BooneWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It's the mountains and the fact the vort just dies out. Mother Nature truly said “I fixed your drought and that’s all you’ll get” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, BooneWX said: Mother Nature truly said “I fixed your drought and that’s all you’ll get” Just wait until it warms back up and we get 5 inches of rain from the next storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Just wait until it warms back up and we get 5 inches of rain from the next storm Hey if there’s a bright side, it’ll be a great spring to chase trout 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Some good news.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 The next storm may have legs around the 19th/20. Looks like it will be colder after that storm than next week too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Cold and a bit of snow.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I think it's going to miss us to the west lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Just now, Met1985 said: I think it's going to miss us to the west lol. I wouldn't be surprised at this point if it dove all the way down to the Florida panhandle to give Tallahassee 6 inches while we get 10s and wind.. But seriously, we need it to dig deeper or it will end up being a threat for the NE while east of the Apps gets nothing again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 At this point I'm not committing to anything.. Too many wobles and too many times I've seen things change as close as 48 hours out. We know there will be energy and cold air to work with. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: At this point I'm not committing to anything.. Too many wobles and too many times I've seen things change as close as 48 hours out. We know there will be energy and cold air to work with. More like 12-24 hours out now. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Got a rain/sleet(?) mix falling here. Weird, slushy sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 32 with a little bit of everything falling in Wolf.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Getting some PHAT flakes now. Changed over completely to half dollars for a couple minutes back to a mix now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Approaching 1in of rain here now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 18 minutes ago, BretWx said: Approaching 1in of rain here now. Yeah another super soaker already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Small adjustments are good adjustments. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 At this point I'm more interested in what we've got to do to get under that initial finger of precip. The trend is just not our friend with regards to healthy cyclogenesis in time for western areas. For what feels like the thousandth year in a row the northern stream continues to just entirely overwhelm the pattern. Someone must've forgot to let it know about the El Niño year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 The energy just fades out over the mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Evidently there was some thundersnow up north of Boone today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 Has it ever happened where Gatlinburg got a foot of snow and Asheville got nothing? This one just isn't making sense to me. That initial baroclinic leaf just stops at the line? The skew T shows a pretty saturated column but the downsloping in the lower levels dries it out. The skew T still shows snow is the p type though. I have more questions than answers right now on this one. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 7 minutes ago, Hvward said: Has it ever happened where Gatlinburg got a foot of snow and Asheville got nothing? This one just isn't making sense to me. That initial baroclinic leaf just stops at the line? The skew T shows a pretty saturated column but the downsloping in the lower levels dries it out. The skew T still shows snow is the p type though. I have more questions than answers right now on this one. @Hvward, I can’t remember how the models progressed during that Dec 2017 storm but do I recall it being basically a non-event until the short range came into view? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 [mention=6495]Hvward[/mention], I can’t remember how the models progressed during that Dec 2017 storm but do I recall it being basically a non-event until the short range came into view?I just went back and read the thread. The Nam/navgem led the way on that one. Gfs and euro had nothing for us 2 days before the event.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 I just went back and read the thread. The Nam/navgem led the way on that one. Gfs and euro had nothing for us 2 days before the event.Sent from my SM-S908U using TapatalkWell hopefully their are some good NAM runs on the way!Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 25 minutes ago, BooneWX said: @Hvward, I can’t remember how the models progressed during that Dec 2017 storm but do I recall it being basically a non-event until the short range came into view? I believe that one trended back NW to us, but could be wrong. No need to get worried at this point we’re one 50 mile shift away from a 4-8” event for us. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 23 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I just went back and read the thread. The Nam/navgem led the way on that one. Gfs and euro had nothing for us 2 days before the event. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Haha yep the Navgem, its one shining moment. I think I posted it several time. The southern periphery of the moisture was really under modeled in Dec 2017 and it ended up being much more than models showed. There was much less of a southern component though from my memory. Hopefully short range models begin to give us a better idea here soon. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 12 Share Posted January 12 10 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: I believe that one trended back NW to us, but could be wrong. No need to get worried at this point we’re one 50 mile shift away from a 4-8” event for us. Exactly. Heavier snow band shifted south and east into northern Graham ,Swain,and Haywood County boarders at 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Curious…. Does anyone even have a double digit snow total on the season yet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13 Share Posted January 13 Curious…. Does anyone even have a double digit snow total on the season yet?I have 9.5".Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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