CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 4:45 PM, MJO812 said: Blocking trending stronger Stein Expand We take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 4:47 PM, CoastalWx said: We take. Expand How bout us South of the Pike? Can we escape the rain too this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 4:57 PM, WinterWolf said: How bout us South of the Pike? Can we escape the rain too this weekend? Expand Might be able to. Or at worst maybe a few hours of rain Sat evening? Still a tougher call for you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 4:58 PM, CoastalWx said: Might be able to. Or at worst maybe a few hours of rain Sat evening? Still a tougher call for you. Expand Ya, that’s what I was afraid of. Any creeps north and it’s a washout here. These like to tick north in the end too. Thanks for the response. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:03 PM, WinterWolf said: Ya, that’s what I was afraid of. Any creeps north and it’s a washout here. These like to tick north in the end too. Thanks for the response. Expand I'd settle for a period of rain overnight Saturday.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:11 PM, Brian5671 said: I'd settle for a period of rain overnight Saturday.... Expand Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 4:45 PM, MJO812 said: Blocking trending stronger Stein Expand Hopefully not a preview for what happens when it actually gets cold enough to snow...... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:20 PM, Spanks45 said: Hopefully not a preview for what happens when it actually gets cold enough to snow...... Expand yep 09-10 was like that it we were skunked in almost every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 I'd still take that over last year. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:29 PM, Brian5671 said: yep 09-10 was like that it we were skunked in almost every storm. Expand 4 KUs: whiff whiff whiff 3.81" precip, 10" 4:1 mashed potatoes that splattered on landing plus 1.14" RA at 33-35, final result 8" with nearly 3" LE, harder to move than the 24" dump a year earlier. (While reading of NYC's "snowicane", 20.9" on the same NE wind that was blowing up here.) Maybe not the worst winter here, but definitely the most frustrating. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:30 PM, CoastalWx said: I'd still take that over last year. Expand Yup! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:44 PM, tamarack said: 4 KUs: whiff whiff whiff 3.81" precip, 10" 4:1 mashed potatoes that splattered on landing plus 1.14" RA at 33-35, final result 8" with nearly 3" LE, harder to move than the 24" dump a year earlier. (While reading of NYC's "snowicane", 20.9" on the same NE wind that was blowing up here.) Maybe not the worst winter here, but definitely the most frustrating. Expand Yes, what a crazy year that was. Mid Atlantic historic snow blitz! I’ll still roll the dice with that pattern again though…99% chance we’d do better second time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 5:20 PM, Spanks45 said: Hopefully not a preview for what happens when it actually gets cold enough to snow...... Expand It won’t be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 6:05 PM, WinterWolf said: Yes, what a crazy year that was. Mid Atlantic historic snow blitz! I’ll still roll the dice with that pattern again though…99% chance we’d do better second time around. Expand I lived in central Delaware at the time....unreal how much snow we got, pretty sure I have more snow in that year than I did in the next 5 combined. Crazy thing was, how fast all of that snow melted. That first snow in December, pretty sure I had 32", it was completely gone by Christmas, including most of the piles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 Anything that happens in Oct has very little correlation to winter, Next month, Is another story, That carry's more weight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 6:48 PM, dryslot said: Anything that happens in Oct has very little correlation to winter, Next month, Is another story, That carry's more weight. Expand Yes sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 Deja-vu on the 12z Euro, 2 southern/late developer misses, followed by a massive storm about ready to cut to our west....Thank God this is October and not January. Unless this pattern completely collapses, It does look like a fun winter incoming at least for tracking purposes, hopefully we are on the right side of some when all is said and done.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 Unpredictable weather?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 7:22 PM, CoastalWx said: Unpredictable weather?? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 That pattern now is completely meaningless to later Novie onward Zip indicator 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 7:22 PM, CoastalWx said: Unpredictable weather?? Expand That hasn’t changed, haha. The costs to operate and what you need to pay people has skyrocketed in the service sector. Previously if your business could barely survive while paying folks $10/hr, then when that goes immediately to $20-25/hr just to get a local high schooler to work for you… now you’re f*cked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 6:06 PM, WinterWolf said: It won’t be. Expand Let's at least wait until Thanksgiving the be sure of that. I do think we will have better temperatures to work with for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 7:41 PM, powderfreak said: That hasn’t changed, haha. The costs to operate and what you need to pay people has skyrocketed in the service sector. Previously if your business could barely survive while paying folks $10/hr, then when that goes immediately to $20-25/hr just to get a local high schooler to work for you… now you’re f*cked. Expand i can see the social media comments now "vail causes closure of Black mountain by paying workers $20-$25 an hour" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 7:08 PM, greenmtnwx said: Expand Uhg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 7:02 PM, Spanks45 said: Deja-vu on the 12z Euro, 2 southern/late developer misses, followed by a massive storm about ready to cut to our west....Thank God this is October and not January. Unless this pattern completely collapses, It does look like a fun winter incoming at least for tracking purposes, hopefully we are on the right side of some when all is said and done.... Expand When is this for. The one for this weekend followed by another one early in the week? Or is this a different time period ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 6:48 PM, dryslot said: Anything that happens in Oct has very little correlation to winter, Next month, Is another story, That carry's more weight. Expand Oct-Nov temps, correlation with snowfall here. Only 25 years but same trends in the much longer (130 yr) POR at Farmington: Temp Snow (% of avg) Oct AN 105% Oct BN 95% Nov AN 89% NOV BN 114% Both AN 91% Both BN 105% Oct A/Nov B 125% Oct B/Nov A 87% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 7:44 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Let's at least wait until Thanksgiving the be sure of that. I do think we will have better temperatures to work with for sure. Expand Hey, I’m on the record early, that this year will be better for those south of N. Worcester county, and south of NE Mass in SNE. That’s my feeling and take. Imo it cant get much worse than a 12” total last year for my area… so up it is for this season. Average is looking real nice right about now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 The wolf howling early and often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 11, 2023 Share Posted October 11, 2023 On 10/11/2023 at 10:47 PM, Torch Tiger said: The wolf howling early and often Expand Just going with my gut Tiger, and the law of averages. Hard to do worse, when ya finish so low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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