Met1985 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 21 minutes ago, Buckethead said: The snow has picked up a little in intensity now. I've picked up another .1" or so from eyeballing it. Geez, just reading that sounds pathetic lol. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk That's what she said.... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: That's what she said.... Maybe this season is a grower and not a shower...it be like that sometimes¯\_(ツ)_/¯ 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 13 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Maybe this season is a grower and not a shower...it be like that sometimes¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Unfortunately for us foothills folks, nothing plus nothing leaves nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Unfortunately for us foothills folks, nothing plus nothing leaves nothing Just broken dreams and empty bottles. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Maybe a smidgen better... Still a long way to go Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, Met1985 said: Maybe a smidgen better... Still a long way to go Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Based on the pattern, I think that 20th timeframe is going to bare the most watching. The 16th still could surprise us. If we don’t score off of that potential, we’re on to February. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, BooneWX said: Based on the pattern, I think that 20th timeframe is going to bare the most watching. If we don’t score off of that potential, we’re on to February. Yeah maybe. The northern jet of course just shreds whatever system is around... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Another day and another solution via the operational guidance. So the GFS and Canadian have trended toward the Euro in developing a low somewhere between I-20 and the Gulf Coast? Frankly I'm not sure with 5 days to go that these computer schemes are done moving around. Got to remember that all that Arctic air hasn't even materialize in real time so far. That chunk of very dense Artic airmass likey will not materialize until our Friday rainstorm moves well into Canada. My wag is to see what Saturday and Sunday solutions hold. Remember last weekend this storm was suggested for this Sunday into Monday. Now it's Monday into Tuesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 13 minutes ago, Maggie Valley Steve said: Another day and another solution via the operational guidance. So the GFS and Canadian have trended toward the Euro in developing a low somewhere between I-20 and the Gulf Coast? Frankly I'm not sure with 5 days to go that these computer schemes are done moving around. Got to remember that all that Arctic air hasn't even materialize in real time so far. That chunk of very dense Artic airmass likey will not materialize until our Friday rainstorm moves well into Canada. My wag is to see what Saturday and Sunday solutions hold. Remember last weekend this storm was suggested for this Sunday into Monday. Now it's Monday into Tuesday. And it’s also likely this past storm and the next one are really throwing a kink into the models. There’s been so much flip flopping the past few weeks, idk if anything past 72-96 hrs can be taken seriously. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Euro is trying something different today.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 It still didn't give us what we want but it was a lot colder. Just dry dry dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It still didn't give us what we want but it was a lot colder. Just dry dry dry I’ll really be curious to see what modeling looks like come Saturday. That precip shield looked so weird on the model and you’ve got to wonder if they’re struggling with some sort of feedback issue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Models always struggle with overrunning precip here. I go back to the Dec 2017 storm where a stream of moisture setup similar to what the Euro shows now. We got 9". Honestly... looking at the skew T, moisture is in the snow growth zone per 12z Euro from early Monday through Tuesday around Asheville. Temp barely goes above freezing as well during that time period. You can clearly see the models struggling with this, but I am giving WNC pretty good odds right now to see snow accumulation of some kind Monday and into Tuesday. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Models always struggle with overrunning precip here. I go back to the Dec 2017 storm where a stream of moisture setup similar to what the Euro shows now. We got 9". Honestly... looking at the skew T, moisture is in the snow growth zone per 12z Euro from early Monday through Tuesday around Asheville. Temp barely goes above freezing as well during that time period. You can clearly see the models struggling with this, but I am giving WNC pretty good odds right now to see snow accumulation of some kind Monday and into Tuesday.Totally agree with this.... the difference with this time, the cold air will be here and not chasing. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 13 minutes ago, Hvward said: Models always struggle with overrunning precip here. I go back to the Dec 2017 storm where a stream of moisture setup similar to what the Euro shows now. We got 9". Honestly... looking at the skew T, moisture is in the snow growth zone per 12z Euro from early Monday through Tuesday around Asheville. Temp barely goes above freezing as well during that time period. You can clearly see the models struggling with this, but I am giving WNC pretty good odds right now to see snow accumulation of some kind Monday and into Tuesday. This is the first time that I have been optimistic in 2 years. I think we have a good chance to at minimum to finally get at least an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 12z euro is a step in the right direction. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 18z gfs says what storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 31 minutes ago, Met1985 said: 18z gfs says what storm lol. Not surprising, really. We get several cutter's in a row and finally get everything to suppress south enough and then all storms have exhausted. Figures. Not saying that'll be the case but, wouldn't be surprised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 18z gfs says what storm lol.It tries really hard on Tuesday.Weird look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Euro is getting there for the 16th storm and the 20th storm. Euro total snowfall Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 06z gfs trended in the right direction in my opinion. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Still waiting on a model run that gives me decent snow. Don't think it's happened all winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Still waiting on a model run that gives me decent snow. Don't think it's happened all winter. Same 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Today is the day the pieces come together. Manifesting all of the good vibes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 43 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Same If we can't even get a good fantasy storm, what's the point?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 Watching Brad P’s ski southeast video, he didn’t go into much detail but his interest seemed perked for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 6z euro dug quite a bit and nearly pulled off a legitimate phased miller a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: If we can't even get a good fantasy storm, what's the point?! It’s coming 44 minutes ago, BooneWX said: 6z euro dug quite a bit and nearly pulled off a legitimate phased miller a The control was a thing of beauty 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 You know. It would be funny for the Piedmont to get a late blooming storm while Asheville gets blanked. Next week's cold shot looks fun and I'm holding out hope for some flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 11 Share Posted January 11 12z gfs is looking nice for next Tuesday. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now