mcwx Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/11/2023 at 9:17 PM, TriPol said: Any chance the volcano in iceland impacts our weather? Expand This looks like it'll be an eruption from a fissure. Otherwise you'd need an explosive eruption from a stratovolcano 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 Faint Aurora Borealis in Sussex County NJ last night? Is this normal, or was there some recent solar activity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 12:37 PM, SnoSki14 said: I saw lots of low to mid 20s in NJ. Got down to about 29F near New Brunswick. Tonight should be ideal for several degrees lower. The dry weather will also help. Expand I could still see ewr and parts of the city remaining at or above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted November 12, 2023 Author Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 12:37 PM, SnoSki14 said: I saw lots of low to mid 20s in NJ. Got down to about 29F near New Brunswick. Tonight should be ideal for several degrees lower. The dry weather will also help. Expand And probably mostly clear skies... this should give NYC a better chance and most of Li to me looks to be a frost or freeze.. provided skies are mostly clear. Clouds reinvaded northern NJ after 130AM when I had my low of 28. Interesting this coming morning again and again Wed-Thu morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 Heavy rain Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 4:10 PM, wdrag said: And probably mostly clear skies... this should give NYC a better chance and most of Li to me looks to be a frost or freeze.. provided skies are mostly clear. Clouds reinvaded northern NJ after 130AM when I had my low of 28. Interesting this coming morning again and again Wed-Thu morning. Expand Nam has nyc down to 32 tonight 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 4:36 PM, MJO812 said: Heavy rain Saturday? Expand Friday night. Gone by Saturday morning on gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 4:36 PM, MJO812 said: Heavy rain Saturday? Expand We will probably need the northern stream to relax enough in order to allow the southern stream low to come up the coast. The theme of recent years has been for the northern stream to suppress the southern stream. Still have the lingering La Niña influence in the northern stream and the El Niño southern stream trying to push back. So a split flow pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 Overnight low of 35 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilsonvoid1 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 for all the weather pros; i have a question? #wensnow?. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 NYC should stay above freezing again tomorrow morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 Looks warm for thanksgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 6:40 PM, qg_omega said: Looks warm for thanksgiving Expand Uh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 2pm temps mid 40s, except Newark at 48. 45 at my house. I would think even the city may be 32 or 33 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 4:46 PM, bluewave said: We will probably need the northern stream to relax enough in order to allow the southern stream low to come up the coast. The theme of recent years has been for the northern stream to suppress the southern stream. Still have the lingering La Niña influence in the northern stream and the El Niño southern stream trying to push back. So a split flow pattern. Expand Nothing on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 first time i wore my ski hat and gloves today though low sun angle was a issue with my eyes while wearing a ski hat.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 7:02 PM, lee59 said: 2pm temps mid 40s, except Newark at 48. 45 at my house. I would think even the city may be 32 or 33 tonight. Expand JFK radiates the best out of the city sites so I could see the first 32 there. The park will probably be 34 and LGA the worst radiating site 35. Assuming it doesn’t happen tonight we may go pretty late in the season for the Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 7:11 PM, nycwinter said: first time i wore my ski hat and gloves today though low sun angle was a issue with my eyes while wearing a ski hat.. Expand What about a down jacket? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 More late fall photos. The high was just 44 despite bright sunshine. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 Rainy Friday night into Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 9:18 PM, bluewave said: Yeah, looks like the familiar pattern of cold in the West and warm in the East. Expand Same ole garbage. I guess we'll be seeing another 2" winter. Time to move out west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 9:18 PM, bluewave said: Yeah, looks like the familiar pattern of cold in the West and warm in the East. Expand I really hate to say it, but I can totally see this being the theme of the winter again. We seem to be unable to break this pattern these past few winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:13 PM, donsutherland1 said: More late fall photos. The high was just 44 despite bright sunshine. Expand Is this Larchmont? I saw a ton of deer in the woods at Flowers Park today. We have a fun skate park in the woods over there and often see deer, but today I happened to see a buck for the first time in my life 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:32 PM, Eduardo said: I really hate to say it, but I can totally see this being the theme of the winter again. We seem to be unable to break this pattern these past few winters. Expand i understand how ensembles paint a decent picture of the upcoming pattern, however; the GFS operational model has been consistently showing a thanksgiving cold shot. it's out in fantasy land still so who really knows what will happen. just another view, who really knows? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:45 PM, vegan_edible said: i understand how ensembles paint a decent picture of the upcoming pattern, however; the GFS operational model has been consistently showing a thanksgiving cold shot. it's out in fantasy land still so who really knows what will happen. just another view, who really knows? Expand Fantasy, use ensembles good agreement on warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:38 PM, vegan_edible said: Is this Larchmont? I saw a ton of deer in the woods at Flowers Park today. We have a fun skate park in the woods over there and often see deer, but today I happened to see a buck for the first time in my life Expand No. Rye’s Marshlands Conservancy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:26 PM, SnoSki14 said: Same ole garbage. I guess we'll be seeing another 2" winter. Time to move out west. Expand LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:32 PM, Eduardo said: I really hate to say it, but I can totally see this being the theme of the winter again. We seem to be unable to break this pattern these past few winters. Expand Based off something in November? Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 On 11/12/2023 at 10:26 PM, SnoSki14 said: Same ole garbage. I guess we'll be seeing another 2" winter. Time to move out west. Expand it is showing a few degrees above normal here which is in the mid 50s for Thanksgiving, which is very normal for bird day..PLUS it NEVER snows in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted November 12, 2023 Share Posted November 12, 2023 Quickly down to 36 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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