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November Mid/Long Range Discussion


WxUSAF
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21 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Mantra of the forum! 

I’ll look over it tomorrow with fresh eyes then post 

Got tied up at work and then going to my kids halloween activity. Outlook gonna have to wait a bit. Sorry, didn’t intend to leave you guys hanging like TV mets do all the time…

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5 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

I would say it looks like there is a signal for a strong low end of next week. The details would probably not favor snow this early in the season (well, except maybe the mountains), but it does look like it brings another cold period right after it regardless of the details on rain, amounts, any snow close by. But, I wonder if that has sticking power. I am guessing not based on the progression. Always fun to be tracking signals again!

 

 

the earlier the storm is in the window...the less chance we have for snow. Todays Euro shows another Miller B--when the GFS was showing snow...it was at the end of this Nov 8-11 window ...not at the begining

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22 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Got tied up at work and then going to my kids halloween activity. Outlook gonna have to wait a bit. Sorry, didn’t intend to leave you guys hanging like TV mets do all the time…

come on bro. Winter>kids

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3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Probably not the best look if you are a SPV. Not very cold/ cohesive. This would be a pretty good sign for the winter if it's an accurate depiction for early Dec. Good indication of the TPV location, which would be pretty favorable.

1701475200-VcaQouvZyAo.png

i don’t get some of the clamoring for a SSW… a disrupted SPV is more than enough if you want a -AO/NAO more often than not

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1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i don’t get some of the clamoring for a SSW… a disrupted SPV is more than enough if you want a -AO/NAO more often than not

Yeah at this juncture I just don't want to see a super cold gyre at 10 mb at the beginning of winter. That usually doesn't end well.

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