude plus the GFS and Canadian have reinforcing cold shots late next week which would delay the warmth....but the Euro does not. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 should be a fun ride This winter , always is in here wether we are getting skunked , crushing it or anywhere in between . The posts from everyone are almost predictable now . 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 Looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 10:59 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: should be a fun ride This winter , always is in here wether we are getting skunked , crushing it or anywhere in between . The posts from everyone are almost predictable now . Expand Yeah it's going to be a *wild* ride, and then some folks get triggered and the board goes WILD. it's awesome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted November 6, 2023 Share Posted November 6, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 11:56 PM, Torch Tiger said: Yeah it's going to be a *wild* ride, and then some folks get triggered and the board goes WILD. it's awesomeAll because of frozen water or lack thereof.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 11:59 PM, bwt3650 said: All because of frozen water or lack thereof. . Expand Nahh…it’s not all about the frozen water. We could sure use normal cold to kill back some of the ticks and other invasive insects that persisted through most of last winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 12:10 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Nahh…it’s not all about the frozen water. We could sure use normal cold to kill back some of the ticks and other invasive insects that persisted through most of last winter. Expand SNE climate 2223 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 12:10 AM, NorEastermass128 said: Nahh…it’s not all about the frozen water. We could sure use normal cold to kill back some of the ticks and other invasive insects that persisted through most of last winter. Expand Well, we had a couple days of record/near record cold in February last year…that should have killed any insects that were still hanging around no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 5:02 PM, brooklynwx99 said: my point is that what's happening in November isn't representative of the deep winter pattern December is likely going to be crappy and meltdowns will begin, I'm pretty sure of it. same shit happened in 2015 when everyone was crying before Boston got 100" in 6 weeks Expand Well above normal looks likely for December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 4:40 PM, brooklynwx99 said: the +EPO/+NAO pattern on the EPS matches up with most mod-strong Ninos... the hand wringing about this being the winter pattern by some is pretty ridiculous as Nov/Dec are usually quite warm here Expand What happened to the lack of El Niño forcing everyone was harping on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/6/2023 at 11:56 PM, Torch Tiger said: Yeah it's going to be a *wild* ride, and then some folks get triggered and the board goes WILD. it's awesome Expand This will be well received lol If December blows its kinda like a football team hoping to go to the playoffs and losing the first Two games out of 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 12:15 AM, WinterWolf said: Well, we had a couple days of record/near record cold in February last year…that should have killed any insects that were still hanging around no? Expand You need a nuclear bomb to kill the damn ticks and some might survive that, we need to get down into the teens, right now I taking 3+ a day off my cat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 12:58 AM, DavisStraight said: You need a nuclear bomb to kill the damn ticks and some might survive that, we need to get down into the teens, right now I taking 3+ a day off my cat. Expand You want single digits in December with no snow cover to knock their numbers down. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 1:00 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: You want single digits in December with no snow cover to knock their numbers down. Expand Dec ‘88 and Dec ‘89 were like that. Though most of Dec ‘89 did have snow cover….but it was often very thin at 1-2”. But I remember so many brutally cold mornings with no snow in sight on the forecasts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 Any likelihood that we'll see the mid seventies we had last November? I remember hiking on a nice trail on Wattaquodock Hill on a day that felt like early September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 12:20 AM, qg_omega said: What happened to the lack of El Niño forcing everyone was harping on? Expand what’s your point? there are categories between super and weak. they’re called moderate and strong! knowledge is power 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 12:18 AM, qg_omega said: Well above normal looks likely for December Expand Dude come on 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 1:00 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said: You want single digits in December with no snow cover to knock their numbers down. Expand The choice between ticks surviving winter or weenies facing a brutally cold bare ground in Dewcember, with less ticks… is a very difficult decision. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 On 11/7/2023 at 2:03 AM, MJO812 said: Dude come on Expand Did you expect anything different from him? Just ignore the ridiculous hyperbole. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 7, 2023 Share Posted November 7, 2023 some of the EPS and GEFS members are interesting for next Monday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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