bluewave Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: I can’t wait for the next warm month so I can hear you guys talk about how much you wish for a -2 month like this one will be Happy Thanksgiving! Good night for the Tree! Another endless summer pattern in September or October transitioning to a little below average in November. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 Tonight will be fair and unseasonably cold. New York City will very likely see its first freeze of the season. After a brisk but dry day tomorrow, clouds will increase on Sunday and it will turn somewhat milder. A system will bring rain to the region Sunday night into Monday. Most areas should see 0.50"-1.00" of rain. Philadelphia will likely see lesser amounts. The remainder of November will should be generally colder than normal with a reinforcing shot of cold air near the end of the month. However, no Arctic blasts appear likely. Conditions should also be mainly dry through the remainder of the month. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.9°C for the week centered around November 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.70°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the early winter as the current East-based event completes its evolution into a basinwide El Niño. Should the ENSO Region 1+2 and 3.4 anomalies remain at or above +1.00°C in December, which is likely, and should the PDO remain negative, there is a single past case (1950-2022) with similar ENSO/PDO conditions: December 1972. The SOI was not available today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.019 today. On November 22 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.570 (RMM). The November 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.470 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 96% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.0° (1.9° below normal). That would be New York City's coldest November since November 2019. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 1 hour ago, the_other_guy said: I can’t wait for the next warm month so I can hear you guys talk about how much you wish for a -2 month like this one will be Happy Thanksgiving! Good night for the Tree! -2 in November isn’t bad…we’ve had many nice days and very little rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: -2 in November isn’t bad…we’ve had many nice days and very little rain All our rain came at once rather than ruining all our weekends 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 24, 2023 Share Posted November 24, 2023 Down to 39 already with strong north wind. Nyc definitely hits 32 tonight CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Central Park CLEAR 39 19 44 N10G21 30.26R WCI 32 LaGuardia Arpt PTCLDY 40 21 46 NW20G30 30.23R WCI 30 Kennedy Intl PTCLDY 39 21 48 NW23G31 30.23R WCI 28 Newark Liberty PTCLDY 40 20 44 N25G31 30.24R WCI 29 Teterboro Arpt CLEAR 37 19 48 NW14G21 30.24R WCI 28 Bronx Lehman C N/A 37 21 52 NW13G24 N/A WCI 29 Queens College N/A 39 21 48 NW17G33 N/A WCI 30 Breezy Point N/A 41 N/A N/A N22G29 N/A Brooklyn Coll N/A 39 21 48 N17G29 N/A WCI 30 Staten Island N/A 39 21 48 N16G29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 38 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Down to 39 already with strong north wind. Nyc definitely hits 32 tonight CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS Central Park CLEAR 39 19 44 N10G21 30.26R WCI 32 LaGuardia Arpt PTCLDY 40 21 46 NW20G30 30.23R WCI 30 Kennedy Intl PTCLDY 39 21 48 NW23G31 30.23R WCI 28 Newark Liberty PTCLDY 40 20 44 N25G31 30.24R WCI 29 Teterboro Arpt CLEAR 37 19 48 NW14G21 30.24R WCI 28 Bronx Lehman C N/A 37 21 52 NW13G24 N/A WCI 29 Queens College N/A 39 21 48 NW17G33 N/A WCI 30 Breezy Point N/A 41 N/A N/A N22G29 N/A Brooklyn Coll N/A 39 21 48 N17G29 N/A WCI 30 Staten Island N/A 39 21 48 N16G29 Yea just thinking the same. It feels wintry tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 34 minutes ago, lee59 said: Yea just thinking the same. It feels wintry tonight. KNYC 36 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 53 minutes ago, Allsnow said: KNYC 36 now 9pm 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 9pm 34 Same here. Those strong winds doing the trick 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 9pm 14 degrees, just got out of the pool 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 Down to 32 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 4 hours ago, bluewave said: Another endless summer pattern in September or October transitioning to a little below average in November. +.8, +2.5, -2…the endless summer 2023 Just went below freezing again. Hopefully NYC does it tonight! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 25 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: +.8, +2.5, -2…the endless summer 2023 Just went below freezing again. Hopefully NYC does it tonight! Pretty much a lock now. Adios to all the tropical plants on campus. They look silly still alive at this time of year anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 30F we tumble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 Teens in Tuesday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 It's cold I think @nycwintersuffocated himself with the amount of hoodies he's probably wearing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 Park finally hit 32. 30 here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 8 hours ago, the_other_guy said: +.8, +2.5, -2…the endless summer 2023 Just went below freezing again. Hopefully NYC does it tonight! The warmest temperatures of the whole season came in September this year. Plus we had record heat in late October. Since the 1991-2020 climate normals have warmed so much, we can still have a top 20 warmest summer with only a +0.3 departure at Islip. Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Season 2023 93 90 91 96 91 97 85 97 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2010 74.7 0 2 2022 74.6 0 - 2020 74.6 0 3 1999 74.5 0 4 2016 74.4 0 5 2011 73.9 0 6 2019 73.8 0 7 2021 73.7 0 8 2018 73.5 0 - 2005 73.5 0 9 2013 73.4 0 10 2012 73.3 0 - 1991 73.3 0 11 2015 73.2 0 - 1980 73.2 0 12 1994 73.0 0 - 1966 73.0 0 13 2008 72.9 0 - 1995 72.9 0 14 2006 72.8 0 - 1998 72.8 0 15 2002 72.7 0 - 1973 72.7 0 16 2023 72.6 0 - 1993 72.6 0 - 1988 72.6 0 17 2014 72.5 0 - 1983 72.5 0 18 1969 72.4 0 19 2017 72.2 0 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 Looks like a low of 30 at the park. Down to 29 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 23 out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 25, 2023 Author Share Posted November 25, 2023 At least the first 32F for the 23-24 cool season is accomplished, 12 days later than the mean of 11/13 in the POR dating back to 1869. Now to monitor for Tuesday CP ASOS flurry? as the second back side EPS short wave coming across us later that day looks pretty strong. Sfc-500MB lapse rates should be large and if enough moisture convergence and R1 RH above 50%, we'll get some flurries onto LI. I'm pretty sure of scattered I84 dusting accums in the higher terrain. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 Temp dropped 2 more degree's since getting to work at 615. Now at 25 degree's in Paramus,NJ. Nice crisp cold morning. Frozen dew on everything. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 Well we finally did it in the urban jungle. Fun day ahead removing all the dead annuals. I bet midtown may have stayed above freezing though. I’m sure there are some annuals still alive down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 The last 6 days of November are averaging 40degs.(35/45) or -4. Month to date is 48.4[-0.5]. November should end at 46.7[-1.4]. Reached 50 yesterday at 2pm. Today: 38-42, wind nw., few clouds, 35 tomorrow AM. 32*(52%RH) here at 6am. 40* at Noon. Reached 47* at 3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 On 11/23/2023 at 10:49 AM, qg_omega said: NYC likely misses another freeze this weekend, but will hit next week Nyc 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 mid 20s here this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 39 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Nyc 30 the record low is 19 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 25, 2023 Share Posted November 25, 2023 the record low at port jervis is 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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