Chinook Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Hope you guys survived the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 Looks pretty boring winter-wise through the first week of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Yeah looks to be returning to our Nov-Dec pattern. Wonder what the rest of Feb into March shows or if that was our winter for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 It's been a pretty meh winter season so far but I have for surely seen worse. We have gotten about 7" total of snow for the season so far.. not too bad. The temps have been weird though, constant up down drastic swings lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 2 Share Posted February 2 We got barely any snow in the Norman/OKC area from the cold blast, and the coming couple weeks don't look that interesting either. I hope we see something good in late February/early March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Well, at least this time the Earthquake wasn't accompanied by tornado warnings.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RocketWX Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Well I hope everyone has enjoyed the fake spring over the past few weeks. Looks like we'll have another week or so of mild temps before the pattern begins to change. Models are starting to more consistently show a system traversing the plains this coming Saturday/Sunday, 2/10-2/11. Still lots of variability in strength and location, anywhere from Oklahoma to Nebraska. However, I think there is some merit to a fairly decent storm system as the AO index appears to be crashing negative during this timeframe. This may allow for some cold air to work with and a potentially robust system. I haven't looked far beyond this timeframe but if AO remains negative the 2nd half of Feb could lend additional opportunities for winter weather. If anything, maybe some systems to track to keep us occupied. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Might get a nice little dumping of snow this Sunday. We shall see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Euro is an outlier this far south for now but sure looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 8 Author Share Posted February 8 3 hours ago, MoWeatherguy said: Euro is an outlier this far south for now but sure looks nice. 00z GFS was south as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 This most likely will change between now and then, but the frontogenesis progged on today's NAM runs in OK and adjacent areas is sick. There's upright and slantwise instability feeding into it, which makes sense with the intensifying and closed-off 500 mb feature. That's a good 2"+/hr TSSN signal if these amped up scenarios verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Surprised by the lack of comments on here about this upcoming snow event. Albeit to affect a pretty small part of this region. Something to pay attention to, though, with some possible heavy banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 My attention has officially been had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 And right on cue the NW shifts comes… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 On 2/9/2024 at 7:11 PM, MoWeatherguy said: Surprised by the lack of comments on here about this upcoming snow event. Albeit to affect a pretty small part of this region. Something to pay attention to, though, with some possible heavy banding. Eh.. for me it's the marginal temps and narrowness of the band of heavier snowfall and where that narrow band ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Tulsa going extremely conservative with their amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 00z runs (divide totals by 2 to account for melting that will likely occur) HRRR NSSL-WRF FV3 3km NAM RRFS-A 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z NAM and 0z Euro are pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z runs, take it as you will HRRR 3km NAM WRF-ARW NSSL-WRF FV3 Basically areas to note is Central/SW OK and extreme NW AR and SW MO get slammed tonight. Even accounting for melting this could be significant. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Yes could be significant in those areas. Even taking away 2/3 of that yields 4-5 inches in the heavier bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I'll take the 12Z run NSSL-WRF .....but nudge it a bit farther east, west, south and north gotta have everybody included don't ya know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Winter Storm Warning now for NW corner of AR. SW MO not a warning dut to not meeting their criteria which is 6+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Data still looking insane for many areas along I-44, still waiting on a few more 00z models to come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 HRRR making a few people sweat tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Had snow for about an hour here in Fayetteville and now we're getting dry slotted hard in the NWA area, might be a bust here. Never fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 We have NOTHING at 61st and Lewis in Tulsa! There was another donut of warm air directly over the city and it never really dipped below 34. Absolutely busted for the city of Tulsa again! I think this is Winter Cancel for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 Snow coming down at a good rate here now. It's accumulating due to the rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 57 minutes ago, ouamber said: We have NOTHING at 61st and Lewis in Tulsa! There was another donut of warm air directly over the city and it never really dipped below 34. Absolutely busted for the city of Tulsa again! I think this is Winter Cancel for me! Likely the result of the heat island effect. Very marginal system, where a degree or two makes all the difference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 It's a freakin' snow globe out there. Big flakes, cached to the trees and it's coming down at an impressive rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 Guessing we had probably 4" or so before it melted. Big flake size, it was very pretty, and then a few hours later it was almost all gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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