dendrite Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 CON is up to 82F...maybe 83F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yup 70's to around 80 won't be seen again until maybe February definitely Dec 24 and Dec 25 FYP 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 43 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Perfect October weather. Gonna lose it though this weekend and that might be all she wrote. Longer range looks a lot colder. Been warning, yup... It's weird, though, to see a typhoon careen west through the lower China Sea, a stymied MJO bouncing off a wall trying to emerge in 8, ... while the PNA surges to a very high metric...? The first two correlate. The 3rd does not correlate with the first 2.... Given the spatial domain (girth of mass fields) of of those manifolds, that argues for an unstable hemisphere. Interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 58 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: For all of SNE? looks to be east of I-91 on Euro/CMC/GFS verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kocab Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 17 hours ago, Childude645 said: wherws this video from? (It's a loop from the KBOX radar last evening just after sunset.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 CON 83 AUG 82 PWM 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Highs so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 CON 84F...record is tied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 12Z Euro crushes CT on Saturday 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Yeah Saturday could be pretty ugly. These dynamics are quite impressive with a deep southerly flow in the mid/upper levels check out the PWAT anomalies...woozers 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 12Z Euro crushes CT on Saturday Lol…another 3.5-4.0” on that…wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…another 3.5-4.0” on that…wow. Still 4 days out-could set up east of us if things are a bit more progressive...let's hope. Either way Saturday won't be great but Sunday looks good especially south and west areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Yeah Saturday could be pretty ugly. These dynamics are quite impressive with a deep southerly flow in the mid/upper levels check out the PWAT anomalies...woozers yeah you can see why the Euro's numbers are robust... IF its synoptic bare any resemblance to that. R/entrance jet over eastern-upstate NY with exceptional divergence vectors with an arriving 850 mb PWAT jet running up it's ass. Someone along the spine of the Greens might redux what happened earlier in the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHappens Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 Will Phillipe have any impacts on us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 1 minute ago, WeatherHappens said: Will Phillipe have any impacts on us? Unlikely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: yeah you can see why the Euro's numbers are robust... IF its synoptic bare any resemblance to that. R/entrance jet over eastern-upstate NY with exceptional divergence vectors with an arriving 850 mb PWAT jet running up it's ass. Someone along the spine of the Greens might redux what happened earlier in the year. Yeah if this synoptic look verifies there is going to be big problems. There should also be more in the way of convection and convective elements involved as well which would only add to the issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Still 4 days out-could set up east of us if things are a bit more progressive...let's hope. Either way Saturday won't be great but Sunday looks good especially south and west areas It could…but that hasn’t been the case since what, June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 If that tropical gets more west (Euro and EPS sizable shift west) that will be a big hydro issue. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It could…but that hasn’t been the case since what, June? Yep wet begets wet, hard to bet against that this summer/fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It could…but that hasn’t been the case since what, June? eh I don't see this becoming progressive...not with that ulvl evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: eh I don't see this becoming progressive...not with that ulvl evolution What's odd is it never moves east....Boston and SE MA don't see much.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: What's odd is it never moves east....Boston and SE MA don't see much.... Fine with me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 EPS has a different max precip axis. More in towards the white mtns. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: What's odd is it never moves east....Boston and SE MA don't see much.... Would have to dig deeper but my guess is because this closes off and occludes well west. If dynamics and synoptics weren't as impressive I don't think we would be seeing QPF totals this extreme even across western sections. Of course there is likely some enhancement from Philippe too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…another 3.5-4.0” on that…wow. this winter is going to suck so bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If that tropical gets more west (Euro and EPS sizable shift west) that will be a big hydro issue. Just at looked at the EPS. That’s quite a shift west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 24 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just at looked at the EPS. That’s quite a shift west. So are we saying that potentially Philippe’s moisture gets involved with this system for Saturday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 37 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: this winter is going to suck so bad It won’t be worse than last year here…we can only go up in SNE. So in that regard it’ll be better for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: If that tropical gets more west (Euro and EPS sizable shift west) that will be a big hydro issue. Ya EPS looks interesting for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 3, 2023 Share Posted October 3, 2023 82F for the high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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