wncsnow Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 NAM coming in with a lot more ZR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Well I don’t care where we discuss things as long as the HOT LIGHT IS ON THE THREAD LIKE A KRISPY KREME AFTER 12Z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: NAM coming in with a lot more ZR The precipitation is getting lighter and lighter as well with each model suite. That doesn’t bode well for trees and power lines. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 RDPS still showing a lot of ice for CAD favored areas. This is likely overdone but there is potential for .25-.50 for CAD favored areas north of 40 near the Blue Ridge. Of course some of it could be sleet there too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 I am fond of electricity. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Am I remembering correctly that the Canadian models typically have a cold bias? I know the NAM does, but I feel like the Canadian suite does this sort of ice storm bell-ringing pretty often. Fram says no issues Saturday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Canadian once again being way too consistent with the ZR for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Am I remembering correctly that the Canadian models typically have a cold bias? I know the NAM does, but I feel like the Canadian suite does this sort of ice storm bell-ringing pretty often. Fram says no issues Saturday. What does the FRAM map show?Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 23 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: What does the FRAM map show? Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk A few hundredths of an inch of accretion from western Cleveland/Rutherford, up through the rest of the foothills into lower Va. a tenth in the mts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Euro is about the same as last night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 If I had a nickel for every time the Canadian overdid an ice storm I'd have a lot of nickels. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 We’re not out on Tuesday yet. That storm is making big trends south and now that high doesn’t look quite as transient. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Also the returns are blossoming in Alabama at this hour. Model miss?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 39/25DP here. I'd welcome some token flakes at this point 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 39/25DP here. I'd welcome some token flakes at this point I'm currently at 39.8/-5.5 lol. I'm not counting on seeing anything tonight. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk36.2/-12 at 5kft here. That's some seriously dry air. It made me wonder about Mt Mitchell... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 mPing snow reports coming in around and N of Huntsville and a couple of reports N of Atlanta. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 We've seen this several times we're the models underestimate a wave and it's energy. We will see but could be a surprise in the southern mountains and foothills this evening and tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Precipitation is way north of what ANY model has been showing. Actually most models overnight had dropped the Precipitation further south... Again model fail in like 12 hours from the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 12z gfs for second storm. Seems colder at the onslaught. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 The third storm has a significant icing signature to it currently...Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 12z euro this evening. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Euro second storm. Euro seems to be catching a secondary disturbance coming the a bit later...Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The third storm has a significant icing signature to it currently... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Now THAT is a wedge. I have no clue where the high is positioned but those isobars scream damaging ice potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Third system on euro. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 I like visuals so I hope yall do also. Still a lot of time for adjustments on the second storm. Just got to wait and see were the models takes up and use real time conditions... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Long range NAM started to show precip starting as snow now. Was only showing rain or ZR previous runs. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 Keep it up with the model play by plays, Met and WNCSnow. Appreciate it! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Long range NAM started to show precip starting as snow now. Was only showing rain or ZR previous runs. Matches well with the GFS and the EURO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 1 minute ago, westmc9th said: Keep it up with the model play by plays, Met. Appreciate it! Thank you! Will do my best. I know we are all on the edge of our seats currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2024 Share Posted January 3, 2024 As wncsnow mentioned NAM coming in cold with a snow to ice scenario now.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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