lee59 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 As I mentioned yesterday, Suffolk has a freeze warning and nothing in Nassau. This seems to happen every year with the first freeze or frost. We will probably have a freeze tonight in parts of Nassau . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 40 here, had 2 graupel squalls with temps in the mid 40's earlier... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 40 here, had 2 graupel squalls with temps in the mid 40's earlier... Just passed us in eastport..some ice pellets mixed in with the rain..43°..then a rainbow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 Down to 43 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 43 here also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 38… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 1, 2023 Share Posted November 1, 2023 2 hours ago, lee59 said: As I mentioned yesterday, Suffolk has a freeze warning and nothing in Nassau. This seems to happen every year with the first freeze or frost. We will probably have a freeze tonight in parts of Nassau . Probably because Nassau has northern and southern zones, not eastern and western. Eastern Nassau will freeze but western will not. But the zones don’t really allow for that distinction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 1, 2023 Author Share Posted November 1, 2023 As fwiw... October temp and precip results posted with the Sept 21 Oct outlook, in the Oct thread. I won't comment further on Oct in this Nov thread..just thought you might like to check these outlooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Ironic paradox: if you freeze tonight, it will be on the early side of normal. But if you don’t freeze tonight, you’re gonna be late. The areas that are predicted to do it are already 40 or below. the areas not predicted to not do it are still in the mid 40s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 54 minutes ago, psv88 said: Probably because Nassau has northern and southern zones, not eastern and western. Eastern Nassau will freeze but western will not. But the zones don’t really allow for that distinction Yea eastern Nassau less urbanized than western. Southwest Nassau most urbanized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Areas outside of New York City and Philadelphia will see widespread freezes tonight. The chill will moderate by the weekend, but temperatures could average below normal through the first 10-14 days of November. October is solidly on track to finish as a warmer than normal month. Since 1950, only a single El Niño event with a monthly ENSO R3.4 anomaly of +1.00°C or above was warmer than normal in New York City during October: 2015 (sample size: 6). If one lowers the ENSO R3.4 anomaly to +0.75°C or above, only two 2/12 (17%) of El Niño cases saw a warmer than normal October in New York City: 1963 and 2015. Both years saw warm Octobers followed by warm Novembers. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around October 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.57°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. That transition is currently underway. The SOI was +0.38 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.802 today. On October 29 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.997 (RMM). The October 28-adjusted amplitude was 1.083 (RMM). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Back to 40. Not sure we freeze tonight. I think the northerly winds are keeping the north shore a little warmer. Need to completely decouple 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Down to 32. Usually, I concede our potted annuals at this point, but several are actually still blooming, so I brought them in since it's supposed to warm up again. I'll probably do the same tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 40 currently…wind really not going calm… We might not hit 32 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Been 39 since 730pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 10 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 40 currently…wind really not going calm… We might not hit 32 tonight Far south nj already there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 I wonder if tomorrow night, with no wind, may be a frostier, chillier night for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 down to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jets Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Down to 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 2 hours ago, psv88 said: Back to 40. Not sure we freeze tonight. I think the northerly winds are keeping the north shore a little warmer. Need to completely decouple We're too close to the sound this time of year on northerly winds. Unless it dies down we may drop another couple degrees. I'm at 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 12:40 in New City New York and it is 35 degrees out there !!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Made it to 32. Wind died down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 26… it’s dead jim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Hit freezing and several hours of night left. Will be in the 20s by 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 Down to 35 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pequest Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 4:30AM Watching the temps at home in Warren County from work here in the Caldwell's(western Essex County). 32 degrees in Caldwell, 24 degrees in central Warren County at this hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 2, 2023 Share Posted November 2, 2023 36 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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