Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 1:49 PM, snowbird1230 said: Strange forecast out of GSP this morning for some of the mountains (Graham, Swain,Jacckson,Haywood)..Rain and Snow mix for alot of the event although those counties seem to be in bullseye for most snow. Expand Remember that the models just recently have turned more south with the axis of the main precipitation. It wasn't until the 00z gfs that things started to turn more favorable. GSP are just playing it safe because we've literally been we're TN is to only get completely screwed... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 1:35 PM, BooneWX said: Do you guys ever think about how over the past 10 years, Alberta randomly stopped sending us their clippers? jokes aside I haven’t seen one in ages. Expand Yes, do not see light snow/flurries in Asheville with near the frequency we did 10 plus years ago. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 NAM still doesn’t seem like it’ll finish this run where we want it but it definitely trended south from 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 12z Nam didn’t get all the way to us, but definitely trended in the right direction. I don’t see GSP putting anything up till tomorrow morning unless things are looking great this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 1:49 PM, snowbird1230 said: Strange forecast out of GSP this morning for some of the mountains (Graham, Swain,Jacckson,Haywood)..Rain and Snow mix for alot of the event although those counties seem to be in bullseye for most snow. Expand The way this is trending Buncombe, Madison, and areas north could be in a nice snow band plus with the temps I would guess all snow and no rain. I guess GSP is playing it safe for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 NAM and HRRR would be too far north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 I was expecting to see the sun this morning. Instead, we're clouded in with rime ice on the trees and 16 currently. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 RGEM trended north slightly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Flurries at my house in Wolf currently. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamParker Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Cabin to Gatlinburg booked for Sunday-Wednesday! I’ll be live reporting with yall! . 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Gfs seems to be keying in more on the following wave. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 GFS keeps the good vibes going. 4”-8” for the southern mountains. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Southern and southwest mountains looking good at the moment. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 12z gfs on the first wave still look very good.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 The 20th deal is really the big dog potential, particularly for WNC coastal + upslope 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 The second wave is looking robust and one heck of an upslope signal still.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 The second system snows go over 24 hours but you get the jist that next week could be big for a lot of mountain communities. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Yeah the ingredients are there for a big storm with the second wave if we can get it to come together right. I think the GFS is a little too north with its track right now given the CAD high and decent confluence from the first storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 This could be a really good week for the whole viewing area. Sure at the current we aren't looking at a Miller A or a Miller B, but I'd take this look in a heartbeat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Temps are a bit colder after the second storm also. Again if there is that much snow around and on the ground these will be trending lower. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 12z euro was a good run! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Euro is looking decent for the first wave.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 6:12 PM, franklin NCwx said: 12z euro was a good run! Expand Good run captain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 The trend is our friend again. For now! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 6:12 PM, franklin NCwx said: 12z euro was a good run! Expand Very encouraging today. You folks in the SW looking really good today for a significant event. I'm a bit worried about down sloping, but even the Euro gives me 4 or 5 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 6:15 PM, BretWx said: The trend is our friend again. For now! . Expand Well the days are ticking down. Basically 2 days from go time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 On 1/13/2024 at 6:15 PM, Maggie Valley Steve said: Very encouraging today. You folks in the SW looking really good today for a significant event. I'm a bit worried about down sloping, but even the Euro gives me 4 or 5 inches! Expand Why you worried? This is pretty much the same trajectory as we saw during our little snow this week. We will be fine. You'll do great in this flow. Franklin will do awesome as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Unless I'm seeing things the second wave on the Euro is pretty nonexistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 Graham Co should do great with this first system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 13, 2024 Share Posted January 13, 2024 A really weird run from the Euro. Doesn't really drop the hammer with the second system at all. I'm not worried. It will change again tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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