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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread


The Alchemist
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30 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Just looked out and everything is covered in a blanket of snow. At least it looks like winter lol. Temp at 28. 

You guys don't know how lucky and blessed you are up there to be seeing snow. I haven't seen a flake of snow down this way in almost 2 years coming this January. I'm glad you guys are getting it. Were in a horrible stretch east of the mountains with no snow. Absolutely terrible. Hoping for better days in the near future.

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1 hour ago, Buckethead said:

I've only picked up a total of 1.25" of snow so far, but it's still coming down good this morning. Maybe we'll get to 2" before it wraps up.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk
 

About the same here on the Beech.   Flow band looks locked in up here so maybe it will over perform.   Lol

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7 hours ago, Tyler Penland said:

0z GFS is a step in the right direction for Wednesday night. I could see this sneak into a light event if things trend a little stronger with the low.

Even more with the 006 Z run of the GFS. 

 

Over night discussion from gsp-1:30am:

The GFS and EC have maintained decent
run-to-run consistency, with low tracks far enough south that only
our southernmost zones fall under the precip shield.  The GDPS
has also shifted the low farther south, but features a sharper
thermal gradient and slightly slower trough, so it is more expansive
with precip across the Carolinas in a somewhat more Miller B-type
pattern.  It had been the wettest but warmest model 24 hours ago,
but now its sfc temps/wet-bulbs make it the coldest model despite
having all the precip. A few members of all three of these models'
ensembles depict a wetter solution, but as we typically see, these
members are among the warmest during the passage of the low. 

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1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Ensembles are trending north too

Yeah but, as far as overall pattern compared to just a few days ago. Honestly, I hadn't looked at the 6z so yeah, that trough coming into the west sooner doesn't help matters. We need to get a true Nino augmented NPAC Aleutian LP. The -PDO is hurting . Mainly the extreme WPAC warm SST'S are what's appears to be causing the problem imo. Wants to force a Nina like NPAC. 

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1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Models are trending worse and worse for the next 2 or 3 systems. Lots of rain even for higher elevations. Punting until January 20 may be a real thing. 

Shetley Jr strikes again! Just giving you a hard time, but we need you to stop being a little dark rain cloud all the time lately lol.  Of course every time you complained about drought this year we got rain so maybe you are onto something….

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20 minutes ago, WxKnurd said:

Shetley Jr strikes again! Just giving you a hard time, but we need you to stop being a little dark rain cloud all the time lately lol.  Of course every time you complained about drought this year we got rain so maybe you are onto something….

Well I haven't seen measurable snow in 2 years. It makes a man crazy

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