mayjawintastawm Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 6 hours ago, Chinook said: Here is the precipitation percent of normal and snowfall percent of normal since the beginning of December. From the recent storms, the snowpack snow water equivalent is above normal for the Southwest and below normal for the northern Rockies. Wow, look at the Mid Atlantic/Northeast and Minnesota. Shows just how warm it's been... wet but not snowy at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Anyone know how much snow might be on the ground NW of Fort Collins around Greyrock Summit (Poudre Park)? Looking at hiking that Monday, but want to be sure trail conditions are decent enough and not like 2 feet of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 7 hours ago, Newman said: Anyone know how much snow might be on the ground NW of Fort Collins around Greyrock Summit (Poudre Park)? Looking at hiking that Monday, but want to be sure trail conditions are decent enough and not like 2 feet of snow That sort of area always has an icy snowpack on the trail, as people walk on it and pack it down. I don't know if that helps. There's also another reason that I didn't go to Greyrock too much in the winter: the small parking lot has a mostly shaded area where you have to drive up a few feet. The slope may be icy. So, yes, you might get some icy stuff in exactly the places where you don't want. Hewlett Gulch has a road and parking lot that should be in the sun. Also, way less mountainous terrain at the trail. Still, might have some packed ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 A large upper level trough will develop next week and one possibility is snow and cold temperatures in northern Colorado. The current models have a quick hit for the snow, but I suppose that could change. I think the trough may move too fast. On the severe weather side of things: The models have the 60 dew points from Texas into the Midwest. The SPC has given out an unusual Day-6 severe weather outlook, as shown. I figure the Illinois folks may eventually talk about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 There are lots of watches warnings, and advisories. It is snowing, windy, or on fire. Maybe half the country is on fire. We are not sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 27 Author Share Posted February 27 5 hours ago, Chinook said: There are lots of watches warnings, and advisories. It is snowing, windy, or on fire. Maybe half the country is on fire. We are not sure. In Colorado it can sometimes be snowing, windy, and on fire all at the same time. Maybe even all in the same place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 27 Author Share Posted February 27 And this AM it was 44 at 7:30, 31 at 7:40, and 23 by 8:30. We got a neat 2 inches of snow in an hour and a half, bringing my monthly total to 14.1" and season to 36.4", just average for this date. Not bad for a weird mostly warm regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 I live in Maryland but coming out to Donner ski area for the storm. Looking forward to being in your area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted February 29 Author Share Posted February 29 Cherry Creek Lake is now ice-free (after a low of 11 F this AM), pointing out just how little cold we had in February. Not a top 20 warmest for Denver so far (we could just squeak in depending on temps today and tomorrow), but no sustained cold to keep the ice around. A pair of bald eagles was fishing this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 On 2/27/2024 at 6:03 PM, katabatic said: I live in Maryland but coming out to Donner ski area for the storm. Looking forward to being in your area! How were you able to find a place to stay at short notice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 On 2/27/2024 at 6:03 PM, katabatic said: I live in Maryland but coming out to Donner ski area for the storm. Looking forward to being in your area! I see Donner is shut for the day. Hope you're having an epic trip. I would've liked to make it out. Gonna be one to remember, for sure. Post pics ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 19 hours ago, Terpeast said: How were you able to find a place to stay at short notice? Airbnb…and a wide open wallet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 1 Author Share Posted March 1 5 minutes ago, katabatic said: Airbnb…and a wide open wallet. Pics or it didn't happen. But stay safe!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 I think they said 2ft-4ft for the Sierra summits. It has mostly already happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 2 Author Share Posted March 2 42 minutes ago, Chinook said: I think they said 2ft-4ft for the Sierra summits. It has mostly already happened. Point and click forecast for the middle of Lake Tahoe this afternoon was somewhere between 50 and 90 inches for the entire storm, including 3-4 feet tonight. Wow. That's like 3-4 inches an hour for 12 straight hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 For March being the snowy month for NE Colorado winters, the models see basically nothing in the pipeline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 15 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: Point and click forecast for the middle of Lake Tahoe this afternoon was somewhere between 50 and 90 inches for the entire storm, including 3-4 feet tonight. Wow. That's like 3-4 inches an hour for 12 straight hours. local storm reports have 5" - 42" from Reno up to the Donner Summit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 2 Share Posted March 2 Katabatic posted pictures of snow in Sierra Nevada on mid-Atlantic forum (in current discobs). Basically a two-storey building is disappearing under snow! We got 8" up here in the past 24 hours, and it forms our secondary seasonal peak of 12" after a few days near 2 feet in early January. In between we lost almost all by mid-Feb, and only recently began to gain snow pack again. It's around an 18" base in some higher locations outside town. Drove through Cascades recently and same low pack in evidence, 2 feet at a few upslope locations, less than 6" on eastern slopes, and bare ground in Okanagan valley until recent snowfalls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 Washington state snow pack should be rather low in all aspects. As you can see, the southern snowpack values aren't too bad as El Nino normally favors the Southwest. These days we can say that the California jet stream is doing a good job at blasting warmer air in the middle of the country. A lot of the CO mountains should pick up some good snows from the westerly winds. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 I posted these images in the El Nino discussion. This shows the subtropical jet stream did most of what it was supposed to do. There are also some abnormally westerly winds near the equator, with a component of the wind transporting the moisture to California. (westerly winds at the equator should be happening in the West Pacific.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 190 mph winds recorded at palisades.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 3 Share Posted March 3 5 hours ago, nycwinter said: 190 mph winds recorded at palisades.. Location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 4 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Location? 190mph wind Palisades 168 Top Chair One Mammoth Mtn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 7 Share Posted March 7 Snow with a weak disturbance, with winter storm watches/winter weather advisories above 6000 ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 7 Author Share Posted March 7 13 hours ago, Chinook said: Snow with a weak disturbance, with winter storm watches/winter weather advisories above 6000 ft Yawn. (except for the far northeast plains) Even the mountains only get an advisory for this one. Wake me when severe season starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 The Euro and GFS are both showing a good storm for the second half of next week for the foothills with the Euro QPF coming in at 1.5"+ and the GFS is bonkers with widespread 3"+ totals. It would be right on time for our big March events, so fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 8 Share Posted March 8 3 hours ago, ValpoVike said: The Euro and GFS are both showing a good storm for the second half of next week for the foothills with the Euro QPF coming in at 1.5"+ and the GFS is bonkers with widespread 3"+ totals. It would be right on time for our big March events, so fingers crossed. I'm sure there will be a lot to talk about in the future. The GFS has a shortwave with some snow at hour-108 and then there's more snow after that. The 500mb low will roll around the Four Corners area, I think. But like I say, that one is more than 100 hours in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 I'm eyeing up that one since I'm flying out of town on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 I wonder how much snow is just under the trees, just beyond the meadow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted March 10 Author Share Posted March 10 On 3/8/2024 at 5:53 PM, smokeybandit said: I'm eyeing up that one since I'm flying out of town on Thursday. As am I. A family funeral on the East Coast. I'm hoping the timing of the storm shifts a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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