wncsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 7 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Also, idk if I’m the only one to notice this but holy smokes what a year of haves and have nots with regard to rain. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a year long weather pattern where when it rains, we’re talking a foot+ in a very short window and when it flips dry, we are absolutely talking about nothing, zilch, nada for 2 months. There’s been zero middle ground. The pattern is either borderline tropical or it gives you absolutely nothing for 6-8 weeks. A product of climate change I think. Even when we get 12 inches of rain in 2 weeks, it almost all runs off and the water table goes down quickly allowing the droughts to intensify quicker. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 You can tell things look bleak when people are quiet throughout the 12Z GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, westmc9th said: You can tell things look bleak when people are quiet throughout the 12Z GFS run. It is complete shite for the Piedmont. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 It is complete shite for the Piedmont. Yup, it's quiet enough to hear the dumpster fire roaring!Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, westmc9th said: You can tell things look bleak when people are quiet throughout the 12Z GFS run. Just hang in there. It’ll be blocking and +PNA galore by Memorial Day weekend!! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Just hang in there. It’ll be blocking and +PNA galore by Memorial Day weekend!! 30’s and 40’s (April and May) or 80’s (September and October) during prime time for trout, woo! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, Buckethead said: Yup, it's quiet enough to hear the dumpster fire roaring! Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Thank goodness! I hate being big score spot 6 days out on the operational guidance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Thank goodness! I hate being big score spot 6 days out on the operational guidance. I'm just gonna move to San Diego. Then I dont have to worry about the weather because there is none...lolSeriously though, I have 6" of snow for the season and can score up here into April. Living in southern SC for 30 years set the bar so low for me that I still get excited over flurries. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, Buckethead said: I'm just gonna move to San Diego. Then I dont have to worry about the weather because there is none...lol Seriously though, I have 6" of snow for the season and can score up here into April. Living in southern SC for 30 years set the bar so low for me that I still get excited over flurries. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Imagine being from the Upper TX Coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 35 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I'm just gonna move to San Diego. Then I dont have to worry about the weather because there is none...lol Seriously though, I have 6" of snow for the season and can score up here into April. Living in southern SC for 30 years set the bar so low for me that I still get excited over flurries. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk I’m just gonna move to 7-8k feet in the Rockies 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I could use some input from you guys in the NC mountains. My first grandchild is due to arrive February 5th in Boone. My wife and I are considering buying a house up that way, but don't want to be right in Boone - but probably within 30-40 minutes of the Boone/Blowing Rock area. What areas would you recommend in order to experience the best (snow) of NC mountain weather? I'm thinking of which areas do really well with NW flow events as well as synoptic events. Thanks in advance. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 NAM trying to show love again tomorrow for N GA and SW NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Hi Res NAM showing a little something too. More than it has thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 hour ago, tarheelwx said: I could use some input from you guys in the NC mountains. My first grandchild is due to arrive February 5th in Boone. My wife and I are considering buying a house up that way, but don't want to be right in Boone - but probably within 30-40 minutes of the Boone/Blowing Rock area. What areas would you recommend in order to experience the best (snow) of NC mountain weather? I'm thinking of which areas do really well with NW flow events as well as synoptic events. Thanks in advance. TW If it were me, I’d shop the Avery county area. Ashe fits the distance you want but lacks the orientation and elevation to produce the best results from flow events. Here are some other areas in Watauga that will always do well and are lesser known: zionville, Matney, Sugar Grove, Vilas. If snow is truly a priority to you, I’d avoid Valle Crucis and anywhere east of Boone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Not going to lie, pretty alarmed by the ZR output by the Canadian down here. A little too consistent for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 18Z GFS a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, BretWx said: 18Z GFS a whiff. Has ice still. Just not much moisture 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 The QPF is drying up on most models. Trended weaker for sure. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 hours ago, BooneWX said: If it were me, I’d shop the Avery county area. Ashe fits the distance you want but lacks the orientation and elevation to produce the best results from flow events. Here are some other areas in Watauga that will always do well and are lesser known: zionville, Matney, Sugar Grove, Vilas. If snow is truly a priority to you, I’d avoid Valle Crucis and anywhere east of Boone. Perfect. That's exactly what I was looking for! TW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Quite a SER showing up on the GFS. Parade of cutters and rain. Blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Perfect. That's exactly what I was looking for! TWI lived in sugar grove my last year at app in 03/04. Got 19” in December on 03 that year. Nice area! . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 29 minutes ago, westmc9th said: Quite a SER showing up on the GFS. Parade of cutters and rain. Blah Because of the NPAC. That shouldn't have staying power though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Big changes on the Euro with the third system. It doesn't cut into Arkansas but rather straight through us which gives us a great upslope signature. Also the end of the run you can see a ridge building out West and a Canadian high coming down on this side of the Rockies. That's what we want.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Upslope event on euro. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Today 12z eps supports my case above. Looks damn good.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Look at the 18z gfs. Still has the wound up storm cutting. Who is right? My bets are on the Euro and eps. Gfs is out to lunch. There are going to be some changes in the pattern moving forward. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 12z eps defy supports what you’re talking about on the charts. I’ve been keeping up with these for 3-4 weeks now and by far most aggressive, if only we can reel one in. I’m ready to visit my mountain folks! Keep getting the rug pulled . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Huge differences with the pattern from the gfs and the Euro with the pattern. The Euro matches up very well with the eps, weeklies and monthlies.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Hey guys it's only January 2nd. Keep your heads on and look at the big picture. I know we all want snow. Winter is just getting started. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just some insight for you guys and maybe we will make it through this with a decent snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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