Kmlwx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 A few runs have had a signal in that timeframe recently! Let's will this one in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 29, 2023 Author Share Posted October 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: A few runs have had a signal in that timeframe recently! Let's will this one in! Definitely think the mountains will get some flakes and possibly light accumulations over the next 7-14 days. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Definitely think the mountains will get some flakes and possibly light accumulations over the next 7-14 days. There's also been some hints at some sort of big storm system (maybe tropical in origin?) going well off the coast or perhaps closer-in...but obviously it could just be the GFS doing it's weird super long range stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 I suppose it's time for Ji to start a digital snow thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 There's also been some hints at some sort of big storm system (maybe tropical in origin?) going well off the coast or perhaps closer-in...but obviously it could just be the GFS doing it's weird super long range stuff. We’re overdue for a #snowicane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 3 hours ago, CAPE said: I suppose it's time for Ji to start a digital snow thread. I just spent 45 minutes comparing the last 4 runs of the 264 hour + GFS. it’s gonna be a long winter. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 I just spent 45 minutes comparing the last 4 runs of the 264 hour + GFS. it’s gonna be a long winter.Western zones shellacked at 294. Welcome to winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Western zones shellacked at 294. Welcome to winter! let’s do this! Btw Isn’t this a legitimate look? Red over Greenland and blue in the Atlantic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 new gfs is weenie af 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Well crap. I may have to release my outlook sooner than planned 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 First clown map of the year. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: First clown map of the year. Now see this isn't even fair...GFS trying to make me fall off the better posting/non-posting wagon before December 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Whoever usually starts the annual snowfall thread should probably get it started. We normally see our first flakes out this way by mid November. And there are some signs of possible flurries on Halloween night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Digital snowfall by Christmas, probably 200”, actual probably lucky to see 1” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 I just like seeing a continuation of coastal development along the east coast. I’m not expecting anything significant for a while, but with persistent troughing east of the Mississippi showing up on ensembles we could sneak something. Still so early climo wise. I won’t get excited until it’s basically on the doorstep. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I just like seeing a continuation of coastal development along the east coast. I’m not expecting anything significant for a while, but with persistent troughing east of the Mississippi showing up on ensembles we could sneak something. Still so early climo wise. I won’t get excited until it’s basically on the doorstep. Been a very persistent pattern for awhile now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I just like seeing a continuation of coastal development along the east coast. I’m not expecting anything significant for a while, but with persistent troughing east of the Mississippi showing up on ensembles we could sneak something. Still so early climo wise. I won’t get excited until it’s basically on the doorstep. This right here. We are gonna have our chances this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 WB 12Z GEFS supports trough on east coast week 2 let's see if it trends colder over the next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 2 runs straight at this range is unusual, especially beefing up with number 2. Can 3 be a charm at 6:15?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 3 hours ago, DarkSharkWX said: new gfs is weenie af 2 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 3 hours ago, Terpeast said: Well crap. I may have to release my outlook sooner than planned Last winter we barely even got digital snow maps to look at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 46 minutes ago, Itryatgolf70 said: Last winter we barely even got digital snow maps to look at Yea outside the period right around Christmas it was a dead rather winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Spent the whole day writing the meat of my outlook. Made a preliminary forecast, too. Might just go ahead and post it soon without waiting for new data. Let the chips fall where they may 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Spent the whole day writing the meat of my outlook. Made a preliminary forecast, too. Might just go ahead and post it soon without waiting for new data. Let the chips fall where they may You can always make a revised version in a month after new data. No one would fault you for it. I for one appreciate new insight after seeing the new data. Textbook long range forecasting. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 24 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Spent the whole day writing the meat of my outlook. Made a preliminary forecast, too. Might just go ahead and post it soon without waiting for new data. Let the chips fall where they may Do it. Give in to your snow weenie. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Do it. Give in to your snow weenie. Mantra of the forum! I’ll look over it tomorrow with fresh eyes then post 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 29, 2023 Author Share Posted October 29, 2023 That period late next week has a pretty good longwave look over the CONUS for a coastal storm or at least a storm passing to our south. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 I would say it looks like there is a signal for a strong low end of next week. The details would probably not favor snow this early in the season (well, except maybe the mountains), but it does look like it brings another cold period right after it regardless of the details on rain, amounts, any snow close by. But, I wonder if that has sticking power. I am guessing not based on the progression. Always fun to be tracking signals again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 Seems to me we have a better shot at 80 again before any snow chances 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 30, 2023 Share Posted October 30, 2023 How we lookin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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