Coach McGuirk Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 3 (mixing issues) PHF: 5 RIC: 4 DCA: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF 11" No mixing issues PHF 10.9" RIC 6.5" DCA 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF 11" No mixing issues PHF 10.9" RIC 6.5" DCA 5" Best of luck with all that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 3 (mixing issues) PHF: 5 RIC: 4 DCA: 3 Why do you think orf has mixing issues? I just don't see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF 10" PHF 10" RIC 6" DCA 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 3 (mixing issues) PHF: 5 RIC: 4 DCA: 3 x2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Why do you think orf has mixing issues? I just don't see that. Because it's Norfolk, VA. Did you see that warm head on the 00z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Because it's Norfolk, VA. Did you see that warm head on the 00z GFS? No mixing unless this moves further west. I don't think it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Honestly I"m hesitant and nervous about this storm still (but in awe O-o) ORF: 6.5" (potentially higher if no mixing issues..) PHF: 8" RIC: 5" DCA: 3" IF I bust I'm leaning on being to low in some places....... >< Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Because it's Norfolk, VA. Did you see that warm head on the 00z GFS? If everyone's predictions were exactly the same, this thread would only need 1 post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF 10" PHF 10" RIC 6" DCA 5" Update after Euro.. ORF 12" PHF 13" RIC 9" DCA 7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 Update after Euro.. ORF 12" PHF 13" RIC 9" DCA 7" I guess I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF 14" PHF 13" RIC 10" DCA 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 3 (mixing issues) PHF: 5 RIC: 4 DCA: 3 ORF: 9 PHF: 10 RIC: 8 DCA: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Honestly I"m hesitant and nervous about this storm still (but in awe O-o) ORF: 6.5" (potentially higher if no mixing issues..) PHF: 8" RIC: 5" DCA: 3" IF I bust I'm leaning on being to low in some places....... >< Euro tossed me a bone. ORF: 9.5" PHF: 10" RIC: 6.5" (airport/?? : P ) DCA: 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 OMG, stop getting me so excited for such a disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ill stick with my last nights forecast. i will add in snow heavy at times. 7-11 across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Best Case ORF: 14.4" PHF: 12.6" RIC: 10.5" DCA: 9.6" IAD: 6.7" Worst Case ORF: 6.4" PHF: 5.2" RIC: 4.2" DCA: 3.5" IAD: 2.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 7-9" Va. Beach: 6-8" Ratio and BL temp related. Even the NAM suggests temps of 33 or 34 during the heaviest precipitation, suggesting some less than ideal temps for accumulation. However, there's a classic impressive omega (UVV) bullseye overlying the DGZ (snow growth zone) during the best precip rates, suggesting heavy snow with big, fat flakes for a few hours. If the SREF is right and keeps coming in somewhat warm, we might end up with a situation where folks right on the coast get 3-4" and people a few miles inland get 8"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rainstorm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 7-9" Va. Beach: 6-8" Ratio and BL temp related. Even the NAM suggests temps of 33 or 34 during the heaviest precipitation, suggesting some less than ideal temps for accumulation. However, there's a classic impressive omega (UVV) bullseye overlying the DGZ (snow growth zone) during the best precip rates, suggesting heavy snow with big, fat flakes for a few hours. If the SREF is right and keeps coming in somewhat warm, we might end up with a situation where folks right on the coast get 3-4" and people a few miles inland get 8"+ what is your prediction for the peninsula? i pretty much agree with you. 7 for southside, 11 for peninsul. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 what is your prediction for the peninsula? i pretty much agree with you. 7 for southside, 11 for peninsul. Not too much higher, maybe 8-10". They're going to be very close to dealing with the same issues. 25 miles in track changes at this point will mean the difference between slush and almost no mixing problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 8-16'' IMO is a good bet, for parts west 6-12'' and much lower as you go past the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 here is dt's guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Got Haggis? Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 these guys seem to be saying 1-3 inches for baltimore, heh http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/43480/east-coast-snowstorm-more-like.asp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 ORF: 5" plus some mixing PHF: 7" RIC: 7" DCA: 2.5" BWI: 6" IAD: 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Best Case ORF: 14.4" PHF: 12.6" RIC: 10.5" DCA: 9.6" IAD: 6.7" Worst Case ORF: 6.4" PHF: 5.2" RIC: 4.2" DCA: 3.5" IAD: 2.4" good range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 here is dt's guess I will be interested to see how much Dave trims the Western amounts...models pretty bullish on only 2-3" for here and pretty consistently across the board including the "wet" GFS. My uneducated call BWI 4-6" DCA 3-5" IAD 2-4" MBY 1-2" Not sure about anyone else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Anticipating quicker bomb and wrap around deformation banding...precipitation looks to start earlier than forecast. Looks good. Remember in all these big ones somebody loses, yes, but the models usually omit a few winners too. DCA- 8" South/East suburbs- 10-14" BWI-13" North/East suburbs- 10-18" Call me crazy but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mercurial Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 BWI: 14" DCA: 8" IAD: 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 DCA: 6 inches BWI: 8.5 inches IAD: 3.5 inches (somewhat different from my informal calls in the other thread) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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