Lava Rock Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Graupel. 43.9fSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 39/30 What a change from yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Graupel. 43.9f Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Haha, same here. Meanwhile it was almost 80 yesterday and a warm day on the boat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Getting pelted at the moment, 43/30°F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Looks like a lot of frozen radar indicated up in the elevated spots. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 It definitely looks cooler than it’s been moving forward, though I’d hardly call it a “cool” look overall. Temps look solidly above normal for the most part. No surprise there really.Where exactly do you see solidly above normal? Or just making that up?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Where exactly do you see solidly above normal? Or just making that up? . We could sneak in some above normal days between 11/3-11/5 but I agree the average of the first 10 days of November will def be below normal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks like a lot of frozen radar indicated up in the elevated spots. Not radar indicated though. Just algorithms with sfc temps and present wx obs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 29, 2023 Author Share Posted October 29, 2023 44.3 and rain after 80’s yesterday. This was almost a Denver kind of flip NE had 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 12 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Where exactly do you see solidly above normal? Or just making that up? . He sees above all the time..even when it isn’t lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We could sneak in some above normal days between 11/3-11/5 but I agree the average of the first 10 days of November will def be below normal. Clearly, he was just making that up because nothing showed "solidly above normal" let alone normal to start the month. Averages falling quickly this time of year too, so I kinda like the moderately below normal to start, and as long as we don't torch, deal with slightly above normal to end the month. Nice active pattern too. Your concerns post 11/15 give me pause tho. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: There is nothing more triggering than a nice mow and cleanup and then you awake to a massive carpet of leaves. Like you wasted 7 hours the day before. Makes me very violent. I don't understand the leaf thing. I don't rake. Never have. My lawn is beautiful. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Sleet at Winni 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Clearly, he was just making that up because nothing showed "solidly above normal" let alone normal to start the month. Averages falling quickly this time of year too, so I kinda like the moderately below normal to start, and as long as we don't torch, deal with slightly above normal to end the month. Nice active pattern too. Your concerns post 11/15 give me pause tho. I’m hoping we get some sort of mitigating factor to keep it somewhat cold for late November….because the first half looks really good for ski areas trying to ramp up snow making. But it’s fairly common to have a warmer late November and December in El Niños. But it’s not a hard and fast rule. If we can pop some Atlantic blocking, then something like that would help offset other warmer influences. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah given how warm the fall has been I’m surprised how much has fallen. Maples are pretty much done as well as other species. I’m probably a few days behind you. 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: And with no frosts or freezes . I think that fungus and wet summer probably affected just about all species to some degree. Leaf drop is also somewhat based on available sunlight/length of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 44.3 and rain after 80’s yesterday. This was almost a Denver kind of flip NE had I was thinking about this last night while moaning on the couch recovering from this stupid idea I had to run out and get the Covid booster shot of Friday ... that a typical autumn correction is 20 F (high/lows) ? I mean there is probable normal correction. If it is 70F for a high, it'll be 50 for high as the set-in. Correction is really about bringing back to normal in that sense. Then it may correct again, taking it below... I think as we refer to that as "staged cool down" ... but that's really what that is in practice. This one does seem to be about double the magnitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Snowing at pf land on the Stowe webcams…I’m going to guess he’s out making snow angels so he didn’t have time to post this.https://www.stowe.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/mountain-cams.aspx. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Leaf drop is also somewhat based on available sunlight/length of day. Agreed. So the day length/shortening is the same every year, so maybe it was lack of sunny days….we had lots of cloudy days this autumn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I was thinking about this last night while moaning on the couch recovering from this stupid idea I had to run out and get the Covid booster shot of Friday ... that a typical autumn correction is 20 F (high/lows) ? I mean there is probable normal correction. If it is 70F for a high, it'll be 50 for high as the set-in. Correction is really about bringing back to normal in that sense. Then it may correct again, taking it below... I think as we refer to that as "staged cool down" ... but that's really what that is in practice. This one does seem to be about double the magnitude. Being saturated on the cold side versus sunny and mixed on the warm side helps too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, metagraphica said: Leaf drop is also somewhat based on available sunlight/length of day. I didn’t know that. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Meanwhile we’re under a hard hat warning as we’re getting pelted pretty good at the moment, 41/33F 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sleet at Winni Damn I bet I missed the first frozen here while it was saturating aloft. Looks like there were some brighter echoes overhead here a bit ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Just now, dendrite said: Damn I bet I missed the first frozen here while it was saturating aloft. Looks like there were some brighter echoes overhead here a bit ago. My sister is up there and she sent a video. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Agreed. So the day length/shortening is the same every year, so maybe it was lack of sunny days….we had lots of cloudy days this autumn. Yesterday after every little gust of wind it was raining leaves. My lawn is covered again already. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Being saturated on the cold side versus sunny and mixed on the warm side helps too. It does ... but, synoptically we're draping "blue" hydrostats and gradient look like it's a page out of 1995 autumn, after 3 days of near 80? It's fairly some of both aspects. Folks should like the 00z GFS's Nov 8 thru 11th. Nice polar high takes three days to decay east, and we have this long easterly fetch anomaly pumping in "smells like snow cold rain" for eastern regions and days of snow west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 24 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Snowing at pf land on the Stowe webcams…I’m going to guess he’s out making snow angels so he didn’t have time to post this.https://www.stowe.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/mountain-cams.aspx . Headed out with the dog now for a lap to the picnic tables and back before settling in for some football. How Sunday’s should be this time of year haha. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Actually getting some mangled flakes in town now as wet-bulb evap cooling at the start takes place. First flakes at home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Headed out with the dog now for a lap to the picnic tables and back before settling in for some football. How Sunday’s should be this time of year haha. Good stuff...i figured you wouldn't miss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 1 hour ago, bwt3650 said: Where exactly do you see solidly above normal? Or just making that up? . First 8-9 days probably below normal on the whole, but after that looks AN 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 29, 2023 Share Posted October 29, 2023 Lock in that storm in the weenie gfs range 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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