I've uploaded my outlook for 2023-24. Here is the link: https://www.scribd.com/document/676713540/2023-24-Winter-Outlook General themes: I matched each three month period starting Feb-Apr to various years in the past to build my analogs, and then rolled the blend forward. I built those analogs with El Nino following La Nina, -PDO, -QBO, volcanic, high solar years in the abstract. I have this as a 28.0C (+1.5C ish) El Nino in winter.  Premise is the -PDO look wins through Nov maybe