Torch Tiger Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Let's do this....in December! Thats a pouring rain for sne even in Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 13 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Thats a pouring rain for sne even in Feb I think he means the track more so than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 23 minutes ago, WeatherWilly said: Looks like near 70 degree highs around Halloween. Lol, Ya that’s more than two weeks away…who knows what you’ll have by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some people get antsy about it. I don't care either. Usually comes later in October around here. Sometimes early Novie. Yes sir…I feel the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 13, 2023 Author Share Posted October 13, 2023 Bugs, bees, flowers and grass growing.. thick green lawns right up to Tgiving. Just a different world than what we grew up with. Friars and freezes always happened by late Sept /Early Oct 2 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 11 hours ago, DavisStraight said: I saw the head right off but had to stare to see the rest of it. Yes, They're tough to see from a distance with ground foliage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 4 hours ago, tunafish said: 37 in my little rad pit Same temp this am here, Had 0.08" qpf between last evening and before midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Mowed yesterday. Almost got arrested for rolling around nude on the lawn. However, waking up to leaves on a freshly mowed yard is triggering. i expect leaves to be on the lawn the day after. but what really triggers ME is when I am mowing and the wind blows them from where I have not yet mowed into the grass that i already mowed. The other trigger is after i get the front yard cleaned up and move to the back yard-by the time I am done in back I have to do the front yard again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 52 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I don’t get the whole obsession with a frost? If the Deep South gets it before we do, good for them. It’ll come when it’s ready. I feel it has no bearing on the upcoming winter whatsoever. And I know you were just replying to Kevin…I’m just surprised at the concern over a frost by some folks. As a weather nerd and gardener, I track growing seasons and probably many others here do likewise. Tuesday morning was forecast for possible frost, and it never got below 37. This morning was forecast to be near 40 and it dropped to 32, with frozen dew all over the pickup except for the "cabbage leaves" frost on the hood. Frost free period was 139 days, 3rd longest of 26 here and 21 above average. All the frost-sensitive veggies had run out of gas so no real effect on the garden. 90%+ leaf drop, though the big (2' by 90') oak is still mostly green with minimal drop. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 I wonder who makes it to December without a freeze? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 44 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Bugs, bees, flowers and grass growing.. thick green lawns right up to Tgiving. Just a different world than what we grew up with. Friars and freezes always happened by late Sept /Early Oct There can always be a rogue cold shot that can give a frost in late September/early October in any year…but usually not the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 Lol, Ya that’s more than two weeks away…who knows what you’ll have by then.Some know the temps for thanksgiving, so two weeks should be easy.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 38 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Some know the temps for thanksgiving, so two weeks should be easy. . Are they factoring in the Typhoon Bolaven recurve in the N Pac? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 Might see some 70s later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 This is the time in fall where you get the most fake temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 Can't you just envision this pattern lasting through the winter: Storm 1: brush south coast as LP slides south of region Storm 2: out to sea Storm 3: cutter. Repeat. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can't you just envision this pattern lasting through the winter: Storm 1: brush south coast as LP slides south of region Storm 2: out to sea Storm 3: cutter. Repeat. Would anyone be caught off guard or surprised if it happened? I think not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 nothing quite says "torch" like a -EPO/-NAO ridge bridge. bring on the heat! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: I wonder who makes it to December without a freeze? Let's go with..... YOU! You're the lucky winner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 in the dreadful non winters of 01-02 and 11-12 we went until December here. Roses were still blooming. You knew it was a ratter incoming.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: nothing quite says "torch" like a -EPO/-NAO ridge bridge. bring on the heat! Folks just say stupid stuff…nothing looks overly warm at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 That look on the 12z GFS verbatim is SWFE'ish at hr384 and would yield first snow for some in NNE with those projected temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 10 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: it wouldn't be that warm with this kind of pattern in place. i find that hard to believe with all the high latitude ridging 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: it wouldn't be that warm with this kind of pattern in place. i find that hard to believe with all the high latitude ridging Kind of zonal flow though. And while AN heights up north, that's not really much if any ridging. Maybe slight ridging in Greenland. Sort of just AN IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of zonal flow though. And while AN heights up north, that's not really much if any ridging. Maybe slight ridging in Greenland. Sort of just AN IMO. yeah, I wouldn't call that kind of pattern legit cold, but I would imagine polar air is getting displaced into the CONUS. def not a torchy pattern i think part of the reason why it looks zonal is due to differences in how the models displace the cold... but there's no way to know unless you look at indies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 25 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Lol, ya CT is 1 degree Celsius above normal on that. Comical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Lol, ya CT is 1 degree Celsius above normal on that. Comical. that's not cold at all, given average highs are probably around 60F on Oct. 29th. in fact a -1 still wouldn't be cold. Just seasonably cool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 It’s probably a great sign that the general pantheon of modeling tech keeps painting +16+ over the Beaufort Sea ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 13, 2023 Share Posted October 13, 2023 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Can't you just envision this pattern lasting through the winter: Storm 1: brush south coast as LP slides south of region Storm 2: out to sea Storm 3: cutter. Repeat. Sounds like the last 5 years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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