hstorm Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 8:54 PM, Weather Will said: Since it is a slow week ahead, will post the latest WB EURO control for December which is perfectly acceptable. Expand That's like 82 inches with Kuchera. Lock it up. 2 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 9:32 PM, hstorm said: That's like 82 inches with Kuchera. Lock it up. Expand Heck, 10% of that would be amazing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 10, 2023 Share Posted November 10, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 9:06 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: Euro monthly control is money. I’m excited now Expand holy shit lmao 5 11 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 Wow that west coast ridge and Alleutian low combo is amazing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 10:53 PM, brooklynwx99 said: holy shit lmao Expand Admittedly pretty fun to look at at HH, with a bit of weed. Totally weenie tho. 4 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 12:06 AM, CAPE said: Admittedly pretty fun to look at at HH, with a bit of weed. Totally weenie tho. Expand Very Feb 2010 but ya if that the consensus across all long range guidance in a couple weeks then we get excited for now it’s fun to look at and dream. On a side note I’ve been putting together my analogs (hope to release my winter guess very soon) and 2010 was high on the analog list. But so are some total dreg years depending on what metrics you think are slightly more important. I’ve never seen a more divergent analog list in the years I’ve done this. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 12:06 AM, CAPE said: Admittedly pretty fun to look at at HH, with a bit of weed. Totally weenie tho. Expand this was the hypothesis that a big block with Nino forcing would work a lot better. nice ridge over BC 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 No -NAO today lol https://ibb.co/4mqVZzZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Andrew Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 10:53 PM, brooklynwx99 said: holy shit lmao Expand Does this have any similarities to December 2009 or am I just hallucinating? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 1:36 AM, Jersey Andrew said: Does this have any similarities to December 2009 or am I just hallucinating? Expand Check out my profile pic. Pretty close. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 new c3s, warm dec, transitional jan, and great feb 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/10/2023 at 10:53 PM, brooklynwx99 said: holy shit lmao Expand Wow!! Nearly perfect.. IMHO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 EPS has been trending towards a nice high latitude look in the LR over the past few runs. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 Over multiple runs on the 3 ensemble means, it appears the N Pacific is reshuffling into a -EPO/neutral-ish PNA look. I wouldn't mind if that pattern locks in. On the Atlantic side, it looks like any ridging in the NAO domain will be transient in nature heading into December. Something to keep any eye on, but for now the AO/NAO looks to remain close to neutral. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 Dreaming of a White Thanksgiving? WB 6Z GFS 5 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 11:19 AM, Weather Will said: Dreaming of a White Thanksgiving? WB 6Z GFS Expand There is a tiny, sporadic signal on the means suggesting some flakes could fly during that period. Good bet for the western ridge with cold upslope flow in the wake of an early week storm. EPS is less bullish on a cold Turkey day. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 11:19 AM, Weather Will said: Dreaming of a White Thanksgiving? WB 6Z GFS Expand it would be white for everyone but us. ie--mid season form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 11:34 AM, CAPE said: There is a tiny, sporadic signal on the means suggesting some flakes could fly during that period. Good bet for the western ridge with cold upslope flow in the wake of an early week storm. EPS is less bullish on a cold Turkey day. Expand i will say this… if December turns out good, it’s probably going to be a rocking winter 2002 and 2009 would immediately fit the bill if December produces 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On the seasonal euro runs…the members that were cold in December torched us in January and Feb lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 2:27 PM, Ji said: On the seasonal euro runs…the members that were cold in December torched us in January and Feb lol Expand i think that’s kinda silly. i’m not sure how it would play out like that in actuality 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 4:31 AM, DarkSharkWX said: new c3s, warm dec, transitional jan, and great feb Expand That's some really nice high latitude blocking for late January and February. On 11/11/2023 at 2:21 PM, brooklynwx99 said: i will say this… if December turns out good, it’s probably going to be a rocking winter 2002 and 2009 would immediately fit the bill if December produces Expand If we manage even a climo December temp and precip wise, I'll consider it a win. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 3:16 PM, Eskimo Joe said: If we manage even a climo December temp and precip wise, I'll consider it a win. Expand Unsolicited fact: Last December in the area was generally slightly BN temp-wise and AN precip-wise. (Yes. Luck was about as bad as possible in multiple ways that month. Our luck will be better this year.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 2:27 PM, Ji said: On the seasonal euro runs…the members that were cold in December torched us in January and Feb lol Expand If several snowstorms with sunny/mild weather in between is our new climate, then I won't need to move to Colorado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 11:19 AM, Weather Will said: Dreaming of a White Thanksgiving? WB 6Z GFSThe output on the service reminds me waaaay too much of last year. Maybe this time around (not that this has things even close to nailed af 11 days) they won’t cut and will trend in the opposite direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 3:50 PM, NorthArlington101 said: The output on the service reminds me waaaay too much of last year. Maybe this time around (not that this has things even close to nailed af 11 days) they won’t cut and will trend in the opposite direction. Expand Could you imagine if this trended south and became a big wave along a front that gave us a cheap 5" of snow? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 3:52 PM, Eskimo Joe said: Could you imagine if this trended south and became a big wave along a front that gave us a cheap 5" of snow? Expand More likely to get 5” of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 3:50 PM, NorthArlington101 said: The output on the service reminds me waaaay too much of last year. Maybe this time around (not that this has things even close to nailed af 11 days) they won’t cut and will trend in the opposite direction. Expand i wouldn’t take this exact solution to heart. just get ready to see a good amount of cutters over the next month or so. that’s the Nino December M.O. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 4:54 PM, brooklynwx99 said: i wouldn’t take this exact solution to heart. just get ready to see a good amount of cutters over the next month or so. that’s the Nino December M.O.trust me, wasn’t taking the outcome to heart, it just gave me flashbacks to last year! Good to know that is the tendency for a Nino December, though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 4:41 PM, TSSN+ said: More likely to get 5” of rain Expand We take that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 11, 2023 Share Posted November 11, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 5:00 PM, NorthArlington101 said: trust me, wasn’t taking the outcome to heart, it just gave me flashbacks to last year! Good to know that is the tendency for a Nino December, though. Expand We havent had many Ninos lately but 2 of the past 3 Ninos have been good in December. December 2002, December 2009. 2015 was a disaster though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now