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October 2023 General Discussion


Chambana
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Humorous how the point forecast for here Tuesday goes back and forth between snow showers on one shift, or partly sunny on the next, as the forecasters disagree.  Some are riding the GFS, and others give more credence to the Euro/RGEM.  Think it's pretty stupid to not have any POPS though given the potent vort and even the near miss of the GFS would still likely warrant a POP.  The forecasters who are leaving it bone dry are going to bomb.

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7 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Humorous how the point forecast for here Tuesday goes back and forth between snow showers on one shift, or partly sunny on the next, as the forecasters disagree.  Some are riding the GFS, and others give more credence to the Euro/RGEM.  Think it's pretty stupid to not have any POPS though given the potent vort and even the near miss of the GFS would still likely warrant a POP.  The forecasters who are leaving it bone dry are going to bomb.

I've noticed the same thing happening occasionally at IWX, although they try to do a good job at keeping the forecast smooth. I also realize that sometimes they have to compromise their forecast to blend with neighboring CWA's.

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Chilly wx starting yesterday with highs in the upper 20's-low 30's around the area (top 5 low max records), and lows this morning in the upper teens-low 20's (top 10 mins). Dense ranking method used. Nice, sunny morning through the window until you open the door. Typical cold wx days. Bright, sunny then SLAP! :lol:

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4 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

First accumulating snowfall of the season potentially tomorrow evening. It doesn’t matter how much we get, the commute on Tuesday will be hellish if anything accumulates. 

D2D8FB00-0D77-47DB-8667-D8E97574BD01.png

Yeah, everyone needs to get their snow footing. First snows are the worst driving times. Folks just don't know how to slow down, and be careful. A couple 360's usually does the trick. :) 

  • Haha 2
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