bwt3650 Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 Currently listening to the sound of crickets in Augtober.Snowvember is coming.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: It’s not required. Most know what’s a troll post and what’s a weather discussion and observations. It looks like we start November cooler than last year, tho. If I remember, it was cooking until that cold stretch the week before thanksgiving or around thanksgiving. I remember something like a 5 day stretch of primo snow making temps after weeks of crap. Yeah and this warmth has no bearing on starting the snow season either. All it takes is one good trough and could have widespread snow ahead of schedule in the first half of November. Sometimes we see that, record warmth goes straight to a big snow event. October 2011 was like a monster snowstorm for south/central in a sea of warmth I believe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 25 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Was talking here..not north country. Obviously late there no doubt. But not here. It’s late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Snowvember is coming. . We hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 On 10/18/2023 at 9:11 AM, CoastalWx said: I love this place. We can tell by your post count. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: We can tell by your post count. Have to keep tending to my sheep. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 30 minutes ago, dendrite said: From 1935-1993 all of BDL’s first 41° or lower mins occurred in Aug or Sep. Now they go into Mid Oct no problem. Nothing to see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Have to keep tending to the wolf. Yeah, He requires a lot of attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 Yeah and this warmth has no bearing on starting the snow season either. All it takes is one good trough and could have widespread snow ahead of schedule in the first half of November. Sometimes we see that, record warmth goes straight to a big snow event. October 2011 was like a monster snowstorm for south/central in a sea of warmth I believe?What’s the average date you have legit snowmaking temps above 2500’? I know the bottom third is tough.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 3 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: What’s the average date you have legit snowmaking temps above 2500’? I know the bottom third is tough. . Don’t know really but the mountain has always used November 1st as the time when it’s plausible to make snow and have a chance it sticks around up high. Even if we get temps in October it’s usually not our game seeing as chances are high it’ll melt out. It still can happen in November but to me, 11/1 is the start of snowmaking season when temps allow for a prolonged period (like more than 6 hours, system isn’t going on for like a 3-hr early AM chance). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 19, 2023 Share Posted October 19, 2023 Don’t know really but the mountain has always used November 1st as the time when it’s plausible to make snow and have a chance it sticks around up high. Even if we get temps in October it’s usually not our game seeing as chances are high it’ll melt out. It still can happen in November but to me, 11/1 is the start of snowmaking season when temps allow for a prolonged period (like more than 6 hours, system isn’t going on for like a 3-hr early AM chance).Despite the warmth, could be right on schedule for that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 Logan airport has some absurdly late first freezes haven’t they ...like mid December ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s late Not here in CT it’s not. But whatever. We can agree to disagree depending where one lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2023 Author Share Posted October 20, 2023 Where are folks getting these delusional ideas about bitter cold shots, freezes and a cold Nov coming? I mean there’s nothing that shows any of that . Sure there’ll be a fake frost in spots Tuesday . Other than that warm rules roosts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 20, 2023 Author Share Posted October 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not here in CT it’s not. But whatever. We can agree to disagree depending where one lives. Your avg first frost is Oct 5. You won’t see one until Nov sometime 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your avg first frost is Oct 5. You won’t see one until Nov sometime He late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 25 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Logan airport has some absurdly late first freezes haven’t they ...like mid December ? I think December 2009 is latest. I forget the date offhand. Maybe around 12-9. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 1 hour ago, dendrite said: That Northfield, VT record early freeze date looks bogus. There’s no way they pulled 32° on 8/21/2014. Yeah, I’m thinking I would remember that one. I don’t live too far from there and used to be over there at the golf course 3-4 times a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your avg first frost is Oct 5. You won’t see one until Nov sometime Not according to Ryan..you can take that up with him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Where are folks getting these delusional ideas about bitter cold shots, freezes and a cold Nov coming? I mean there’s nothing that shows any of that . Sure there’ll be a fake frost in spots Tuesday . Other than that warm rules roosts I don’t think anybody said bitter…but ensembles look cool for Halloween and beyond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your avg first frost is Oct 5. You won’t see one until Nov sometime You also told me I’d see 70 today..I saw 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Have to keep tending to my sheep. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yep there they are. Wolfie, Tblizz, DIT……all following. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yep there they are. Wolfie, Tblizz, DIT……all following. Trifecta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep there they are. Wolfie, Tblizz, DIT……all following. 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Trifecta. Too dam funny…good one boys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 First flakes for ORH county? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: First flakes for ORH county? we can hope! but I think it will be just warm enough so we rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 The number of synoptic big rainers this warm season has been impressive. Another decent 1-2" rainer possible over a good sized area, with localized 4" amounts? So far this year when the models show good rains, someone can get smoked in a localized area. If the models start showing jackpots of 3-4"+ this season, it has meant that a locality will realize that somewhere. GFS EURO RGEM (because it's the 18z run). NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: The number of synoptic big rainers this warm season has been impressive. Another decent 1-2" rainer possible over a good sized area, with localized 4" amounts? So far this year when the models show good rains, someone can get smoked in a localized area. If the models start showing jackpots of 4"+ this season, it has meant that a locality will realize that somewhere. GFS EURO RGEM (because it's the 18z run). Hopefully the euro is right here and we can salvage a mostly dry weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted October 20, 2023 Share Posted October 20, 2023 Been a bit tuned out on recent developments for our weekend storm, so I only just now have caught up on how this thing has trended... what a shame if this was January. Hopefully we are getting our blown phases out of the way in the preseason (at least according to the GFS) Looking at the Z500 evolution is especially painful with the southerly vort getting slung out east. Make no mistake about it, this would be a solid hit, but more in the "close but no cigar" caliber rather than a true classic. One final note, take a look at a rare October Manitoba Mauler diving into the midwest upstream of our weekend storm. Seems like the clipper train has really dried up in recent years, maybe getting it going early is a good omen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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