BooneWX Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: If we don't get a major SWE I think the odds of area wide snow is pretty slim Oddly enough, I’m torn because I feel like more times than not, a SWE means suppression city for storm tracks. I really think we need to time up the NAO and PNA for one frickin time in our lives. We’ve had a ton of one or the other but not a lot of both in recent years. you may certainly be right though. This side of the globe is almost devoid of cold and we need that to change in a big way to have a chance. It’s alarming when places like Buffalo and Chicago really haven’t even been able to muster up a decent storm and we’re almost to January. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 Oddly enough, I’m torn because I feel like more times than not, a SWE means suppression city for storm tracks. I really think we need to time up the NAO and PNA for one frickin time in our lives. We’ve had a ton of one or the other but not a lot of both in recent years. you may certainly be right though. This side of the globe is almost devoid of cold and we need that to change in a big way to have a chance. It’s alarming when places like Buffalo and Chicago really haven’t even been able to muster up a decent storm and we’re almost to January.It’s still early. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, BretWx said: It’s still early. . And right on que - the happy hour GFS delivers 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 32 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Oddly enough, I’m torn because I feel like more times than not, a SWE means suppression city for storm tracks. I really think we need to time up the NAO and PNA for one frickin time in our lives. We’ve had a ton of one or the other but not a lot of both in recent years. you may certainly be right though. This side of the globe is almost devoid of cold and we need that to change in a big way to have a chance. It’s alarming when places like Buffalo and Chicago really haven’t even been able to muster up a decent storm and we’re almost to January. The northern stream is still stuck on La Niña and making things harder than usual. This upcoming stretch would be extremely favorable, especially for light to moderate area wide events, but the northern stream is just on overdrive and mostly shredding and crushing all of our southern waves. Without the Atlantic blocking to backup the flow it's an extreme game of thread the needle to get a phase to happen at the perfect time. I still think we can score in this 10 day stretch or so, it just looks more complicated than it did before. As for later on, many signs still point to a potential blockbuster late January and February but only time will tell. A warming event would certainly help to likely lock in a -NAO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 26, 2023 Share Posted December 26, 2023 really good analysis for those of us wanting some hope as well: https://x.com/weatherwilly/status/1739780789842112635?s=46 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Up to 5.55" and still coming down. Watauga is the highest I've seen it in a long time and Linville hit 6ft today. Impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Just got home. We have gotten 4.71 inches at the house here in NE Hickory, and it is still coming down. I understand we may get up to another inch overnight. Pretty crazy for a rather unadvertised event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Still getting moderate rain at times 5.7 total. None of the models had this much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 10.16 for the month. That's a drought buster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Dang the Euro is full stop. Ain't buying a thing.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 06z gfs is a smidgen better but not much... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Just got home. We have gotten 4.71 inches at the house here in NE Hickory, and it is still coming down. I understand we may get up to another inch overnight. Pretty crazy for a rather unadvertised event.Finished the event with 5.64 inches of rainfall. Wow.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Safe to say the drought has ended. Now step 2- An area wide snowstorm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Safe to say the drought has ended. Now step 2- An area wide snowstorm. I only picked up .97" of rain. I must've forgotten to turn my rain gauge on, lol.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 45 minutes ago, Buckethead said: I only picked up .97" of rain. I must've forgotten to turn my rain gauge on, lol. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk Downsloping gets you too sometimes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 27, 2023 Share Posted December 27, 2023 Dang the Euro is full stop. Ain't buying a thing.Sent from my SM-G998U using TapatalkIt didn't do so hot last time either, though, so I'd hedge my bets for right now. None of the globals did once we got close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 So an inch at best into Saturday. Good news is temperatures are going to be conducive for snow making up on the slopes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Hate to say it but the pattern looks pretty boring the next 10 days. No major threats. Could be a little upslope snow but nothing major. Hopefully this warming event happens but the models are backing off that now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Looks like a punt until late January 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Really thought this first week of January would be a good opportunity for us. Alas, more of the same. At least it will be chilly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 1 minute ago, westmc9th said: Really thought this first week of January would be a good opportunity for us. Alas, more of the same. At least it will be chilly It's definitely disappointing. We haven't had a true snow threat (much less a storm) in almost 2 years most places outside TN border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 30 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It's definitely disappointing. We haven't had a true snow threat (much less a storm) in almost 2 years most places outside TN border. January 16, 2022 is the last time a widespread system came through that I can think of. I had 10” here (biggest storm I’ve gotten to enjoy since I moved to Haywood from Charlotte in February of 2019) at my new place after I had just moved in end of 2021 and I think around 30” total for that season, last year I had one flow snow event of 5-6” and that was it. I don’t even think I cracked cracked double digits for the season. This year I may be close to an inch total from the three minor accumulations thus far. Basically what I’m saying is I’m “cold and snowy weather” starved! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 2 hours ago, WxKnurd said: January 16, 2022 is the last time a widespread system came through that I can think of. I had 10” here (biggest storm I’ve gotten to enjoy since I moved to Haywood from Charlotte in February of 2019) at my new place after I had just moved in end of 2021 and I think around 30” total for that season, last year I had one flow snow event of 5-6” and that was it. I don’t even think I cracked cracked double digits for the season. This year I may be close to an inch total from the three minor accumulations thus far. Basically what I’m saying is I’m “cold and snowy weather” starved! Amen brother. We had 11" here in that Jamuary 2022 system. But since then, basically nada in the foothills. As each week passes with no snow, we get closer to another disappointing winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Nice little Warning level storm for January 3rd and 4th on the 12Z Euro. That's 3 opportunities to see at least flurries over the next 7 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Nice little Warning level storm for January 3rd and 4th on the 12Z Euro. That's 3 opportunities to see at least flurries over the next 7 days.That's not far off from a nice hit. Temps aren't great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 28, 2023 Share Posted December 28, 2023 Really is a nice look, just can't get any highs over top of our storms this year. Even a weak CAD high would make all the difference at the surface. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 00z cmc looking really nice tonight. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 00z euro looking nice. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 20° with flurries in Wolf this morning.Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 29, 2023 Share Posted December 29, 2023 This morning gfs coming around to the Euro and cmc.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now