November 2023

[Allsnow]

Going to be a good rad night for the suburbs. Already down to 38 degrees 

[donsutherland1]

This morning saw a widespread hard freeze across much of the region. Low temperatures included:

Bridgeport: 30°
Islip: 28°
New Haven: 29° (tied record set in 1961 and tied in 1965)
New York City: 35°
Newark: 35°
Philadelphia: 34°
White Plains: 28° (tied record set in 2002)

Elsewhere, record lows were recorded at Alexandria, LA (coldest low so early in the season), Danville, Lynchburg, and Macon, among other cities.

Tonight will be fair and cold. Additional frost is likely outside New York City and Philadelphia. The chill will moderate by the weekend, but temperatures could average below normal through the first 10-14 days of November.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around October 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.57°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. That transition is currently underway.

The SOI was -3.50 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.265 today.

On October 30 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.940 (RMM). The October 29-adjusted amplitude was 0.997 (RMM).

 

[jm1220]

Down to 30 near the LIE/Northern State, 40 near the sound. A bit of influence from the waters still. 

[ForestHillWx]

29

[Allsnow]

29

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

32 and still dropping with lots of frost on the car. 30 yesterday so it will be close. Growing seasons over on the south shore of Nassau despite being left off the freeze warnings. Based on my plants at home (all tropicals severely damaged or killed) and the city (all still perfectly fine on campus on the uws) I’m not sure why the NWS left out Nassau.

[LoboLeader1]

30F here. 

[lee59]

30 here with some frost.

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging  54degs.(49/60) or +3.

Next T transition to BN pushed out to 12th.

Reached 54 here yesterday at 5pm.

Today:  53-57, wind sw., few clouds, 47 tomorrow AM

45*(62%RH) here at 7am.     51* at Noon.    Reached 55* at 3pm.    53* at 6pm.    52* at 9pm.    

[lee59]

Urban areas some 10-15 degrees warmer than surrounding suburbs.

[psv88]

29

[Snowlover11]

30 with patchy frost

[Rtd208]

Overnight low of 30 here.

Current temp 33

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, lee59 said:

Urban areas some 10-15 degrees warmer than surrounding suburbs.

Yep 44 here

[SACRUS]

 

Down to 29 here upto 36.  Back to normal and above Sat (11/4) - Fri (11/10).  Mid  /upper 60s in the warm spots on the warmer days.  First fully dry rain free weekend on tap / could be cloudier Saturday.  Chills down 11/11 into mid month before moderating into the longer range (ridging into the east).  Seems like a back and forth progression this Nov.

 

 

[the_other_guy]

1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

The next 8 days are averaging  54degs.(49/60) or +3.

Next T transition to BN pushed out to 12th.

Reached 54 here yesterday at 5pm.

Today:  53-57, wind sw., few clouds, 47 tomorrow AM

45*(62%RH) here at 7am.

Yeh…looks like a warmer month ahead if first half is any indication.

Cant wait to see what El Nino December holds 

[Stormlover74]

5 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Yeh…looks like a warmer month ahead if first half is any indication.

Cant wait to see what El Nino December holds 

I'll take a +3 in January with above average precip

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

 

Highs:

EWR: 81 (2003)
NYC: 79 (2003)
LGA: 80 (2003)



Lows:

EWR: 29 (1951)
NYC: 28 (1875)
LGA: 32 (1951)

Hitorical:

 

1890 - The temperature at Los Angeles, CA, reached 96 degrees, a November record for 76 years. (David Ludlum)

1927 - Somerset VT was deluged with 8.77 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour record for the state. (3rd-4th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1927: Historic flooding occurred across Vermont from November 2nd through the 4th. The flood washed out 1285 bridges, miles of roads and railways, and several homes and buildings. Eighty-four people were killed from the flooding, including Lt. Governor S. Hollister Jackson.

1961 - A rare November thunderstorm produced snow at Casper, WY. (3rd-4th) (The Weather Channel)

 

1966: An early season snowfall, which started on the 2nd, whitened the ground from Alabama to Michigan. Mobile, Alabama, had their earliest snowflakes on record. Louisville, Kentucky measured 13.1 inches, Nashville; Tennessee reported 7.2 inches, and Huntsville, Alabama, had 4 inches of snow.

1987 - Twenty-one cities, mostly in the Ohio Valley, reported record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Columbus OH was their warmest reading of record for so late in the season. Showers and thundershowers associated with a tropical depression south of Florida produced 4.28 inches of rain at Clewiston in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A sharp cold front brought about an abrupt end to Indian Summer in the north central U.S. Up to a foot of snow blanketed Yellowstone Park WY, and winds in the mountains near the Washoe Valley of southeastern Wyoming gusted to 78 mph. Unseasonably warm weather continued in the south central U.S. Del Rio TX tied Laredo TX and McAllen TX for honors as the hot spot in the nation with a record warm afternoon high of 91 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

 

1989 - Cold weather prevailed in the central U.S. Six cities in Texas, Minnesota, and Michigan, reported record low temperatures for the date. The low of 7 above zero at Marquette MI was their coldest reading of record for so early in the season. (The National Weather Summary)

 

2001: Hurricane Michelle reached peak intensity on this day as a Category 4 storm. Michelle made landfall on November 4-5, between Playa Larga and Playa Giron, Cuba, as a Category 4 hurricane, the strongest to strike the country since 1952's Hurricane Fox. The storm caused an estimated $2 billion US dollars in damage to Cuba.

 

2007: Dense fog in the early morning hours resulted in a 100 vehicle pile-up just north of Fowler, CA on I-99. Two people were killed, and 41 others were injured. The thick seasonal fog is known as "Tule fog" and typically occurs in Central California in late fall and winter.

 

 

[Allsnow]

This is just a small piece of the puzzle and can recover quickly but hopefully this means something better in December 

 

 

[the_other_guy]

31 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I'll take a +3 in January with above average precip

+4 with lots o rain

[Brian5671]

14 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

This is just a small piece of the puzzle and can recover quickly but hopefully this means something better in December 

 

 

just need some cold-if we get the usual December Nino +5 or higher forget it....

[Allsnow]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

just need some cold-if we get the usual December Nino +5 or higher forget it....

A weaker vortex can help with that when we get strat hit to dislodge the cold. A strong vortex keeps all the cold up near the pole 

[FPizz]

25.6 this morning, 25.5 yesterday.  

[LoboLeader1]

51 here as of noon.

[SnoSki14]

4 hours ago, the_other_guy said:

Yeh…looks like a warmer month ahead if first half is any indication.

Cant wait to see what El Nino December holds 

Looks like the same ole garbage we've seen with a rapid Nina Pacific jet. 

[LoboLeader1]

Tapped out 55 today, currently 51F.

[Roger Smith]

Today's record low of 28F (1875) at NYC was one of 29 (25.67 reduced for ties) set relative to 1869-1900 "starter era" and of those, 14.5 of these have survived to present, the largest total of surviving records of any year. 1888 started with 37.67 (that were records as of end of 1900) but 1888 is now reduced to 12.75 surviving records. (decimal counts are for tied records). 

On Nov 3, 1875 the high was 41F but the record low maximum is 37F in 1879. That was first of three (37, 35, 35) but a record high still stands for Nov 12 (76F). Early to mid-Oct 1879 were also very warm in 1879. 

Nov 30, 1875 (14, 5) has monthly records for low max and min for Nov. Further records were set in early Dec 1875 and the pattern flipped to very mild around Dec 20th with Jan 1876 a very mild month. 

Since 1875, the lowest reading at NYC for Nov 3rd was soon afterwards, 30F in 1879, and 31F in 1912 are not beaten since in each case. Successive later lows at NYC were 32F (1951, also 1911), and 35F (1959, 1996, also 1926). 36F in 1980, 2002 and 2006 were next coldest in recent years. 

Yesterday's low of 35F at NYC was coldest since 34F in 2002, which was coldest since 33F in 1976, second coldest 31F in 1965 (tied 1875) and record low was 30F in 1887. 

[donsutherland1]

The chill will continue to moderate this weekend. Moreover, a dry weekend appears to be in store. Nevertheless, the first 10-14 days of November remains on track for a cold anomaly.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around October 25. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.47°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.57°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. That transition is currently underway.

The SOI was +0.12 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.262 today.

On October 31 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.714 (RMM). The October 30-adjusted amplitude was 0.940 (RMM).

 

[CIK62]

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs.(46/61) or +4.

The BNs look like '1 OFFS' for now.

Reached 55 here yesterday at 4pm.

Today: 58-62, wind w., p. cloudy, 50 tomorrow AM.

49*(71%RH) here at 7am.    50* at 9am.     55* at Noon.     59* at 4pm.

[lee59]

39 here this morning.