brooklynwx99 Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 again… it honestly doesn’t really matter THAT much if this produces a big storm. just the fact that anomalous -NAO blocking is showing up is a big sign towards a good winter. the same thing happened in 2002/2009 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 On 11/21/2023 at 3:01 PM, TSSN+ said: YOU WANT A WINTER PREDICTION? I'LL GIVE YOU A PREDICTION. IT'S GOING TO BE PRETERNATURALLY FRIGID, IT'S GOING TO BE GREY, IT'S GOING TO BE COMMA HEAD SNOWS PIVOTING IN PLACE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC, ONE AFTER ANOTHER AFTER ANOTHER, SOME OF THESE M-FOOKERS ARE GONNA RETROGRADE SOUTHWEST RIGHT INTO NW DC AND VICINITY, IT'S GOING TO BE SO DAMN SNOWY IN THE MID ATLANTIC THIS WINTER THAT IT'S GOING TO LAST YOU THE REST OF YOUR LIFE. Fixed. 4 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: again… it honestly doesn’t really matter THAT much if this produces a big storm. just the fact that anomalous -NAO blocking is showing up is a big sign towards a good winter. the same thing happened in 2002/2009 We have a winnah. 2002-2003 Dale City got 39 inches. 2009-2010 Damn I dont know how much we got. The yardstick was useless after a couple of those blizzards, I either slant sticked it or accidentally measure a drift. Dad and I almost didnt make it back from Charles Town during one of the storms. The damn cloud decks were too low lmao! That was how I accidentally won that 900 dollars from the Sun and Moon slot, we had to go back, the storm was so bad, and I put my last 40 dollars in. Prolly got 50 inches snow that unimaginable snow season. 2009-10 in eastern West Virginia, wow, I had NEVER, EVER seen so much snow, at least, not personally! (Except at Palisades Tahoe last winter) Drifts over Rt 9, at least fifteen feet! I was wow wow wowing nonstop! I was absolutely blasting tracks that have always reminded me of snow and epic jebwalks, and man, did I EVER experience TRULY EPIC JEBWALKS in eastern West Virginia in 2009-2010! I thought my weenie heart would BURST I was so damned overjoyed! I screamed WOOOOOOO---HOOOOOO so loud in the parking garage it was unbelievable! 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 the pattern setting up on models seems similar to dec 2002 early dec 2002 pattern for reference 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2023 Author Share Posted November 23, 2023 53 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EPS control Bingo 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 23 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Bingo Bingo bango? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 WB latest Euro weeklies don't show any torch for December. 19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 23, 2023 Share Posted November 23, 2023 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB latest Euro weeklies don't show any torch for December. Long range snow maps are lol but I would assume that shows plenty of possibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 https://x.com/webberweather/status/1727736224155136226?s=46&t=JDI46BeqOMUGnLaA2k6MTw and suddenly Webbers composites would seem to support my winter forecast lol 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: https://x.com/webberweather/status/1727736224155136226?s=46&t=JDI46BeqOMUGnLaA2k6MTw and suddenly Webbers composites would seem to support my winter forecast lol dude flip flopped so hard 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2023 Author Share Posted November 24, 2023 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: https://x.com/webberweather/status/1727736224155136226?s=46&t=JDI46BeqOMUGnLaA2k6MTw and suddenly Webbers composites would seem to support my winter forecast lol 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: dude flip flopped so hard -NAO come at ya fast 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaulov4 Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: dude flip flopped so hard I suppose he was just a little late to the party.(although the party hasn’t started yet) Better to recognize late than to never recognize at all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 Not hating the GEFS trend for the Dec 5-7 period. WB NAO, increasing heights PNA region, and strong vorticity moving E out of the Rockies and maybe underneath the region. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: dude flip flopped so hard Not a peep out of snowman 19. You suppose he doesn't like webber as much now.?. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 My neck hurts… from the Webb whiplash 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 14 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Bingo That didn't last long. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 These 3 panels should give everyone here a good feeling with winter a week away. 17 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 The general idea on the latest ensemble runs is the primary storm track remains to our northwest through about December 3. Beyond that there are indications of low pressure development along/off the MA coast. We shouldn't expect to see guidance lock in on anything specific at this range, but over multiple runs there are hints from Dec 4 onward. With an active southern jet there should be chances. The advertised pattern looks seasonably chilly for the east, but not especially cold. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 All 3 ensemble means have the PNA trending positive by December 7th now. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2023 Author Share Posted November 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: All 3 ensemble means have the PNA trending positive by December 7th now. I’ve got reds in all the right places! 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’ve got reds in all the right places! If the trends continue we might see legit below avg temps by Dec 10th. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 This would be a good sign heading into early winter. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 WB 6Z EPS, dry but chilly week ahead.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 Get the trough centered more west over Indiana and we might be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 3 hours ago, CAPE said: These 3 panels should give everyone here a good feeling with winter a week away. Very nice to see!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 pretty much everything i’ve seen so far on LR guidance is highly auspicious… -NAO still remaining, which quickly puts on closer to the 2002/2009 winters rather than the crap ones like 1997 or 1972 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 Let’s get these looks inside 5/7 days. As always it’s 10+ days out. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 29 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: pretty much everything i’ve seen so far on LR guidance is highly auspicious… -NAO still remaining, which quickly puts on closer to the 2002/2009 winters rather than the crap ones like 1997 or 1972 Let's hope this holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: The scars are real, lol How many times have we seen good patterns at D11 go poof by D5, or get can kicked for 3 weeks then be so muted and torn apart the best you can hope for is 35 and flurries. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Let’s get these looks inside 5/7 days. As always it’s 10+ days out. 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Let's hope this holds. See this? The scars are real y'all, lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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