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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread


The Alchemist
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000
FXUS62 KGSP 061510
AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1010 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2024

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 145 AM EST Saturday: Low amplitude upper trough will settle
over the northeastern CONUS during the daytime period Sunday as
an elongated vort lobe rides the base of the trough and traverses
across the CFWA. 1000mb-850mb flow will generally be west-northwest,
following the departing system on Saturday, while low-level moisture
profiles remain elevated and banked along the NC/TN border. Ongoing
precipitation will continue along the NC/TN border Sunday morning,
with lowering snow levels as CAA filters in and enough saturation
for ice to develop in the cloud tops. An uptick in QPF response
suggests heavier snow totals, which will support an over performing
event, especially at elevations above 4000`. Dry air entrainment
from the leading edge of a surface high moving in from the lower
MS/Deep South will help shift winds to a northerly component and
essentially cut off upslope snow showers by Sunday night as the
center of the surface high sets up shop along the central/southern
Appalachians.



GSP upped the forecast upslope totals to 1-3" here tomorrow.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

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2 minutes ago, BretWx said:

 

 

 


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The things I would do for one of those. Overrunning events are always so much fun. Just hours of moderate snow. Not debilitating (although all of us sickos would love a big game storm). Can’t beat a good plowable 4-6 inch snowstorm that lasts a long time.

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1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

Yep the eps looks great. The pattern change on the eps is inside 10 days.

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I close my eyes, take a deep breath, slowly open one eye, then fully look each day when I check it looking to see if there's been a punt :lol::(

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