Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 16 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Cmc crushed interior New England Yeah ...I wrote about an early November signal for sub climo cold in the winter thread a while ago. I left the idea of an actual event availing of it a bit nebulous, 'at a minimum a supportive atmosphere and probable initiation of LEK and upslope' It just was too early to be that specific at the time. I'm not surprised that we are seeing occasional solutions trying to turn that trough axis more neutral. In fact, two days ago, I saw that and thought 'if the Euro can just turn that sucker around the dial a little sooner we repeat the last 10 years of odd early snow shots across the bow. The Euro summarily began doing that. It may not happen that way... but the take away is that any system that passes through that synoptic framing in the first week of Novie has a chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 79.5⁰/55 after a low of 46....feels almost "hot" in the sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 Sweet baby Jesus on the GFS. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 Look at that nuclear hybrid turn up the coast on the clown range GFS. Absolute beaut from Caribbean tropical (which is a legit signal) with a perfectly timed and located progression up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sweet baby Jesus on the GFS. Lol the infamous blizzicane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sweet baby Jesus on the GFS. 1-3ft lolis to 4ft? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sweet baby Jesus on the GFS. Delayed but not denied on our October big dog streak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Delayed but not denied on our October big dog streak? I’d be satisfied with the winter if that verified. 2” of rain to 18” of wind driven paste here. That would be insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 14 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 79.5⁰/55 after a low of 46....feels almost "hot" in the sun Torching out and it feels awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d be satisfied with the winter if that verified. 2” of rain to 18” of wind driven paste here. That would be insane It's about 3" lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sweet baby Jesus on the GFS. Over 3 feet here what a weenie run now if only we could get this a couple days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d be satisfied with the winter if that verified. 2” of rain to 18” of wind driven paste here. That would be insane More like a sloppy few inches there. You’d enjoy that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Over 3 feet here what a weenie run now if only we could get this a couple days out. I suppose you and Tblizz are looking at clown maps? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 lol, look at the snowfall map from hour 324 to 330. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2023 Author Share Posted October 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Over 3 feet here what a weenie run now if only we could get this a couple days out. Beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's about 3" lol. Actually ends up one heck of a paint peeler for eastern MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 Just now, wx2fish said: Actually end up one heck of a paint peeler for eastern MA I'll take hurricane force winds and my skin ripped off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I'll take hurricane force winds and my skin ripped off. At least there's a decent Scooter high north of Maine. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 you have to at least consider if something like this happens, it could be the year we run wire to wire snowpack til April like in the days of yore 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: At least there's a decent Scooter high north of Maine. Also... By the 5th of Nov we will be able to see the Euro weenie maps an hour earlier... Lol... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll take hurricane force winds and my skin ripped off. B-I-N-G-O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 9 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: you have to at least consider if something like this happens, it could be the year we run wire to wire snowpack til April like in the days of yore 0 consideration from me. never happen ... if we wanna argue a .94% for, vs a 99.06% chance against, then yeah, technically not 0. Sure - dream away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 73.8F for the high. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 0 consideration from me. never happen ... if we wanna argue a .94% for, vs a 99.06% chance against, then yeah, technically not 0. Sure - dream away. The funny thing is you know it's happened at least once in the past few thousand years probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: At least there's a decent Scooter high north of Maine. And if anything it sort of backs west a tad instead of heading halfway to Portugal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 0 consideration from me. never happen ... if we wanna argue a .94% for, vs a 99.06% chance against, then yeah, technically not 0. Sure - dream away. I mean statistically its probably even less likely ... just meant to be a joke but if it were to happen, it would probably take a huge QPF event early like modeled to have a chance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The funny thing is you know it's happened at least once in the past few thousand years probably. right ... once in 1,000 years lol Yeah I know that's kind of a heavy handed snark there... But in all seriousness, adding the CC challenge to the notion that 1995-1996 could even get it done ( close though!), leaves me equally challenged to visualize how that could happen. plus - 'goes without saying. I've seen too many big snows in Novie/early Dec that were sandy decks by xmas nah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 46 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: lol, look at the snowfall map from hour 324 to 330. Kuchera is even funnier! https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2023102612/330/snku_006h-imp.us_ne.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 The GGEM used to do that a lot in the early aughts. The versions of that model back in the day, like 1996 through 2005, it used to fuse TCs into cold core coastals every autumn. It was like a right of passage that heralded in the winter because although it never happened, it seemed to have a rightish idea. The patterns always turned cold around the time it was doing that. interesting... Not sure about this particular peregrination of the GFS but it smacks of that GGEM era. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2023 Share Posted October 26, 2023 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The GGEM used to do that a lot in the early aughts. The versions of that model back in the day, like 1996 through 2005, it used to fuse TCs into cold core coastals every autumn. It was like a right of passage that heralded in the winter because although it never happened, it seemed to have a rightish idea. The patterns always turned cold around the time it was doing that. interesting... Not sure about this particular peregrination of the GFS but it smacks of that GGEM era. Yes I remember that very well....like that brings back to college circa fall of, say 2002 or 2000, and you're just waiting for the winter threats to start and eveyr so often, the GGEM would come out of nowhere in late October or November and try and give 3-4 feet of snow at 192 hours on a captured TC into a longwave trough supplying an unusually cold early season airmass.....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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