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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread


The Alchemist
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GSP going big for the Smokies...

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
333 PM EST Sat Jan 27 2024

NCZ051-052-280445-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0003.240128T1700Z-240129T1700Z/
Swain-Haywood-
333 PM EST Sat Jan 27 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO NOON EST
MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 6 inches at elevations of 3500 to 4500
  feet, and 6 to 9 inches above 4500 feet. Winds will gust 40 to 50
  mph.

* WHERE...High elevations of Swain and Haywood Counties, above
  3500 feet.

* WHEN...From noon Sunday to noon EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could
  bring down tree branches.
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7 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

GSP going big for the Smokies...

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
333 PM EST Sat Jan 27 2024

NCZ051-052-280445-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0003.240128T1700Z-240129T1700Z/
Swain-Haywood-
333 PM EST Sat Jan 27 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO NOON EST
MONDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 6 inches at elevations of 3500 to 4500
  feet, and 6 to 9 inches above 4500 feet. Winds will gust 40 to 50
  mph.

* WHERE...High elevations of Swain and Haywood Counties, above
  3500 feet.

* WHEN...From noon Sunday to noon EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could
  bring down tree branches.

Oh heck yeah!

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2 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Yes sir this looks like a solid event. 

Thanks Met, think I'm going to wait until the morning before pulling the trigger. While I think Beech will get snow I want to be sure it is still looking good for them to get a decent thump.

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1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

Lol now you know the 3k NAM is crap at upslope snow. The 12k and gfs do look good.

It is but generally the models have cut totals for Buncombe. It's going to be too warm tomorrow for it to stick in the lower elevations like Asheville. Whatever falls after dark will have a better shot at accumulating there. TN border will do great as usual. I'm just trying to see some snow at work Monday

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Just now, wncsnow said:

It is but generally the models have cut totals for Buncombe. It's going to be too warm tomorrow for it to stick in the lower elevations like Asheville. Whatever falls after dark will have a better shot at accumulating there. TN border will do great as usual. I'm just trying to see some snow at work Monday

I think honestly the snow doesn't start until dark anyways which will be much better for accumulation. 

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2 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I think honestly the snow doesn't start until dark anyways which will be much better for accumulation. 

I drove over to Johnson City today up through Red Hill and Buladean in Mitchell county. You could tell where the heavy snow has fallen with the trees that have fell. 

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13 minutes ago, chris21 said:

Flash freeze up here on Beech this morning with 45-50 mph winds. Currently 30 and dropping fast, still in the clouds with light snow starting.

Heading up there this morning, hoping to see a a couple of inches fall today and early tomorrow.

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GSP doesn't mention snow showers or anything for the Buncombe County area.  Thought we may get at least a dusting to an inch.  Boy even us in the lower mountains can't score.  Threading a needle isn't the word for it.  :ee:

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30 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

12z GFS is a couple NW trends away from something big. 

Been steady light snow here all morning but stuck at 36 with no stickage. Was really hoping it would wait to get started tonight but short range models still look good overnight and first half of tomorrow.

I think that’s where we’re headed in the end. I can’t remember which met on twitter mentioned this yesterday, but if that low near Maine doesn’t start trending further east, this is less likely to be a slider and more likely to be a coastal storm. 

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